tiprankstipranks
Astrana Health Inc. (ASTH)
:ASTH
US Market
Holding ASTH?
Track your performance easily

Astrana Health (ASTH) Risk Factors

212 Followers
Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Astrana Health disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astrana Health reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q3, 2024

Risk Distribution
72Risks
36% Finance & Corporate
22% Legal & Regulatory
17% Production
14% Ability to Sell
7% Tech & Innovation
4% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

2020
Q4
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Astrana Health Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q3, 2024

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 26 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 26 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
72
+3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
72
+3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
3Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
3Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
Number of Risk Changed
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Astrana Health in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 72

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 26/72 (36%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights7 | 9.7%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
The arrangements we have with our VIEs are not as secure as direct ownership of such entities.
Because of corporate practice of medicine laws, we have entered into contractual arrangements to manage certain affiliated physician practice groups, which allow us to consolidate those groups for financial reporting purposes. We do not have direct ownership interests in any of our VIEs and are not able to exercise rights as an equity holder to directly change the members of the boards of directors of these entities so as to affect changes at the management and operational level. Under our arrangements with our VIEs, we must rely on their equity holders to exercise our control over the entities. If our affiliated entities or their equity holders fail to perform as expected, we may have to incur substantial costs and expend additional resources to enforce such arrangements.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Shared savings retained by our ACO are impacted by the amount of the Quality Withhold earned back.
Throughout the ACO REACH programs, a substantial portion of our ACO's spending benchmark is held at-risk by CMS, subject to our ACO meeting certain quality measures as determined by CMS. In the ACO REACH program, the portion of the benchmark held at-risk by CMS for quality is 2% of the benchmark. Failing to earn back all or part of the portion of our ACO's spending benchmark held at-risk by CMS for quality metrics could materially affect our financial performance in the ACO REACH programs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Astrana's common stock may be thinly traded and its market price may be subject to fluctuations and volatility. Stockholders may be unable to sell their shares at a profit and might incur losses.
The trading price of Astrana's common stock has been volatile in the past and may continue to be so from time to time in the future. The price at which Astrana's common stock trades could be subject to significant fluctuation and may be affected by a variety of factors, including the trading volume, our results of operations, the announcement and consummation of certain transactions, and our ability or inability to raise additional capital and the terms thereof, and therefore could fluctuate, and potentially decline, significantly. Other factors that may cause the market price of Astrana's common stock to fluctuate include: - Variations in our operating results, such as actual or anticipated quarterly and annual increases or decreases in revenue, gross margin or earnings;- Changes in our business, operations, or prospects, including announcements relating to strategic relationships, mergers, acquisitions, partnerships, collaborations, joint ventures, dispositions, other corporate transactions, financings, capital commitments, or other events by us or our competitors;- Developments, conditions, or trends in the healthcare industry;- Changes in the economic performance or market valuations of other healthcare-related companies;- General market conditions or domestic or international macroeconomic and geopolitical factors unrelated to our performance or financial condition, including economic or political instability, inflation, wars, civil unrest, terrorism, public health crises, and natural disasters;- Sales of stock by Astrana's stockholders generally and Astrana's larger stockholders, including insiders, in particular, including sale or distributions of large blocks of common stock by our executives and directors or large stockholders;- Volatility and limitations in trading volumes of Astrana's common stock and the stock market;- Approval, maintenance, and withdrawal of our and our affiliates' certificates, permits, registration, licensure, certification, and accreditation by the applicable regulatory or other oversight bodies;- Our financing activities, including our ability to obtain financings and prices at which we sell our equity securities, including securities convertible to or exercisable for shares of Astrana's common stock;- Failures to meet external expectations or management guidance;- Changes in our capital structure and cash position;- Analyst research reports on Astrana's common stock, including analysts' recommendations and changes in recommendations, price targets, and withdrawals of coverage;- Departures and additions of our key personnel, including our officers or directors;- Disputes and litigations related to intellectual properties, proprietary rights, and contractual obligations;- Changes in applicable laws, rules, regulations, or accounting practices and other dynamics; and - Other events or factors, many of which may be out of our control. There may be a limited trading market for Astrana's common stock. A lack of an active market may contribute to stock price volatility or supply/demand imbalances, make an investment in Astrana's common stock less attractive to certain investors, and/or impair the ability of Astrana's stockholders to sell shares at the time they desire or at a price that they consider favorable. The lack of an active market may also reduce the fair market value of Astrana's common stock, impair our ability to raise capital by selling shares of Astrana's common stock, or use such stock as consideration to attract and retain talent or engage in business transactions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
If analysts do not report about us, or negatively evaluate us, Astrana's stock price could decline.
The trading market for Astrana's common stock will rely in part on the availability of research and reports that third-party analysts publish about us. There are many large companies active in the healthcare industry, which makes it more difficult for us to receive widespread coverage. Furthermore, if one or more of the analysts who do cover us downgrade Astrana's common stock, its price would likely decline. If one or more of these analysts cease coverage of us, we could lose market visibility, which in turn could cause Astrana's stock price to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Our current principal stockholders, executive officers, and directors have significant influence over our operations and strategic direction and they could cause us to take actions with which other stockholders might not agree and could delay, deter, or prevent a change of control or a business combination with respect to us.
As of December 31, 2023, our executive officers, directors, five percent or greater stockholders, and their respective affiliated entities in the aggregate own approximately 44.1% of our outstanding common stock (including restricted stock awards held by them, but excluding stock options). As a result, these stockholders, who are entitled to vote their shares in their own interests, acting together, exert a significant degree of influence over our management and affairs and over matters requiring stockholder approval, including the election of directors and approval of significant corporate transactions. This concentration of ownership may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control, merger, consolidation, sale of all or substantially all of our assets or other corporate transactions that other stockholders may view as beneficial, or conversely, this concentrated control could result in the consummation of a transaction that other stockholders may not support. This may harm the value of our shares and discourage investors from investing in us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Provisions under Delaware law and Astrana's charter and bylaws could deter takeover attempts or attempts to remove its board members or management that might otherwise be beneficial to its stockholders.
Astrana is subject to Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, which generally provides that a corporation may not engage in any business combination with any interested stockholder during the three-year period following the time that such stockholder becomes an interested stockholder unless certain approval requirements are met. This provision, and others that could be adopted in the future, could make the acquisition of Astrana and the removal of its incumbent officers and directors more difficult for potential acquirers, deter unsolicited takeovers or delay or prevent changes in Astrana's control or management, including transactions in which Astrana's stockholders might otherwise receive a premium for their shares over then current market prices. These provisions may also limit the ability of Astrana's stockholders to approve transactions that they may deem to be in their best interests. Additionally, Astrana's charter and bylaws contain additional provisions, such as the authorization for its board of directors to issue one or more classes of preferred stock and determine the rights, preferences, and privileges of the preferred stock, which could cause substantial dilution to a person or group that attempts to acquire Astrana on terms not approved by the board, and the ownership requirement for Astrana's stockholders to call special meetings, that could deter, discourage, or make it more difficult for a change in control of Astrana or for a third party to acquire Astrana, even if such a change in control could be deemed in the interest of Astrana's stockholders, or if such an acquisition would provide Astrana's stockholders with a substantial premium for their shares over the market price of Astrana's common stock. As such, these provisions could discourage a potential acquirer from acquiring us or otherwise attempting to obtain control of us and increase the likelihood that our incumbent directors and officers will retain their positions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
We may issue additional equity securities in the future, which may result in dilution to existing investors.
If Astrana issues additional equity securities, its existing stockholders may experience substantial dilution. Astrana may sell equity securities and may issue securities convertible into or exercisable for common stock in one or more transactions at prices and manners as we may determine from time to time, including at prices (or conversion or exercise prices) below the market price of Astrana's common stock, for capital-raising purposes, including in any debt financing, registered offering, or private placement, and new investors could have superior rights such as liquidation and other preferences. To attract and retain the right talent, Astrana also issues equity awards under its equity compensation plans to its officers, other employees, directors, and consultants from time to time. Astrana may also issue additional shares of its common stock or other securities that are convertible into or exercisable for common stock in connection with future acquisitions or for other business purposes. In addition, the exercise or conversion of outstanding options or warrants to purchase shares of Astrana's stock may result in dilution to its existing stockholders upon any such exercise or conversion.
Accounting & Financial Operations9 | 12.5%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Because we have no current plans to pay regular cash dividends on our common stock, you may not receive any return on investment unless you sell your common stock for a price greater than that which you paid for it.
We do not anticipate paying any regular cash dividends on our common stock. Any decision to declare and pay dividends in the future will be made at the discretion of our board of directors and will depend on, among other things, our results of operations, financial condition, cash requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors that our board of directors may deem relevant. In addition, our ability to pay dividends is, and may be, limited by covenants of existing and any future outstanding indebtedness we or our subsidiaries incur. Similarly, we may not repurchase any shares through our public repurchase program or otherwise return capital to our stockholders. Therefore, any return on investment in our common stock is dependent upon the appreciation of the price of our common stock on the open market, which may not occur.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We may be unable to generate revenue under the MSSP or continue to participate in the MSSP.
The MSSP is consistently being updated by CMS. Beginning in 2024, the calculation of the benchmark is being adjusted to address prior performance, to incorporate a prospective administrative growth factor, and to attempt to reduce the cap on negative regional adjustments. These changes will impact how savings under the model are calculated and may impact our ability to generate revenue under the model. In addition, our participation in the MSSP requires our participant providers maintain at least 5,000 MSSP Aligned Beneficiaries. If we fail to meet the threshold, we will not be eligible to participate for the applicable year.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We may suffer losses and may not generate savings through our participation in the MSSP.
We are participating in the MSSP Level ENHANCED, pursuant to which we may be responsible for 1st dollar losses at a rate determined using a sliding scale based on the ACO's health equity adjusted quality performance score, if an applicable quality performance standard established by CMS is met with a minimum shared loss rate of 40% and a maximum of 75%. If an applicable quality performance standard is not met, we are responsible for 1st dollar losses at a rate of 75%. Total losses for which we are responsible are not to exceed 15% of the updated benchmark. We are responsible for savings and losses related to care received by patients by covering claims from physicians, nurses, and other medical professionals. If claim costs exceed the benchmarked expenditures, we could experience losses, which could be significant. Among other things, this could result from factors beyond our control, such as inflation, natural disasters, the potential effects of climate change, and major epidemics, pandemics, or newly emergent viruses (such as COVID-19). As we are providing care coordination through our ACO, but do not provide direct patient care, our influence could be limited. Because of our limited influence, it is possible that we may not be able to control care providers' behavior, utilization, and costs. As a result, we may not be able to generate savings through our participation in the MSSP to cover our administrative and care coordination operating costs, and any savings generated, if at all, will be earned in arrears and uncertain in both timing and amount.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
We have established reserves for our potential medical claim losses, which are subject to inherent uncertainties, and a deficiency in the established reserves may lead to a reduction in our assets or net income.
We establish reserves for estimated IBNR claims. IBNR estimates are developed using actuarial methods and are based on many variables, including the utilization of healthcare services, historical payment patterns, cost trends, product mix, seasonality, changes in membership, and other factors. The estimation methods and the resulting reserves are periodically reviewed and updated. Many of our contracts are complex in nature and may be subject to differing interpretations regarding amounts due for the provision of various services. Such interpretations may not come to light until a substantial period of time has passed. The inherent difficulty in interpreting contracts and estimating necessary reserves could result in significant fluctuations in our estimates from period to period. Our actual losses and related expenses therefore may differ, even substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. If actual claims exceed our estimated reserves, we may be required to increase reserves, which would lead to a reduction in our assets or net income.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
We could experience significant losses under capitation contracts if our expenses exceed revenues.
Under a capitation contract, a health plan typically prospectively pays an IPA periodic capitation payments based on a percentage of the amount received by the health plan. Capitation payments, in the aggregate, represent a prospective budget from which an IPA manages care-related expenses on behalf of the population enrolled with that IPA. If our affiliated IPAs are able to manage care-related expenses under the capitated levels, we realize operating profits from capitation contracts. However, if care-related expenses exceed projected levels, our affiliated IPAs may realize substantial operating deficits, which are not capped and could lead to substantial losses. For example, the State of California's Budget Act of 2023 (AB 118) mandated a "targeted rate increase" in reimbursement rates under the Medi-Cal program for providers of primary care and obstetric care services commencing January 1, 2024, including where applicable, an equivalent adjustment to capitation rates for those providers reimbursed on a capitated basis. If the required capitation rate adjustments payable to such primary care and obstetric care providers exceed the corresponding capitation rate increase received by us from our contracted Medi-Cal health plans, substantial losses could result. Additionally, factors beyond our control, such as natural disasters, the potential effects of climate change, and major epidemics, pandemics, or newly emergent viruses (such as COVID-19), could reduce our ability to effectively manage the costs of providing healthcare. Following the acquisition of our Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plan (For Your Benefit Inc., "FYB"), we may expand the use of "global" capitation arrangements whereby FYB accepts financial risk for hospital and other institutional services in addition to professional medical services (whereas IPA capitation contracts are typically limited to accepting financial risk for professional medical services). However, if care-related expenses under these global capitation arrangements exceed projected levels, our Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plan may realize substantial operating deficits, which are not capped and could lead to substantial losses. Expansion of global capitation arrangements may also require the funding of additional capital to our Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plan in order to comply with DMHC regulations relating to tangible net equity which could result in having less cash available for other parts of our operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 6
Our net operating loss carryforwards and certain other tax attributes will be subject to limitations.
If a corporation undergoes an "ownership change" within the meaning of Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, its net operating loss carryforwards and certain other tax attributes arising from before the ownership change are subject to limitations on use after the ownership change. In general, an ownership change occurs if there is a cumulative change in the corporation's equity ownership by certain stockholders that exceeds 50 percentage points over a rolling three-year period. Similar rules may apply under state tax laws. Ownership changes in the future could result in additional limitations on our net operating loss carryforwards. Consequently, we may not be able to utilize a material portion of our net operating loss carryforwards and other tax attributes to offset our tax liabilities, which could have a material adverse effect on our cash flows and results of operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 7
We may be required to take write-downs or write-offs, restructuring, and impairment or other charges that could have a significant negative effect on our financial condition, results of operations, and stock price.
The Company may be forced to write-down or write-off assets in the future, restructure its operations, or incur impairment or other charges that could result in losses. Even though these charges may not have an immediate impact on our liquidity, the fact that we report charges of this nature could contribute to negative market perceptions about us or our securities and may make our future financing difficult to obtain on favorable terms or at all. From time to time, our intangible assets are subject to impairment testing. Under current accounting standards, our goodwill, including acquired goodwill, is tested for impairment on an annual basis and may be subject to impairment losses as circumstances change (e.g., after an acquisition). If we record an impairment loss, it could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations for the year in which the impairment is recorded.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 8
If there is a change in accounting principles or the interpretation thereof affecting consolidation of VIEs, it could impact our consolidation of total revenues derived from our affiliated physician groups.
Our financial statements are consolidated and include the accounts of our majority-owned subsidiaries and various non-owned affiliated physician groups that are VIEs, whose consolidation is effectuated in accordance with applicable accounting rules promulgated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB"). Such accounting rules require that,under some circumstances, the VIE consolidation model be applied when a reporting enterprise holds a variable interest (e.g., equity interests, debt obligations, certain management, and service contracts) in a legal entity. Under this model, an enterprise must assess the entity in which it holds a variable interest to determine whether it meets the criteria to be consolidated as a VIE. If the entity is a VIE, the consolidation framework next identifies the party, if one exists, that possesses a controlling financial interest in the VIE, and then requires that party to consolidate the VIE as it is the primary beneficiary. An enterprise's determination of whether it has a controlling financial interest in a VIE requires that a qualitative determination be made, and is not solely based on voting rights. If an enterprise determines the entity in which it holds a variable interest is not subject to the VIE consolidation model, the enterprise should apply the traditional voting control model, which focuses on voting rights. In our case, the VIE consolidation model applies to our controlled, but not owned, physician-affiliated entities. Our determination regarding the consolidation of our affiliates, however, could be challenged, which could have a material adverse effect on our operations. In addition, in the event of a change in accounting rules or FASB's interpretations thereof, or if there were an adverse determination by a regulatory agency or a court or a change in state or federal law relating to the ability to maintain present agreements or arrangements with our affiliated physician groups, we may not be permitted to continue to consolidate the revenues of our VIEs.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 9
If our internal control over financial reporting is not considered effective, our business and stock price could be adversely affected.
Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 requires us to evaluate the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of the end of each fiscal year, and to include a management report assessing the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for that fiscal year. Section 404 also requires our independent registered public accounting firm to attest to, and report on, management's assessment of our internal control over financial reporting. Our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, does not expect that our internal control over financial reporting will prevent all errors and fraud. A control system, no matter how well-designed and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the control system's objectives will be met. Further, the design of a control system must reflect the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits of controls must be considered relative to their costs. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud involving a company have been, or will be, detected. The design of any system of controls is based in part on certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and we cannot assure you that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions. Over time, controls may become ineffective because of changes in conditions or deterioration in the degree of compliance with policies or procedures. Because of the inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected, such as those that resulted in the restatement of certain of our previously issued consolidated financial statements and related material weakness in August 2023. We identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting in connection with the restatement, and we cannot assure you that we or our independent registered public accounting firm will not identify a material weakness in our internal controls in the future. A material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting would require management and our independent registered public accounting firm to consider our internal controls as ineffective. While we continue to take meaningful steps to enhance our disclosure controls and procedures and our internal control over financial reporting by strengthening our financial reporting and accounting functions, we cannot provide any assurance that we will be able to maintain adequate controls over our financial processes and reporting in the future or that we will not identify additional significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting in the future. Any failure of our internal controls could result in material misstatements in our consolidated financial statements, significant deficiencies, material weaknesses, costs, failure to timely meet our periodic reporting obligations and erosion of investor confidence. Such failure could also negatively affect the market price and trading liquidity of our common stock, subject us to civil and criminal investigations and penalties and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations or cash flow.
Debt & Financing5 | 6.9%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Added
Financing the Transaction will result in an increase in our indebtedness, which could adversely affect us, including by decreasing our business flexibility and increasing our interest expense.
To provide additional financial flexibility for the Company, in connection with the execution of the Purchase Agreement, the Company entered into the Commitment Letter, pursuant to which the Banks committed to provide (i) the Bridge Facility, a 364-day senior secured bridge term loan in an aggregate principal amount of up to $1,095.0 million, and (ii) a five-year senior secured revolving credit facility in an aggregate principal amount of up to $100.0 million. The Company intends to use the proceeds of the Bridge Facility, together with cash on hand, to fund the Transaction, to refinance the Company's existing credit facilities and to pay for fees, costs and expenses incurred in connection with the foregoing. The funding of the Bridge Facility provided for in the Commitment Letter is contingent on the satisfaction of customary conditions, including but not limited to (i) the execution and delivery of definitive documentation with respect to the Bridge Facility in accordance with the terms set forth in the Commitment Letter, and (ii) the consummation of the Transaction in accordance with the Purchase Agreement. Amounts funded under the Bridge Facility, if any, will be reduced by the aggregate amount of gross proceeds that the Company elects to raise in a long-term debt and/or equity financing transaction on or prior to the closing of the Transaction as further set forth in the Commitment Letter. This increase in our indebtedness may, among other things, reduce our flexibility to respond to changing business and economic conditions or to fund capital expenditures or working capital needs. In addition, the amount of cash required to pay interest on our increased indebtedness, and thus the demands on our cash resources, will materially increase as a result of the indebtedness to finance the Transaction.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
In 2019, the Company, Astrana Medical, and APC consummated a series of interrelated transactions that may expose the Company and its subsidiaries and VIEs to additional risks, including the inability to repay a significant loan made in connection with such transactions.
On September 11, 2019, the Company, Astrana Medical, and APC concurrently consummated a series of interrelated transactions (collectively, the "APC Transactions"), which included a $545.0 million ten-year secured loan made by the Company to Astrana Medical, which Astrana Medical used to purchase 1,000,000 shares of Series A Preferred Stock of APC. The Company obtained the funds to make the loan to Astrana Medical (i) by entering into a credit agreement with Truist Bank, in its capacity as administrative agent for various lenders, and the lenders from time to time party thereto, for a $290.0 million senior secured credit facility (the "Credit Agreement" and the credit facility thereunder, the "Credit Facility"), and then immediately drawing down $250.0 million in cash, and (ii) by selling $300.0 million of shares of the Company's common stock to APC, the purchase price of which was offset against $300.0 million of Astrana Medical's purchase price for its APC Series A Preferred Stock. AHM guaranteed the obligations of the Company under the Credit Facility, and both the Company and AHM have granted the lenders a security interest in all of their assets, including, without limitation, in all stock and other equity issued by their subsidiaries (including the shares of AHM) and all rights with respect to the loan to Astrana Medical. The Credit Agreement was amended and restated on June 16, 2021 and was most recently amended on November 3, 2023 to, among other things, provide a new term loan to the Company in an aggregate amount of up to $300.0 million (as amended, the "Amended Credit Agreement" and the credit facility thereunder, the "Amended Credit Facility"). The APC Transactions may expose the Company, its subsidiaries and its VIEs to additional risks, including without limitation, the following: Astrana Medical may never be able to repay the loan from the Company; even if Astrana Medical does not, or cannot repay the loan, the Company will be obligated to pay principal and interest on the Amended Credit Facility; in connection with the Credit Facility, the lenders were granted a first priority perfected security interest over all of the assets of the Company and its subsidiaries, and such lenders have the right to foreclose on those assets if the Company defaults on its obligations under the Amended Credit Facility; a disconnect could arise between APC achieving net income, declaring and paying dividends to Astrana Medical, and Astrana Medical making its required payments to the Company, which disconnect could materially negatively impact the Company's financial results and its ability to make its required payments under the Amended Credit Facility; APC may be prohibited from paying, or may otherwise be unable to pay, the dividends on its Series A Preferred Stock, including under the California Corporations Code; regulators could determine that the current, post-APC Transactions consolidated structure amounts to the Company violating California's corporate practice of medicine doctrine; and the Company may be deemed an investment company, which could impose burdensome compliance requirements on the Company and restrict its future activities.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Our failure to raise additional capital or generate cash flows necessary to expand our operations and invest in new technologies in the future could reduce our ability to compete successfully and harm our results of operations.
We may, in the future, require additional capital to grow our business and may have to raise additional funds by selling equity, issuing debt, borrowing, refinancing our existing debt, or selling assets or subsidiaries. We may not be able to obtain additional debt or equity financing on favorable terms, in a timely manner, or at all. If we raise additional equity financing, our security holders may experience significant dilution of their ownership interests. If we engage in additional debt financing, we may be required to accept terms that restrict our ability to incur additional indebtedness, force us to maintain specified liquidity or other ratios or restrict our ability to pay dividends or make acquisitions. In addition, the covenants in our Amended Credit Agreement may limit our ability to obtain additional debt or issue additional equity securities, and any failure to adhere to these covenants could result in penalties or defaults that could further restrict our liquidity or limit our ability to obtain financing. In addition, our ability to obtain additional capital may be adversely impacted by factors beyond our control, such as the market demand for our securities, the state of financial markets generally and other relevant factors, including potential worsening global economic conditions resulting from increasing inflation and interest rates, ongoing supply chain disruptions and shortages, labor shortages and geopolitical conditions, and any disruptions to, or volatility in, the credit and financial markets in the United States and worldwide that arise from any economic downturn or recession. If we need additional capital and cannot raise it on acceptable terms, or at all, we may not be able to, among other things, develop and enhance our patient services; continue to expand our organization; hire, train and retain employees; respond to competitive pressures or unanticipated working capital requirements; or pursue acquisition opportunities.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
Obligations in our credit or loan documents could restrict our operations, particularly our ability to respond to changes in our business or to take specified actions. An event of default could harm our business, and creditors having security interests over our assets would be able to foreclose on our assets.
The terms of our Amended Credit Agreement and other indebtedness we may incur from time to time require us to comply with a number of financial and other obligations, which may include maintaining debt service coverage and leverage ratios and maintaining insurance coverage, that impose significant operating and financial restrictions on us, including restrictions on our ability to take actions that may be in our interests. These obligations may limit our flexibility in our operations, and breaches of these obligations could result in defaults under the agreements or instruments governing the indebtedness, even if we had satisfied our payment obligations. Moreover, if we defaulted on these obligations, creditors having security interests over our assets could exercise various remedies, including foreclosing on and selling our assets. Unless waived by creditors, for which no assurance can be given, defaulting on these obligations could result in a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to continue our operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
We may suffer losses and may not generate savings through our participation in the ACO REACH Model.
Through the ACO REACH Model, CMS provides an opportunity to provider groups that are willing to assume higher levels of financial risk and reward to participate in this relatively new attribution-based risk-sharing model. The ACO REACH Model uses a prospectively set preliminary benchmark that is retrospectively adjusted throughout and at the end of the performance year. The preliminary benchmark is based on baseline historical expenditures by Participant Providers in the benchmark years trended forward using the US Per Capita Cost ("USPCC") growth trend, and subsequently blended with regional expenditure rates, which are contained in the ACO REACH / Kidney Care Choices ("KCC") Rate Book. The benchmark years are set at CY2017-2019 for the duration of the model. In PY2024, historical baseline expenditures are weighted at 55%, regional expenditures are weighted at 45%, and historical expenditures will be weighted less in future performance years. Throughout the performance year and after the performance year concludes, the preliminary benchmark is adjusted for numerous factors, such as the ACO's developing risk and quality scores and beneficiaries who became ineligible for the program over the course of the performance year. If necessary, a Retrospective Trend Adjustment ("RTA") may be applied as well. An RTA is applied if the USPCC trend differs by at least 1% from the observed expenditure trend in the National Reference Population. It adjusts the benchmark by the difference between the observed expenditure trend and the predicted USPCC trend. Once all adjustments are made to the benchmark, our ACO's expenditures will be compared to a final benchmark to calculate shared savings or shared losses. Under the ACO REACH Model, we are responsible for savings and losses related to care received by assigned patients by covering claims from physicians, nurses, and other medical professionals. If claim costs exceed the benchmarked expenditures, or the baseline years used in benchmark calculations are statistical anomalies, we could experience losses, which could be significant. Among other things, this could result from factors beyond our control, such as inflation, natural disasters, the potential effects of climate change, and major epidemics, pandemics, or newly emergent viruses (such as COVID-19). As we are providing care coordination through our ACO, but do not provide direct patient care, our influence could be limited. Because of our limited influence, it is possible that we may not be able to control care providers' behavior, utilization, and costs. As a result, we may not be able to generate savings through our participation in the ACO REACH Model to cover our administrative and care coordination operating costs, and any savings generated, if at all, will be earned in arrears and uncertain in both timing and amount. Furthermore, the process by which the final benchmark is calculated from the preliminary benchmark is complex, and we may have limited ability to understand what the final benchmark may be before the value is reported to us by CMS. Due to this dynamic, we may have limited ability to predict our final performance and shared savings/losses amount prior to receiving a final report from CMS in the third quarter of the year following any given performance year.
Corporate Activity and Growth5 | 6.9%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
There are uncertainties regarding the design and administration of the ACO REACH Model and CMS' financial reports to ACO REACH participants, which could negatively impact our results of operations.
Due to the novelty of the ACO REACH Model, we are subject to program challenges, including, but not limited to, process design, data, and other related aspects. We rely on CMS for the design, oversight, and governance of the ACO REACH Model. If CMS cannot provide accurate data, guidance on claims processing, claims benchmarking and calculations, make timely payments, and conduct periodic process reviews, our results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected. CMS relies on various third parties to effect the ACO REACH program, including other departments of the U.S. government, such as Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Innovation Center ("CMMI"). CMS also relies on multiple third-party contractors to manage the ACO REACH Model program, including claims and auditing. As a result, there is the potential for errors, delays, and poor communication among the differing entities involved, which are beyond our control. As CMS is implementing extensive reporting protocols for the ACO REACH Model, CMS has indicated that because of inherent biases in reporting the results, its initial financial reports under the ACO REACH Model may not be indicative of final results of actual risk sharing and revenues that we receive. Were that to be the case, we might not report accurately our revenues for relevant periods, which could result in adjustments in a later period when we receive final results from CMS.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
We may encounter difficulties in managing our growth, and the nature of our business and rapid changes in the healthcare industry make it difficult to reliably predict future growth and operating results.
We may not be able to successfully grow and expand. Successful implementation of our business plan will require management of growth, including potentially rapid and substantial growth, which could result in an increase in the level of responsibility for management personnel and strain on our human and capital resources. To manage growth effectively, we will be required, among other things, to continue to implement and improve our operating and financial systems, procedures, and controls and to expand, train, and manage our employee base. If we are unable to implement and scale improvements to our existing systems and controls in an efficient and timely manner or if we encounter deficiencies, we will not be able to successfully execute our business plans. Failure to attract and retain sufficient numbers of qualified personnel could also impede our growth. If we are unable to manage our growth effectively, it will have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition. The evolving nature of our business and rapid changes in the healthcare industry make it difficult to anticipate the nature and amount of medical reimbursements, third-party private payments, and participation in certain government programs and thus to reliably predict our future growth and operating results.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
Many of our agreements with hospitals and medical groups have limited durations, may be terminated without cause by them, and prohibit us from acquiring physicians or patients from or competing with them.
Many of our agreements with hospitals and medical groups are limited in their terms or may be terminated without cause by providing advance notice. If such agreements are not renewed or terminated, we would lose the revenue generated by them. Any such events could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, and future business plans. Because many of such agreements with hospitals and medical groups prohibit us from acquiring physicians or patients from or competing with them, our ability to hire physicians, attract patients, or conduct business in certain areas may be limited in some cases.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
Added
We may not achieve the intended benefits of the Transaction, and the Transaction may disrupt our current plans or operations.
There can be no assurance that, following completion of the Transaction, we will be able to successfully integrate the acquired operations or otherwise realize the expected benefits of the Transaction (including operating and other cost synergies). Difficulties in integrating the acquired operations into the Company may result in the Company performing differently than expected, in operational challenges, or in the failure to realize anticipated run-rate cost synergies and efficiencies in the expected timeframe or at all, in which case the anticipated benefits of the Transaction may not be realized fully or may take longer than expected to be realized. Further, it is possible that there could be a loss of our and/or the Sellers' key employees, disruption of our or the Sellers' ongoing business or unexpected issues, higher than expected costs and an overall post-completion process that takes longer than originally anticipated. The integration of the acquired operations may result in material challenges, including the diversion of management's attention from ongoing business concerns; retaining key management and other employees; retaining or attracting business and operational relationships; the possibility of faulty assumptions underlying expectations regarding the integration process and associated expenses; consolidating corporate and administrative infrastructures and eliminating duplicative operations; coordinating geographically separate organizations; unanticipated issues in integrating information technology, communications and other systems; and potential unknown liabilities, unforeseen expenses relating to integration, or delays associated with the Transaction.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5
Our growth strategy may not prove viable and we may not realize expected results.
Our business strategy is to grow rapidly by building a network of medical groups and integrated physician networks and is significantly dependent on locating and acquiring, partnering or contracting with medical practices to provide healthcare delivery services. We seek growth opportunities both organically and through acquisitions of or alliances with other medical service providers. As part of our growth strategy, we regularly review potential strategic opportunities, including acquisitions, partnerships, investments and divestitures. Identifying and establishing suitable strategic relationships is time-consuming and costly. There can be no assurance that we will be successful. We cannot guarantee that we will be successful in pursuing such strategic opportunities or assure the consequences of any strategic transactions. If we fail to evaluate and execute strategic transactions properly, we may not achieve anticipated benefits and may incur increased costs. Our strategic transactions involve a number of risks and uncertainties, including: - We may not be able to successfully identify suitable strategic opportunities, complete desired strategic transactions, or realize their expected benefits. In addition, we compete for strategic transactions with other potential players, some of whom may have greater resources than we do. This competition may intensify due to the ongoing consolidation in the healthcare industry, which may increase our costs to pursue such opportunities. - We may not be able to establish suitable strategic relationships and may fail to integrate them into our business. We cannot be certain of the extent of any unknown, undisclosed or contingent liabilities of any acquired business, including liabilities for failure to comply with applicable laws. We may incur material liabilities for past activities from strategic relationships. Also, depending on the location of the strategic transactions, we may be required to comply with laws and regulations that may differ from those of California, the state in which we currently operate. - We may form strategic relationships with medical practices that operate with lower profit margins as compared with ours or that have a different payer mix than our other practice groups, which would reduce our overall profit margin. Depending upon the nature of the local market, we may not be able to implement our business model in every local market that we enter, which could negatively impact our revenues and financial condition. - We may incur substantial costs to complete strategic transactions, integrate strategic relationships into our business, or expand our operations, including hiring more employees and engaging other personnel, to provide services to additional patients that we are responsible for managing pursuant to the new relationships. If such relationships terminate or diminish before we can realize their expected benefits, any costs that we have already incurred may not be recovered. - If we finance strategic transactions by issuing our equity securities or securities convertible thereto, our existing stockholders could be diluted. If we finance strategic transactions with debt, it could result in higher leverage and interest costs for us. - If we are not successful in our efforts to identify and execute strategic transactions on beneficial terms, our ability to implement our business plan and achieve our targets could be adversely affected. The process of integrating strategic relationships also involves significant risks, including: - difficulties in coping with demands on management related to the increased size of our business;- difficulties resulting from the diversion of management's attention from our daily operations;- difficulties in assimilating different corporate cultures and business practices;- difficulties in converting other entities' books and records and conforming their practices to ours;- difficulties in integrating operating, accounting, and information technology systems of other entities with ours and in maintaining uniform procedures, policies, and standards such as internal accounting controls;- difficulties in retaining employees who may be vital to the integration of the acquired entities; and - difficulties in maintaining contracts and relationships with payers of other entities. We may be required to make certain contingent payments in connection with strategic transactions from time to time. The fair value of such payments is reevaluated periodically based on changes in our estimate of future operating results and changes in market discount rates. Any changes in our estimated fair value are recognized in our results of operations. The actual payments, however, may exceed our estimated fair value. Increases in actual contingent payments compared to the amounts recognized may have an adverse effect on our financial condition. There can be no assurance that we will be able to effectively integrate strategic relationships into our business, which may negatively impact our business model, revenues, results of operations, and financial condition. In addition, strategic transactions are time-intensive, requiring significant commitment of our management's focus. If our management spends too much time assessing potential opportunities, completing strategic transactions, and integrating strategic relationships, our management may not have sufficient time to focus on our existing operations. This diversion of attention could have material and adverse consequences on our operations and profitability.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 16/72 (22%)Above Sector Average
Regulation11 | 15.3%
Regulation - Risk 1
Hospitals where our affiliated physicians provide services may deny privileges to our physicians.
In general, our affiliated physicians may only provide services in a hospital where they have maintained certain credentials, also known as privileges, which are granted by the medical staff according to the bylaws of the hospital. The medical staff could decide that our affiliated physicians can no longer receive privileges to practice there. Such a decision would limit our ability to furnish services at the hospital, decrease the number of our affiliated physicians, or preclude us from entering new hospitals. In addition, hospitals may attempt to enter into exclusive contracts for certain physician services, which would reduce our access to patient populations within the hospital.
Regulation - Risk 2
If we are unable to effectively adapt to changes in the healthcare industry, including changes to laws and regulations regarding or affecting U.S. healthcare reform, our business may be harmed.
Due to the importance of the healthcare industry in the lives of all Americans, federal, state, and local legislative bodies frequently pass legislation and promulgate regulations relating to healthcare reform or that affect the healthcare industry. As has been the trend in recent years, it is reasonable to assume that there will continue to be increased government oversight and regulation of the healthcare industry in the future. We cannot assure our stockholders as to the ultimate content, timing, or effect of any new healthcare legislation or regulations, nor is it possible at this time to estimate the impact of potential new legislation or regulations on our business. It is possible that future legislation enacted by Congress or state legislatures, or regulations promulgated by regulatory authorities at the federal or state level, could adversely affect our business or could change the operating environment of the hospitals and other facilities where our affiliated physicians provide services. It is possible that the changes to Medicare, Medicaid, or other governmental healthcare program reimbursements may serve as precedent to possible changes in other payers' reimbursement policies in a manner adverse to us. Similarly, changes in private payer reimbursements could lead to adverse changes in Medicare, Medicaid, and other governmental healthcare programs, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Although we do not anticipate that a single-payer national health insurance system will be enacted by the current Congress, several legislative initiatives have been proposed by members of Congress and presidential candidates that would establish some form of a single public or quasi-public agency that organizes healthcare financing, but under which healthcare delivery would remain private. If enacted, such a system could adversely affect our business.
Regulation - Risk 3
Federal and state laws may limit our ability to collect monies owed by patients.
We use third-party collection agencies whom we do not control to collect from patients any co-payments and other payments for services that our physicians provide. The federal Fair Debt Collection Practices Act of 1977 (the "FDCPA") restricts the methods that third-party collection companies may use to contact and seek payment from consumer debtors regarding past-due accounts. State laws vary with respect to debt collection practices, although most state requirements are similar to those under the FDCPA. Therefore, such agencies may not be successful in collecting payments owed to us and our affiliated physician groups. If the practices of collection agencies utilized by us are inconsistent with these standards, we may be subject to actual damages and penalties. These factors and events could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 4
Laws regulating the corporate practice of medicine could restrict the manner in which we are permitted to conduct our business and the failure to comply with such laws could subject us to penalties and restructuring.
Some states have laws that prohibit business entities from practicing medicine, employing physicians to practice medicine, exercising control over medical decisions by physicians (also known collectively as the corporate practice of medicine) or engaging in some arrangements, such as fee-splitting, with physicians. In some states, these prohibitions are expressly stated in a statute or regulation, while in other states, the prohibition is a matter of judicial or regulatory interpretation. California, where a substantial amount of our operations are located, is one of the states that prohibit the corporate practice of medicine. In California, Nevada, and Texas, we operate by maintaining contracts with our affiliated physician groups, which are each owned and operated by physicians, and which employ or contract with additional physicians to provide physician services. Under these arrangements, we or our subsidiaries provide management services, receive a management fee for providing management services, do not represent to offer medical services, and do not exercise influence or control over the practice of medicine by the physicians or the affiliated physician groups. In addition to the above management arrangements, in certain instances, we have contractual rights relating to the transfer of equity interests in our affiliated physician groups under physician shareholder agreements that we entered into with the controlling equity holder of such affiliated physician groups. However, even in such instances, such equity interests cannot be transferred to or held by us or by any non-professional organization. Accordingly, we do not directly own any equity interests in any affiliated physician groups in California, Nevada, and Texas. In the event that any of these affiliated physician groups or their equity holders fail to comply with these management or ownership transfer arrangements, these arrangements are terminated, we are unable to enforce such arrangements, or these arrangements are invalidated under applicable laws, there could be a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition and we may have to restructure our organization and change our arrangements with our affiliated physician groups, which may not be successful.
Regulation - Risk 5
The healthcare industry is intensely regulated at the federal, state, and local levels, and government authorities may determine that we fail to comply with applicable laws or regulations and take action against us.
As a company involved in providing healthcare services, we are subject to numerous federal, state, and local laws and regulations. There are significant costs involved in complying with these laws and regulations. If we are found to have violated any applicable laws or regulations, we could be subject to civil and/or criminal damages, fines, sanctions, or penalties, including exclusion from participation in governmental healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, and we may be required to change our method of operations and business strategy. These consequences could be the result of our current conduct or even conduct that occurred a number of years ago. We could incur significant costs to defend ourselves if we become the subject of an investigation or legal proceeding alleging a violation of these laws and regulations. We cannot predict whether a federal, state, or local government will determine that we are not operating in accordance with the law, or whether, when or how the laws will change in the future and impact our business. The following is a non-exhaustive list of some of the more significant healthcare laws and regulations that could affect us: - The False Claims Act, which provides for penalties against entities and individuals who knowingly or recklessly make claims to Medicare, Medicaid, and other governmental healthcare programs, as well as third-party payers, that contain or are based upon false or fraudulent information;- A provision of the Social Security Act, commonly referred to as the "Anti-Kickback Statute," that prohibits the knowing and willful offering, payment, solicitation, or receipt of any bribe, kickback, rebate, or other remuneration, in cash or in kind, in return for the referral or recommendation of patients for items and services covered, in or in part, by federal healthcare programs such as Medicare and Medicaid;- A provision of the Social Security Act, commonly referred to as the Stark Law or physician self-referral law (subject to limited exceptions), prohibits physicians from referring Medicare patients to an entity for the provision of specific "designated health services" if the physician or a member of such physician's immediate family has a direct or indirect financial relationship with the entity, and prohibits the entity from billing for services arising out of such prohibited referrals;- A provision of the Social Security Act that provides for criminal penalties on healthcare providers who fail to disclose known overpayments;- A provision of the Social Security Act that provides for civil monetary penalties on healthcare providers who fail to repay known overpayments within 60 days of identification or the date any corresponding cost report was due, if applicable, and also allows improper retention of known overpayments to serve as a basis for False Claims Act violations;- Provisions of the Social Security Act (emanating from the DRA) require entities that make or receive annual Medicaid payments of $5 million or more from a single Medicaid program to provide its employees, contractors, and agents with written policies and employee handbook materials on federal and state false claims acts and related statutes, that establish a Medicaid Integrity Program designed to enhance federal and state efforts to detect Medicaid fraud, waste, and abuse, and that increase financial incentives for both states and individuals to bring fraud and abuse claims against healthcare companies;- State law provisions pertaining to anti-kickback, self-referral, and false claims issues;- Provisions of, and regulations relating to, HIPAA that provide penalties for knowingly and willfully executing a scheme or artifice to defraud a healthcare benefit program or falsifying, concealing, or covering up a material fact or making any materially false, fictitious, or fraudulent statement in connection with the delivery of or payment for healthcare benefits, items, or services;- Provisions of HIPAA and the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act of 2009 ("HITECH") limiting how covered entities, business associates, and business associate sub-contractors may use and disclose PHI and the security measures that must be taken in connection with protecting that information and related systems, as well as similar or more stringent state laws;- Federal and state laws provide penalties for providers for billing and receiving payments from a governmental healthcare program for services unless the services are medically necessary and reasonable, adequately and accurately documented, and billed using codes that accurately reflect the type and level of services rendered;- State laws that provide for financial solvency requirements relating to risk-bearing organizations ("RBOs"), plan operations, plan-affiliate operations and transactions, plan-provider contractual relationships, and provider-affiliate operations and transactions, such as California Business & Professions Code Section 1375.4;- Federal laws that provide for administrative sanctions, including civil monetary penalties for, among other violations, inappropriate billing of services to federal healthcare programs, payments by hospitals to physicians for reducing or limiting services to Medicare or Medicaid patients, or employing or contracting with individuals or entities who/which are excluded from participation in federal healthcare programs;- Federal and state laws and policies require healthcare providers to enroll in the Medicare and Medicaid programs before submitting any claims for services, to promptly report certain changes in their operations to the agencies that administer these programs, and to re-enroll in these programs when changes in direct or indirect ownership occur or in response to revalidation requests from Medicare and Medicaid;- State laws that prohibit general business entities from practicing medicine, controlling physicians' medical decisions or engaging in certain practices, such as splitting fees with physicians;- State laws that require timely payment of claims, including §1371.38, et al., of the California Health & Safety Code, which imposes time limits for the payment of uncontested covered claims and requires healthcare service plans to pay interest on uncontested claims not paid promptly within the required time period;- Laws in some states that prohibit non-domiciled entities from owning and operating medical practices in such states;- Federal and state laws and regulations restricting the techniques that may be used to collect past due accounts from consumers, such as our patients, for services provided to the consumer; and - State laws that require healthcare providers that assume professional and institutional risk (i.e., full risk) to either obtain a license under the Knox-Keene Health Care Service Plan Act of 1975 or receive an exemption from the California Department of Managed Healthcare ("DMHC") for the contract(s) under which the entity assumes full risk. Any violation or alleged violation of any of these laws or regulations by us or our affiliates could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 6
Changes in healthcare laws could create an uncertain environment and materially impact us. We cannot predict the effect that the ACA (also known as Obamacare) and its implementation, amendment, or repeal and replacement, may have on our business, results of operations, or financial condition.
Any changes in healthcare laws or regulations that reduce, curtail, or eliminate payments, government-subsidized programs, government-sponsored programs, and/or the expansion of Medicare or Medicaid, among other actions, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition. For example, the ACA dramatically changed how healthcare services are covered, delivered, and reimbursed. The ACA requires insurers to accept all applicants, regardless of pre-existing conditions, cover an extensive list of conditions and treatments, and charge the same rates, regardless of pre-existing conditions or gender. The ACA and the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010 (collectively, the "Health Care Reform Acts") also mandated changes specific to home health and hospice benefits under Medicare. In 2012, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld the constitutionality of the ACA, including the "individual mandate" provisions of the ACA that generally require all individuals to obtain healthcare insurance or pay a penalty. However, the U.S. Supreme Court also held that the provision of the ACA that authorized the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services ("HHS") to penalize states that choose not to participate in the expansion of the Medicaid program by removing all of its existing Medicaid funding was unconstitutional. In response to the ruling, a number of state governors opposed their state's participation in the expanded Medicaid program, which resulted in the ACA not providing coverage to some low-income persons in those states. In addition, several bills have been, and are continuing to be, introduced in U.S. Congress to amend all or significant provisions of the ACA, or repeal and replace the ACA with another law. In December 2017, the individual mandate was repealed via the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. Afterward, legal and political challenges as to the constitutionality of the remaining provisions of the ACA resumed. Just as the fate of the ACA is uncertain, so is the future of care organizations established under the ACA, such as ACOs and ACO REACH. Under its ACO REACH Participation Agreement with CMS, our operations are always subject to the nation's healthcare laws, as amended, repealed, or replaced from time to time. The net effect of the ACA on our business is subject to numerous variables, including the law's complexity, lack of complete implementing regulations and interpretive guidance, gradual and potentially delayed implementation, or possible amendment, as well as the uncertainty as to the extent to which states will choose to participate in the expanded Medicaid program. The continued implementation of provisions of the ACA, the adoption of new regulations thereunder and ongoing challenges thereto, also add uncertainty about the current state of U.S. healthcare laws and could negatively impact our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 7
We do not have a Knox-Keene license covering all of our lines of business.
The Knox-Keene Health Care Service Plan Act of 1975 was passed by the California State Legislature to regulate California managed care plans and is currently administered by the DMHC. A Knox-Keene Act license is required to operate a healthcare service plan, e.g., an HMO, or an organization that accepts full risk, i.e., accepts full risk for a patient population, including risk related to institutional services, e.g., hospital and professional services. Applying for and obtaining such a license is a time-consuming and detail-oriented undertaking. Although FYB is licensed by the DMHC as a full-service Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plan, its license is limited to its Medicare Advantage line of business in designated California counties only and does not extend to all of our lines of business, such as Medi-Cal and commercial lines of business. As such, for those lines of business not covered by our Restricted Knox-Keene license, if the DMHC were to determine that we have been inappropriately taking risk for institutional and professional services as a result of our various hospital and physician arrangements without having any Knox-Keene license or applicable regulatory exemption, we may be required to obtain a Knox-Keene license and could be subject to civil and criminal liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 8
If our affiliated physician groups and Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plan are not able to satisfy California regulations related to financial solvency and operational performance, they could become subject to sanctions and their ability to do business in California could be limited or terminated.
The DMHC has instituted regulations that are intended to provide a formal mechanism for monitoring the financial solvency and operational performance of RBOs (including capitated physician groups) and Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plans in California. Under current DMHC regulations, our affiliated physician groups, as applicable, are required to, among other things: - Maintain, at all times, a minimum "cash-to-claims ratio" (which means the organization's cash, marketable securities, and certain qualified receivables, divided by the organization's total unpaid claims liability) of 0.75; and - Submit periodic reports to the DMHC containing various data and attestations regarding their performance and financial solvency, including IBNR calculations, documentation, and attestations as to whether or not the organization (i) was in compliance with the "Knox-Keene Act" requirements related to claims payment timeliness, and (ii) had maintained compliance with minimum "cash-to-claims ratio", tangible net equity, and positive working capital requirements. In the event that a physician group is not in compliance with any of the above criteria, it would be required to describe in a report submitted to the DMHC the reasons for non-compliance and actions to be taken to bring it into compliance. Under such regulations, the DMHC can also make some of the information contained in the reports public, including, but not limited to, whether or not a particular physician organization met each of the criteria. In the event that a physician group is not in compliance with any of the above criteria, it would be required to describe in a report submitted to the DMHC the reasons for non-compliance and actions to be taken to bring it into compliance. Under such regulations, the DMHC can also make some of the information contained in the reports public, including, but not limited to, whether or not a particular physician organization met each of the criteria.
Regulation - Risk 9
We may be subject to liability for failure to fully comply with applicable corporate and securities laws.
We are subject to various corporate and securities laws. Any failure to comply with such laws could cause government agencies to take action against us, which could restrict our ability to issue securities and result in fines or penalties. Any claim brought by such an agency could also cause us to expend resources to defend ourselves, divert the attention of our management from our business and could significantly harm our business, operating results, and financial condition, even if the claim is resolved in our favor.
Regulation - Risk 10
We may also be subject to laws and regulations not specifically targeting the healthcare industry.
Certain regulations not specifically targeting the healthcare industry could also have material effects on our operations. For example, the California Finance Lenders Law (the "CFLL") could be applied to us as a result of our various affiliate and subsidiary loans and similar arrangements. If a regulator were to take the position that such loans were covered by the CFLL, we could be subject to regulatory action that could impair our ability to continue to operate and may have a material adverse effect on our profitability and business as we currently do not hold a CFLL licensure. Pursuant to an exemption under the CFLL, a person may make five or fewer commercial loans in a 12-month period without a CFLL licensure if the loans are "incidental" to the business of the person. This exemption, however, creates some uncertainty as to which loans could be deemed as incidental to our business. In addition, a person without a CFLL licensure may also make a single commercial loan in a 12-month period without the loan being "incidental" to such person's business.
Regulation - Risk 11
We have to meet certain requirements in order to remain as a Nasdaq-listed public company.
As a public company, Astrana is required to comply with various regulatory and reporting requirements, including those required by the SEC. Astrana is also subject to Nasdaq listing rules. Complying with these requirements is time-consuming and expensive. No assurance can be given that Astrana can continue to meet the SEC reporting and Nasdaq listing requirements.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities2 | 2.8%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may face lawsuits not covered by insurance and related expenses may be material. Our failure to avoid, defend, and accrue for claims and litigation could negatively impact our results of operations or cash flows.
We are exposed to and become involved in various litigation matters arising out of our business, including from time to time, actual or threatened lawsuits. Malpractice lawsuits are common in the healthcare industry. The medical malpractice legal environment varies greatly by state. The status of tort reform, availability of non-economic damages, or the presence or absence of other statutes, such as elder abuse or vulnerable adult statutes, influence the incidence and severity of malpractice litigation. We may also be subject to other types of lawsuits, such as those initiated by our competitors, stockholders, employees, service providers, contractors, or by government agencies, including when we terminate relationships with them, which may involve large claims and significant defense costs. Many states have joint and several liabilities for providers who deliver care to a patient and are at least partially liable. As a result, if one provider is found liable for medical malpractice for the provision of care to a particular patient, all other providers who furnished care to that same patient, which could potentially include us and our affiliated physicians, may also share in the liability, which could be substantial individually or in aggregate. The defense of litigation, including fees of legal counsel, expert witnesses, and related costs, is expensive and difficult to forecast accurately. Such costs may be unrecoverable even if we ultimately prevail in litigation and could consume a significant portion of our limited capital resources. To defend lawsuits, it may also be necessary for us to divert officers and other employees from our normal business functions to gather evidence, give testimony, and otherwise support litigation efforts. If we lose any material litigation, we could face material judgments or awards against them. An unfavorable resolution of one or more of the proceedings in which we are involved now or in the future could have a material adverse effect on our business, cash flows, and financial condition. We may also in the future find it necessary to file lawsuits to recover damages or protect our interests. The cost of such litigation could also be significant and unrecoverable, which may also deter us from aggressively pursuing even legitimate claims. We currently maintain malpractice liability insurance coverage to cover professional liability and other claims for certain hospitalists and clinic physicians. All of our affiliated physicians are required to carry first-dollar coverage with limits of coverage equal to $1.0 million for all claims based on occurrence up to an aggregate of $3.0 million per year. We cannot be certain that our insurance coverage will be adequate to cover liabilities arising out of claims asserted against us, our affiliated professional organizations, or our affiliated physicians. Liabilities incurred by us or our affiliates in excess of our insurance coverage, including coverage for professional liability and other claims, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Our professional liability insurance coverage generally must be renewed annually and may not continue to be available to us in future years at acceptable costs and on favorable terms, which could increase our exposure to litigation.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
Healthcare providers could be subject to federal and state investigations and payer audits.
Due to our and our affiliates' participation in government and private healthcare programs, we are from time to time involved in inquiries, reviews, audits, and investigations by governmental agencies and private payers of our business practices, including assessments of our compliance with coding, billing, and documentation requirements. Federal and state government agencies have active civil and criminal enforcement efforts against healthcare companies and their executives and managers. The DRA, provides a financial incentive to states to enact their own false claims acts, and similar laws encourage investigations against healthcare companies by different agencies. These investigations could also be initiated by private whistleblowers. Responding to audit and investigative activities are costly and disruptive to our business operations, even when the allegations are without merit. If we are subject to an audit or investigation, a finding could be made that we or our affiliates erroneously billed or were incorrectly reimbursed, and we may be required to repay such agencies or payers, may be subjected to pre-payment reviews, which can be time-consuming and result in non-payment or delayed payments for the services we or our affiliates provide, and may be subject to financial sanctions or required to modify our operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 1.4%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
The Company has a complex legal structure, and tax regulatory authorities may disagree with our positions and conclusions regarding certain tax positions, resulting in unanticipated costs or non-realization of expected benefits.
The Company has a complex legal structure, and a tax authority may disagree with tax positions that we have taken. For example, the Internal Revenue Service or another tax authority could challenge our allocation of income by tax jurisdiction and the amounts paid between our affiliated companies pursuant to our intercompany arrangements and transfer pricing policies, including amounts paid with respect to our legal structure. A tax authority may take the position that material income tax liabilities, interest, and penalties are payable by us, in which case, we expect that we might contest such assessment. Contesting such an assessment may be lengthy and costly, and if we were unsuccessful in disputing the assessment, the implications could be materially adverse to us and affect our anticipated effective tax rate or operating income, and we could be required to pay substantial penalties and interest where applicable. The Company is currently under examination by the Internal Revenue Service for our 2019-2021 tax returns.
Environmental / Social2 | 2.8%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Our reputation could be adversely impacted by environmental, social and governance ("ESG"), policies and practices.
The increasing focus by stakeholders on our ESG policies and practices, including corporate citizenship and sustainability, could result in additional costs, and could adversely impact our reputation, consumer perception, employee retention, and willingness of third parties to do business with us. Additionally, public interest and legislative pressure related to public companies' ESG practices continues to grow. If our ESG policies and practices fail to meet regulatory requirements or stakeholders' evolving expectations and standards for responsible corporate citizenship, our reputation and employee retention may be negatively impacted. We could also incur additional costs and require additional resources to monitor, report and comply with various ESG practices, laws and regulations, as well as any initiatives or goals we may establish or announce. If we do establish such initiatives or goals, there can be no assurance that our stakeholders will agree with our strategy or that we will be successful in achieving such initiatives or goals. Moreover, we may determine that it is in the best interest of our Company and our stockholders to prioritize other business, social, governance or sustainability investments over the achievement of any such initiatives or goals based on economic, regulatory and social factors, business strategy or pressure from investors, activist groups or other stakeholders. Inconsistency of legislation and regulations among jurisdictions, including anti-ESG policies or legislation, and expected additional regulations may also affect the costs of compliance with such laws and regulations. If we fail to adopt ESG standards or practices as quickly as stakeholders desire, fail, or are perceived to fail, in our achievement of any initiatives or goals, or fail in fully and accurately reporting our progress on any such initiatives and goals,our reputation, business, financial performance and growth may be adversely impacted. Any such matters, or related corporate citizenship and sustainability matters, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
Compliance with federal and state privacy and data security laws is expensive, and we may be subject to government or private actions due to privacy and security breaches.
We must comply with various federal and state laws and regulations governing the collection, dissemination, access, use, security, and confidentiality of PHI, including HIPAA and HITECH. As part of our medical record keeping, third-party billing, and other services, we collect and maintain PHI in paper and electronic format. Privacy and data security laws and regulations thus could have a significant effect on the manner in which we handle healthcare-related data and communicate with payers. In addition, compliance with these standards could limit our ability to offer services, thereby negatively impacting the business opportunities available to us. Despite our efforts to prevent privacy and security breaches, they may still occur. If any non-compliance with such laws and regulations results in privacy or security breaches, we could be subject to monetary fines, suits, penalties, or sanctions. As a result of the expanded scope of HIPAA through HITECH, we may incur significant costs in order to minimize the amount of "unsecured PHI" that we handle and retain, and/or to implement improved administrative, technical, or physical safeguards to protect PHI. We may have to demonstrate and document our compliance efforts, even if there is a low probability that PHI has been compromised, in order to overcome the presumption that an impermissible use or disclosure of PHI results in a reportable breach. We may incur significant costs to notify the relevant individuals, government entities and, in some cases, the media, in the event of a breach and to provide appropriate remediation and monitoring to mitigate any potential damage.
Production
Total Risks: 12/72 (17%)Above Sector Average
Employment / Personnel6 | 8.3%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Our revenue will be negatively impacted if our physicians fail to appropriately document their services.
We rely upon our affiliated physicians to appropriately and accurately complete necessary medical record documentation and assign appropriate reimbursement codes for their services. Reimbursement is conditioned upon, in part, our affiliated physicians providing the correct procedure and diagnosis codes and properly documenting the services themselves, including the level of service provided and the medical necessity for the services. If our affiliated physicians have provided incorrect or incomplete documentation or selected inaccurate reimbursement codes, this could result in non-payment for services rendered or lead to allegations of billing fraud. This could subsequently lead to civil and criminal penalties, including exclusion from government healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid. In addition, third-party payers may disallow, in whole or in part, requests for reimbursement based on determinations that certain amounts are not covered, services provided were not medically necessary, or supporting documentation was not adequate. Retroactive adjustments may change amounts realized from third-party payers and result in recoupments or refund demands, affecting revenue already received.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Primary care physicians may seek to affiliate with our competitors' IPAs.
It is common in the medical services industry for primary care physicians to be affiliated with multiple IPAs. Our affiliated IPAs, therefore, may enter into agreements with physicians who are also affiliated with our competitors. However, some of our competitors at times have agreements with physicians that require the physician to provide exclusive services. Our affiliated IPAs often have no knowledge, and no way of knowing, whether a physician is subject to an exclusivity agreement without being informed by the physician. Competitors have, in the past, initiated lawsuits against us alleging in part interference with such exclusivity arrangements, and may do so again in the future. An adverse outcome from any such lawsuit could adversely affect our business, cash flows, and financial condition.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
If we inadvertently employ or contract with an excluded person, we may face government sanctions.
Individuals and entities can be excluded from participating in the Medicare and Medicaid programs for violating certain laws and regulations, or for other reasons such as the loss of a license in any state, even if the person retains other licensure. This means that the excluded person and others are prohibited from receiving payments for such person's services rendered to Medicare or Medicaid beneficiaries, and if the excluded person is a physician, all services ordered (not just provided) by such physician are also non-covered and non-payable. Entities that employ or contract with excluded individuals are prohibited from billing the Medicare or Medicaid programs for the excluded individual's services, and are subject to civil penalties if they do. The HHS Office of the Inspector General maintains a list of excluded persons. Although we have instituted policies and procedures to minimize such risks, there can be no assurance that we will not inadvertently hire or contract with an excluded person, or that our employees or contracts will not become excluded in the future without our knowledge. If this occurs, we may be subject to substantial repayments and civil penalties, and the hospitals at which we furnish services may also be subject to repayments and sanctions, for which they may seek recovery from us, which could adversely affect our business, cash flows, and financial condition.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 4
Competition for qualified physicians, employees, and management personnel is intense in the healthcare industry, and we may not be able to hire and retain or contract with qualified physicians and other personnel.
We depend on our affiliated physicians to provide services and generate revenue. We compete with many types of healthcare providers, including teaching, research and government institutions, hospitals, and other practice groups, for the services of clinicians and management personnel. The limited number of residents and other licensed providers on the job market with the expertise necessary to provide services within our business makes it challenging to meet our hiring needs and may require us to train new employees, contract temporary physicians, or offer more attractive wage and benefit packages to experienced professionals, which could decrease our profit margins. The limited number of available residents and other licensed providers also impacts our ability to renew contracts with existing physicians on acceptable terms or replace physicians as they retire from practice. As a result, our ability to provide services could be adversely affected. In some markets, the lack of availability of clinical personnel, such as physicians and allied health professionals, has become a significant operating issue facing all healthcare providers. This shortage has required us to enhance wages and benefits to recruit and retain qualified personnel or to contract for more expensive temporary personnel. In addition, our labor costs have increased due to higher wage rates associated with the increased competitive labor market. Because the majority of our revenue consists of prospective monthly capitated, or fixed, payments per patient, our ability to pass along increased labor costs is limited. In particular, if labor costs rise at an annual rate greater than our net annual consumer price index basket update from Medicare, our results of operations and cash flows will likely be adversely affected. Any failure to recruit and retain or contract with qualified management and medical personnel, or to control our labor costs, could have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, results of operations and financial condition. Even though our physician turnover rate has remained stable over the last three years, if the turnover rate were to increase significantly, our growth could be adversely affected. Moreover, unlike some of our competitors who sometimes pay additional compensation to physicians who agree to provide services exclusively to that competitor, our affiliated IPAs have historically not entered into such exclusivity agreements and have allowed our affiliated physicians to affiliate with multiple IPAs. This practice may place us at a competitive disadvantage regarding the hiring and retention of physicians relative to those competitors who do enter into such exclusivity agreements.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 5
Our future growth could be harmed if we lose the services of our key management personnel.
Our success depends to a significant extent on the continued contributions of our key management personnel, particularly our Chief Executive Officer and President Brandon K. Sim, M.S. for the management of our business and implementation of our business strategy. The loss of his services, or services of other key members of management, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 6
If having our key personnel serving as nominee equity holders of our VIEs is deemed invalid under applicable laws, or if we lose the services of key personnel for any reason, it could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
There are various state laws, including laws in California and other states in which we operate, regulating the corporate practice of medicine, which prohibit us from owning various healthcare entities. These corporate practice of medicine prohibitions are intended to prevent unlicensed persons from interfering with or inappropriately influencing a physician's professional judgment. The interpretation and enforcement of these laws vary significantly from state to state. As a result, many of our affiliated physician practice groups are either wholly owned or primarily owned by key personnel as the nominee shareholder for our benefit. If these arrangements were held to be invalid under applicable laws, which may change from time to time, a significant portion of our consolidated revenues would be affected, which may result in a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Similarly, if such key personnel die, become incapacitated, or otherwise are no longer affiliated with us, our relationships and arrangements with those VIEs could be in jeopardy, and our business could be adversely affected.
Supply Chain3 | 4.2%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
If our agreements with affiliated physician groups are deemed invalid or are terminated under applicable law, our results of operations and financial condition will be materially impaired.
There are various state laws, including laws in California and other states in which we operate, regulating the corporate practice of medicine, which prohibit us from directly owning medical professional entities. These prohibitions are intended to prevent unlicensed persons from interfering with or inappropriately influencing a physician's professional judgment. These and other laws may also prevent fee-splitting, which is the sharing of professional service income with non-professional or business interests. The interpretation and enforcement of these laws vary significantly from state to state. We currently derive revenues from MSAs or similar arrangements with our affiliated IPAs, whereby we provide management and administrative services to them. If these agreements and arrangements are held to be invalid under laws prohibiting the corporate practice of medicine and other laws or new laws are adopted that prohibit such agreements or arrangements, a significant portion of our revenues would be lost, resulting in a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Any failure by our affiliated entities or their owners to perform their obligations under their agreements with us would have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Our affiliated physician practice groups are owned by individual physicians who could die, become incapacitated, or become no longer affiliated with us. Although our MSAs with these affiliates provide that they will be binding on successors of current owners, as the successors are not parties to the MSAs, it is uncertain in case of the death, bankruptcy, or divorce of a current owner whether their successors would be subject to such MSAs.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
Partner facilities may terminate agreements with our affiliated physician groups or reduce their fees.
Our hospitalist physician services net revenue is derived from contracts directly with hospitals and other inpatient and post-acute care facilities. Our current partner facilities may decide not to renew contracts with, impose unfavorable terms on, or reduce fees paid to our affiliated physician groups. Any of these events may impact the ability of our affiliated physician groups to operate at such facilities, which would negatively impact our revenues, results of operations, and financial condition.
Costs3 | 4.2%
Costs - Risk 1
We do not control, but are responsible for savings and losses related to, care received by assigned patients at out-of-network providers, which could negatively impact our ability to control claim costs.
Medicare beneficiaries in the ACO REACH Model are not required to receive care from a specified network of contracted providers and facilities, which could make it difficult for us to control the financial risks of those beneficiaries. While we are not responsible for directly paying claims for out-of-network providers, we may have difficulty managing patient care and costs in relation to such out-of-network providers as compared to contracted, in-network providers, which could adversely impact our financial results as we are responsible for savings and losses of assigned beneficiaries, irrespective of whether they are using in-network or out-of-network providers. In addition, even if we are successful in encouraging more assigned patients to receive care from our contracted, in-network providers, there is the possibility that the monthly TCC from CMS will be insufficient to cover our expenditures, since the TCC is generally based on historical in-network/out-of-network ratios. If CMS fails to monitor the in-network/out-of-network provider ratio for our assigned patients on a frequent basis, or CMS's reconciliation payments to us are not timely made, this could result in negative cash flows for us, especially if increased payments will need to be made to our contracted, in-network providers.
Costs - Risk 2
We currently, and may in the future, have assets held at financial institutions that exceed the insurance coverage offered by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"); the loss of such assets would have a severe negative affect on our operations and liquidity.
We maintain our cash assets at certain financial institutions in the U.S. in amounts that are significantly in excess of the FDIC insurance limit of $250,000. As of December 31, 2023, our deposit accounts with banks exceeded the FDIC's insured limit by approximately $318.9 million. In the event of a failure of any financial institutions where we maintain our deposits or other assets, we may incur a significant loss to the extent such loss exceeds the FDIC insurance limitation, which could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition and our results of operations.
Costs - Risk 3
We may be unable to renew our leases on favorable terms or at all as our leases expire, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
We operate several leased premises. There is no assurance that we will be able to continue to occupy such premises in the future. For example, we currently rent our corporate headquarters on a month-to-month basis. We could thus spend substantial resources to meet the current landlords' demands or look for other premises. We may be unable to timely renew such leases or renew them on favorable terms, if at all. If any current lease is terminated or not renewed, we may be required to relocate our operations at substantial costs or incur increased rental expenses, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 10/72 (14%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.4%
Competition - Risk 1
The healthcare industry is highly competitive.
We compete directly with national, regional, and local providers of inpatient healthcare for patients and physicians. There are many other companies and individuals currently providing healthcare services, many of which have been in business longer and/or have substantially more resources. Since there are virtually no substantial capital expenditures required for providing healthcare services, there are few financial barriers to entry into the healthcare industry. Other companies could enter the healthcare industry in the future and divert some or all of our business. On a national basis, our competitors include, but are not limited to, Optum, Heritage, Privia Health, and Aledade, each of which has greater financial and other resources available to them. We also compete with physician groups and privately-owned healthcare companies in local markets. In addition, our relationships with governmental and private third-party payers are not exclusive and our competitors have established or could seek to establish relationships with such payers to serve their covered patients. Competitors may also seek to compete with us for acquisitions, which could have the effect of increasing the price and reducing the number of suitable acquisitions, which would have an adverse impact on our growth strategy. Individual physicians, physician groups, and companies in other healthcare industry segments, including those with which we have contracts, and some of which have greater financial, marketing, and staffing resources, may become competitors in providing healthcare services, and this competition may have a material adverse effect on our business operations and financial position. We therefore may be unable to compete successfully and even after we expend significant resources.
Demand4 | 5.6%
Demand - Risk 1
Our revenues and operations are dependent on a limited number of key payers.
Our operations are dependent on a concentrated number of payers. Four payers accounted for an aggregate of 61.7% and 59.0% of our total net revenue for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. We believe that a majority of our revenues will continue to be derived from a limited number of key payers, which may terminate their contracts with us, or our physicians credentialed by them, upon the occurrence of certain events. They may also amend the material terms of the contracts under certain circumstances. Failure to maintain such contracts on favorable terms, or at all, would materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
Demand - Risk 2
An exodus of our patients could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. We may also be impacted by a shift in payer mix, including eligibility changes to government and private insurance programs.
A material decline in the number of patients that we and our affiliated physician groups serve, whether a government or a private entity is paying for their healthcare, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition, which could result from increased competition, new developments in the healthcare industry, or regulatory overhauls. In light of the repeal of the individual mandate requirement under the ACA via the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, some people are expected to lose their health insurance and thus may not continue to afford services by our managed medical groups. In addition, due to potential decreased availability of healthcare through private employers, the number of patients who are uninsured or participate in governmental programs may increase. A shift in payer mix from managed care and other private payers to government payers or the uninsured may result in a reduction in our rates of reimbursement or an increase in our uncollectible receivables or uncompensated care, with a corresponding decrease in our net revenue. Changes in the eligibility requirements for governmental programs could also change the number of patients who participate in such programs or the number of uninsured patients. For those patients who remain with private insurance, changes in those programs could increase patient responsibility amounts, resulting in a greater risk for uncollectible receivables. Such events could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Demand - Risk 3
We currently derive a substantial portion of our revenues in California and are vulnerable to changes in that state.
We primarily operate in California. Any material changes with respect to consumer preferences, taxation, reimbursements, financial requirements, or other aspects of healthcare delivery in California or the state's economic conditions could have an adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Demand - Risk 4
Consolidation in the healthcare industry could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Many healthcare industry participants and payers are consolidating to create larger and more integrated healthcare delivery systems with greater market power. We expect regulatory and economic conditions to result in additional consolidation in the healthcare industry in the future. As consolidation accelerates, the economies of scale of our partners' organizations may grow. If a partner experiences sizable growth following consolidation, it may determine that it no longer needs to rely on us and may reduce its demand for our products and services. In addition, as healthcare providers consolidate to create larger and more integrated healthcare delivery systems with greater market power, these providers may try to use their market power to negotiate fee reductions for our products and services. Finally, consolidation may also result in the acquisition or future development by our partners of products and services that compete with our products and services. Any of these potential results of consolidation could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing5 | 6.9%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Our continued participation in other CMS Advanced Alternative Payment Models, such as the ACO REACH, cannot be guaranteed.
Our ACO participated in the GPDC Model in 2022, the ACO Reach Model in 2023 and has an active participation agreement with CMS for 2024. However, the Participation Agreement for the ACO REACH Model may be terminated sooner by CMS as specified therein and CMS has the flexibility to alter or change the program over time. Among many requirements to be eligible to participate in the ACO REACH Model, we must have at least 5,000 aligned Medicare beneficiaries and must maintain that number throughout each performance year. If that number were not maintained, we would become ineligible for the ACO REACH Model. In addition, we are required to comply with all applicable laws and regulations regarding provider-based risk-bearing entities. We could be terminated from the ACO REACH Model at any time if we do not continue to comply with the ACO REACH participation requirements. If future compliance or performance issues arise, we may lose our current eligibility and may be subject to CMS's enforcement or contract actions, including our potential inability to participate in the TCC mechanism (where the payment mechanism would default to traditional FFS) or dismissal from the ACO REACH Model, which would have a material adverse effect on our revenues and cash flows. In addition, the payments from CMS to us will decrease if the number of beneficiaries assigned to our ACO declines or if the contracted providers terminate their relationships with us, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations on a consolidated basis.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Controls imposed by Medicare, Medicaid, and private payers designed to reduce inpatient services and associated costs may reduce our revenues.
Controls imposed by Medicare, Medicaid, and private payers designed to reduce admissions and lengths of stay, commonly referred to as "utilization review," have affected and are expected to continue to affect our operations. Federal law contains numerous provisions designed to ensure that services rendered by hospitals and other care providers to Medicare and Medicaid patients meet professionally recognized standards and are medically necessary and that claims for reimbursement are properly filed. These provisions include a requirement that a sampling of admissions of Medicare and Medicaid patients must be reviewed by quality improvement organizations, which review the appropriateness of Medicare and Medicaid patient admissions and discharges, the quality of care provided, and the appropriateness of cases of extraordinary length of stay or cost on a post-discharge basis. Quality improvement organizations may deny payment for services or assess fines and also have the authority to recommend to the HHS that a provider is in substantial non-compliance with the standards of the quality improvement organization and should be excluded from participation in the Medicare program. The ACA potentially expands the use of prepayment review by Medicare contractors by eliminating statutory restrictions on its use, and, as a result, efforts to impose more stringent cost controls are expected to continue. Utilization review is also a requirement of most non-governmental managed care organizations and other third-party payers. Inpatient utilization, average lengths of stay and occupancy rates continue to be negatively affected by payer-required pre-admission authorization and utilization review and by third-party payer pressure to maximize outpatient and alternative healthcare delivery services for less acutely ill patients. Although we are unable to predict the effect these controls and any changes thereto may have on our operations, significant limits on the scope of our services reimbursed and on reimbursement rates and fees could have a material, adverse effect on our business, financial position, and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
We are dependent in part on referrals from third parties and preferred provider status with payers.
Our business relies in part on referrals from third parties for our services. We receive referrals from community medical providers, emergency departments, payers, and hospitals in the same manner as other medical professionals receive patient referrals. We do not provide compensation or other remuneration to referral sources for referring patients to us. A decrease in these referrals due to competition, concerns about our services and other factors could result in a significant decrease in our revenues and adversely impact our financial condition. Similarly, we cannot assure that we will be able to obtain or maintain preferred provider status with significant third-party payers in the communities where we operate. If we are unable to maintain our referral base or our preferred provider status with significant third-party payers, it may negatively impact our revenues and financial performance.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 4
Changes associated with reimbursements by third-party payers or decreases in payer rates may adversely affect our operations.
The medical services industry is undergoing significant changes with government and other third-party payers that are taking measures to reduce reimbursement rates or, in some cases, denying reimbursement altogether. There is no assurance that government or other third-party payers will continue to pay for the services provided by our affiliated medical groups. Furthermore, there has been, and continues to be, a great deal of discussion and debate about the repeal and replacement of existing government reimbursement programs, such as the ACA. As a result, the future of healthcare reimbursement programs is uncertain, making long-term business planning difficult and imprecise. In addition, decreases in payer rates, either prospectively or retroactively, could have a significant adverse effect on our revenues, cash flows, and results of operations. The failure of government or other third-party payers to adequately cover the medical services provided by us could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition. Our business may be significantly and adversely affected by legislative initiatives aimed at or having the effect of reducing healthcare costs associated with Medicare and other government healthcare programs and changes in reimbursement policies. In order to participate in the Medicare program, our affiliated provider groups must comply with stringent and often complex enrollment and reimbursement requirements; failure to do so could result in the provider group's participation in the federal health care programs being terminated, or civil and/or criminal penalties being imposed. These programs generally provide for reimbursement on a fee-schedule basis rather than on a charge-related basis. As a result, we cannot increase our revenue by increasing the amount that we and our affiliates charge for services. To the extent that our costs increase, we may not be able to recover the increased costs from these programs. In addition, cost containment measures in non-governmental insurance plans have generally restricted our ability to recover, or shift to non-governmental payers, these increased costs. In attempts to limit federal and state spending, there have been, and we expect that there will continue to be, a number of proposals to limit or reduce Medicare reimbursement for various services. For example, the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act of 2015 made numerous changes to Medicare, Medicaid, and other healthcare-related programs, including new systems for establishing annual updates to Medicare rates for physicians' services.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 5
We may have difficulty collecting payments from third-party payers in a timely manner.
We derive significant revenue from third-party payers, and delays in payment or refunds to payers may adversely impact our net revenue. We assume the financial risks relating to uncollectible and delayed payments. In particular, we rely on some key governmental payers. Governmental payers typically pay on a more extended payment cycle, which could require us to incur substantial expenses prior to receiving corresponding payments. In the current healthcare environment, as payers continue to control expenditures for healthcare services, including through revising their coverage and reimbursement policies, we may continue to experience difficulties in collecting payments from payers who may seek to reduce or delay such payments. If we are not timely paid in full or if we need to refund some payments, our revenues, cash flows, and financial condition could be adversely affected.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 5/72 (7%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D2 | 2.8%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Added
The Transaction is subject to conditions, some or all of which may not be satisfied, and the Transaction may not be completed on a timely basis, if at all. Failure to complete the Transaction in a timely manner or at all could have adverse effects on the Company.
There can be no assurance that the proposed Transaction will occur in a timely manner, or at all. The completion of the Transaction is subject to a number of conditions, including, among others, receipt of applicable regulatory and governmental approvals, which make the completion and timing of the completion of the Transaction uncertain. Also, either party may terminate the Purchase Agreement if the Transaction has not been consummated by August 8, 2025 (provided, that if certain required regulatory approvals have not been met by such date, then the Sellers may extend such date for up to an additional three months), except that this right to terminate the Purchase Agreement is not available to any party that has materially breached any provision of the Purchase Agreement, where such breach has resulted in the failure of certain conditions to closing the Purchase Agreement to be satisfied. If the Transaction is not completed, our ongoing business, financial condition, financial results, and stock price may be materially adversely affected. Without realizing any of the benefits of having completed the Transaction, we will be subject to a number of risks, including the following: - the market price of our common stock could decline to the extent that the current market price reflects a market assumption that the Transaction will be completed;- if the Purchase Agreement is terminated and we seek another acquisition, our stockholders cannot be certain that we will be able to find a party willing to enter into a transaction on terms equivalent to or more attractive than the terms of the Purchase Agreement;- time and resources committed by our management to matters relating to the Transaction could otherwise have been devoted to pursuing other beneficial opportunities for the Company;- we may experience negative reactions from the financial markets or from our customers, suppliers or employees;- we will be required to pay our costs relating to the Transaction, such as legal, accounting, and financial advisory fees, whether or not the Transaction is completed; and - litigation related to any failure to complete the Transaction or related to any enforcement proceeding commenced against us to perform our obligations pursuant to the Purchase Agreement. The materialization of any of these risks could adversely impact our ongoing business, financial condition, financial results, and stock price. Similarly, delays in the completion of the Transaction could, among other things, result in additional transaction costs, loss of revenue, or other negative effects associated with uncertainty about completion of the Transaction.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
Our success depends, to a significant degree, upon our ability to adapt to the ever-changing healthcare industry and continued development of additional services.
Although we expect to provide a broad and competitive range of services, there can be no assurance of acceptance of current services by the marketplace. Our ability to procure new contracts may be dependent upon the continuing results achieved at the current facilities, upon pricing and operational considerations, and the potential need for continuing improvement to our existing services. Moreover, the markets for our new services may not develop as expected nor can there be any assurance that we will be successful in marketing any such services.
Cyber Security1 | 1.4%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Breaches or compromises of our information security systems or our information technology systems or infrastructure could result in exposure of private information, disruption of our business, and damage to our reputation, which could harm our business, results of operation, and financial condition.
In the ordinary course of our business, we create, receive, maintain, transmit, collect, store, use, disclose, share and process sensitive data, including PHI and other types of personal data or personally identifiable information (collectively, "PII" and, together with PHI, "PHI/PII") relating to our patients, employees, vendors, and others. We also contract with third-party service providers to process sensitive information, including PHI/PII, confidential information and other proprietary business information. We are highly dependent on information technology networks and systems, including the internet, to securely process PHI/PII and other sensitive data and information. Security breaches of this infrastructure, whether ours or of our third-party service providers, including physical or electronic break-ins, employee or service provider error, third-party action, including actions of foreign actors, insider attacks, phishing or denial-of-service attacks, computer viruses, ransomware or other malware, social engineering, malfeasance, other unauthorized physical or electronic access, or other vulnerabilities, could create system disruptions, shutdowns or unauthorized access, acquisition, use, disclosure or modifications of such data or information, and could cause PHI/PII to be accessed, acquired, used, disclosed or modified without authorization, to be made publicly available, or to be further accessed, acquired, used or disclosed. To our knowledge, we have not experienced any material breach of our cybersecurity systems. We use third-party service providers for important aspects of the processing of employee and patient PHI/PII and other confidential and sensitive data and information, and therefore rely on third parties to manage functions that have material cybersecurity risks. Because of the sensitivity of the PHI/PII and other sensitive data and information that we and our service providers process, the security of our technology platform and other aspects of our services, including those provided or facilitated by our third-party service providers, are important to our operations and business strategy. We have implemented certain administrative, physical and technological safeguards to address these risks; however, such policies and procedures may not address certain HIPAA requirements or address situations that could lead to increased privacy or security risks. We may be required to expend significant capital and other resources to protect against security breaches, to safeguard the privacy, security, and confidentiality of PHI/PII and other sensitive data and information, to investigate, contain, remediate, and mitigate actual or potential security breaches, and/or to report security breaches to patients, employees, regulators, media, credit bureaus, and other third parties in accordance with applicable law and to offer complimentary credit monitoring, identity theft protection, and similar services to patients and/or employees where required by law or otherwise appropriate. Cyber-attacks are becoming more sophisticated and frequent, and we or our third-party service providers may be unable to anticipate these techniques or implement adequate protective measures against them or to prevent future attacks, and future cyber-attacks could go undetected and persist for an extended period of time. Furthermore, to the extent artificial intelligence capabilities improve and are increasingly adopted, they may be used to identify vulnerabilities and craft increasingly sophisticated cybersecurity attacks, and vulnerabilities may be introduced from the use of artificial intelligence by us and our third-party service providers. Our third-party service providers and others to whom we entrust confidential data, and on whom we rely to provide products and services, face similar threats and growing requirements. We depend on such parties to implement adequate controls and safeguards to protect against and report cyber incidents. If such parties fail to deter, detect or report cyber incidents in a timely manner, we may suffer from financial and other harm, including to our information, operations, performance, employees and reputation. A security breach, security incident, or privacy violation that leads to unauthorized use, disclosure, access, acquisition, loss or modification of, or that prevents access to or otherwise impacts the confidentiality, security, or integrity of, patient or employee information, including PHI/PII that we or our third-party service providers process, or other confidential information could harm our reputation and business, compel us to comply with breach notification laws, cause us to incur significant costs for investigation, containment, remediation, mitigation, fines, penalties, settlements, notification to individuals, regulators, media, credit bureaus, and other third parties, complimentary credit monitoring, identity theft protection, training and similar services to participants and/or employees where required by law or otherwise appropriate, for measures intended to repair or replace systems or technology and to prevent future occurrences. We may also be subject to potential increases in insurance premiums, resulting in increased costs or loss of revenue. If we or our third-party service providers are unable to prevent or mitigate security breaches, security incidents or privacy violations in the future, or if we or our third-party service providers are unable to implement satisfactory remedial measures with respect to known or future security incidents, or if it is perceived that we have been unable to do so, our operations could be disrupted, we may be unable to provide access to our systems, and we could suffer a loss of patients, loss of reputation, adverse impacts on patient and investor confidence, financial loss, litigation, governmental investigations or other actions, regulatory or contractual penalties, and other claims and liability. In addition, security breaches and incidents and other compromises or inappropriate access to, or acquisition or processing of, PHI/PII or other sensitive data or information can be difficult to detect, and any delay in identifying such breaches or incidents or in providing timely notification of such incidents may lead to increased harm and increased penalties. While we carry cyber insurance, we cannot be certain that our coverage will be adequate for liabilities actually incurred, that insurance will continue to be available to us on economically reasonable terms, or at all, or that any insurer will not deny coverage as to any future claim.
Technology2 | 2.8%
Technology - Risk 1
We rely on complex software systems and hosted applications to operate our business, and our business may be disrupted if we are unable to successfully or efficiently update these systems or convert to new systems.
We are increasingly dependent on technology systems to operate our business, reduce costs, and enhance customer service. These systems include complex software systems and hosted applications that are provided by third parties. Software systems need to be updated on a regular basis with patches, bug fixes, and other modifications. Hosted applications are subject to service availability and reliability of hosting environments. We also migrate from legacy systems to new systems from time to time. Maintaining existing software systems, implementing upgrades, and converting to new systems are costly and require personnel and other resources. The implementation of these systems upgrades and conversions is a complex and time-consuming project involving substantial expenditures for implementation activities, consultants, system hardware and software, so it often requires transforming our current business and processes to conform to new systems, and therefore, may take longer, be more disruptive, and cost more than forecast and may not be successful. If the implementation is delayed or otherwise is not successful, it may hinder our business operations and negatively affect our financial condition and results of operations. There are many factors that may materially and adversely affect the schedule, cost, and execution of the implementation process, including, without limitation, problems in the design and testing of new systems; system delays and malfunctions; the deviation by suppliers and contractors from the required performance under their contracts with us; the diversion of management attention from our daily operations to the implementation project; reworks due to unanticipated changes in business processes; difficulty in training employees in the operation of new systems and maintaining internal control while converting from legacy systems to new systems; and integration with our existing systems. Some of such factors may not be reasonably anticipated or may be beyond our control.
Technology - Risk 2
Our business model depends on numerous complex management information systems, and any failure to successfully maintain these systems or implement new systems could undermine our ability to receive payments and otherwise materially harm our operations and may result in violations of healthcare laws and regulations.
We depend on a complex, specialized, integrated management information system and standardized procedures for operational and financial information, as well as for our billing operations. We may be unable to enhance existing management information systems or implement new management information systems when necessary. We may experience unanticipated delays, complications, or expenses in implementing, integrating, and operating our systems. Our management information systems may require modifications, improvements, or replacements that may require both substantial expenditures, as well as interruptions in operations. Our ability to create and implement these systems depends on the availability of technology and skilled personnel. Our failure to successfully implement and maintain all of our systems could undermine our ability to receive payments and otherwise have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition. Our failure to successfully operate our billing systems could also lead to potential violations of healthcare laws and regulations.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 3/72 (4%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 1.4%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Uncertain or adverse economic conditions could adversely impact us.
The U.S. and global economy, as well as our business and results of operations, may be negatively impacted by a variety of factors, including inflation, interest rate increases, supply chain and labor disruptions, decreased consumer spending, unemployment rates, banking instability, geopolitical events and uncertainty, such as the Ukraine-Russia conflict and Israel-Hamas war, any U.S. government shutdown, any downgrades in the U.S. government's sovereign credit rating, public health crises and an economic downturn or recession. A downturn in economic conditions could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, business prospects, and stock price. Historically, government budget limitations have resulted in reduced spending. Given that Medicaid is a significant component of state budgets, an economic downturn would put continued cost containment pressures on Medicaid outlays for healthcare services, including in California and other states in which we operate. The existing federal deficit and continued deficit spending by the federal government could lead to reduced government expenditures, including for government-funded programs in which we participate, such as Medicare. An economic downturn and sustained unemployment may also impact the number of enrollees in managed care programs and the profitability of managed care companies, which could result in reduced reimbursement rates. Although we attempt to stay informed, any sustained failure to identify and respond to these trends could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, business, and prospects.
International Operations1 | 1.4%
International Operations - Risk 1
We chose to participate in the TCC mechanism and Global risk tracks of ACO REACH, which entails certain special risks.
Under the TCC mechanism, CMS estimates the total annual Part A and Part B Medicare expenditures of our assigned Medicare beneficiaries and pays us that projected amount in per beneficiary per month payments. We chose the Global risk track, under which we assume 100% risk for Part A and Part B Medicare expenditures where shared savings and losses are less than 25% of the benchmark, with adjusted risk corridors taking effect for any portion of shared savings/losses equaling or exceeding 25% of the benchmark-for savings/losses of 25-35%, we assume 50% risk, for savings/losses 35%-50% we assume 25% of the risk, and for savings/losses exceeding 50% of the benchmark, we assume only 10% of the risk. Under the Global risk track of the TCC mechanism, we could have profits or be liable for losses of up to 100% of the first 25% of such benchmarked expenditures, with adjusted risk corridors taking effect afterward. While performance can be monitored throughout the year, end results for any given performance year will not be known until the third quarter of the subsequent year.
Capital Markets1 | 1.4%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
A prolonged disruption of or any actual or perceived difficulties in the capital and credit markets may adversely affect our future access to capital, our cost of capital, and our ability to continue operations.
Our operations and performance depend primarily on California and U.S. economic conditions and their impact on purchases of, or capitated rates for, our healthcare services, and our business is significantly exposed to risks associated with government spending and private payer reimbursement rates. A number of factors have negatively impacted the economy in recent years, including inflation, increased interest rates, supply chain and labor disruptions, geopolitical events and uncertainty, and declines in consumer and business confidence, as well as private and government spending, together with significant reductions in the availability of and increases in the cost of credit and volatility in the capital and credit markets. Such factors have adversely affected the business and economic environment in which we operate and our profitability and could, in the future, adversely affect our patients' spending habits, private payers' access to capital, and governmental budgetary processes, which, in turn, could result in reduced revenue for us. The continuation or recurrence of any of these conditions may adversely affect our cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. As economic uncertainty may continue in future periods, our patients, private payers, and government payers may alter their purchasing activities of healthcare services. Our patients may scale back healthcare spending, and private and government payers may reduce reimbursement rates, which may also cause delay or cancellation of consumer spending for discretionary and non-reimbursed healthcare. This uncertainty may also affect our ability to prepare accurate financial forecasts or meet specific forecasted results, and we may be unable to adequately respond to or forecast further changes in demand for healthcare services. Volatility and disruption of capital and credit markets may adversely affect our access to capital and increase our cost of capital. Should current economic and market conditions deteriorate, our ability to finance ongoing operations and our expansion may be adversely affected, we may be unable to raise necessary funds, our cost of debt or equity capital may increase significantly, and future access to capital markets may be adversely affected.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
                          What am I Missing?
                          Make informed decisions based on Top Analysts' activity
                          Know what industry insiders are buying
                          Get actionable alerts from top Wall Street Analysts
                          Find out before anyone else which stock is going to shoot up
                          Get powerful stock screeners & detailed portfolio analysis