Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Advaxis disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advaxis reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Risk Overview Q3, 2023
Risk Distribution
28% Finance & Corporate
26% Tech & Innovation
26% Legal & Regulatory
14% Production
3% Ability to Sell
3% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Advaxis Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q3, 2023
Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 16 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 16 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
58
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
58
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
2Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Sep 2023
2Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Sep 2023
Number of Risk Changed
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 2
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 2
See the risk highlights of Advaxis in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 58
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 16/58 (28%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights9 | 15.5%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
So long as New Ayala's Common Stock continues to be quoted on the OTCQX, it could be subject to the so-called "penny stock" rules that impose restrictive sales practice requirements.
As New Ayala's Common Stock has been de-listed from the Nasdaq Capital Market and is now quoted on the OTCQX, which is not a "national securities exchange" as defined by the Exchange Act, and thus its Common Stock will be become subject to the so-called "penny stock" rules if the shares have a market value of less than $5.00 per share. The SEC has adopted regulations that define a penny stock to include any stock that has a market price of less than $5.00 per share, subject to certain exceptions, including an exception for stock traded on a national securities exchange. The SEC regulations impose restrictive sales practice requirements on broker-dealers who sell penny stocks to persons other than established customers and accredited investors. An accredited investor generally is a person whose individual annual income exceeded $200,000, or whose joint annual income with a spouse exceeded $300,000 during the past two years and who expects their annual income to exceed the applicable level during the current year, or a person with net worth in excess of $1.0 million, not including the value of the investor's principal residence and excluding mortgage debt secured by the investor's principal residence up to the estimated fair market value of the home, except that any mortgage debt incurred by the investor within 60 days prior to the date of the transaction shall not be excluded from the determination of the investor's net worth unless the mortgage debt was incurred to acquire the residence. For transactions covered by this rule, the broker-dealer must make a special suitability determination for the purchaser and must have received the purchaser's written consent to the transaction prior to sale. This means that so long as New Ayala's Common Stock is not listed on a national securities exchange, the ability of stockholders to sell their Common Stock in the secondary market could be adversely affected.
If a transaction involving a penny stock is not exempt from the SEC's rule, a broker-dealer must deliver a disclosure schedule relating to the penny stock market to each investor prior to a transaction. The broker-dealer also must disclose the commissions payable to both the broker-dealer and its registered representative, current quotations for the penny stock, and, if the broker-dealer is the sole market-maker, the broker-dealer must disclose this fact and the broker-dealer's presumed control over the market. Finally, monthly statements must be sent disclosing recent price information for the penny stock held in the customer's account and information on the limited market in penny stocks.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
The market prices for New Ayala's Common Stock may be adversely impacted by future events.
New Ayala's Common Stock began trading on the over-the-counter-markets on July 28, 2005 and is currently quoted on the OTCQX under the symbol ADXS. Market prices for New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants will be influenced by a number of factors, including:
- the issuance of new equity securities pursuant to a future offering, including issuances of preferred stock; - changes in interest rates; - significant dilution caused by the anti-dilutive clauses in New Ayala's financial agreements; - competitive developments, including announcements by competitors of new products or services or significant contracts, acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments; - variations in quarterly operating results; - change in financial estimates by securities analysts; - the depth and liquidity of the market for New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants; - investor perceptions of New Ayala and the pharmaceutical and biotech industries generally; and - general economic and other national conditions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
The price of New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants may be volatile.
The trading price of New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants may fluctuate substantially. The price of New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants that will prevail in the market may be higher or lower than the price you have paid, depending on many factors, some of which are beyond New Ayala's control and may not be related to its operating performance. These fluctuations could cause you to lose part or all of your investment in New Ayala's Common Stock and warrants. Those factors that could cause fluctuations include, but are not limited to, the following:
- price and volume fluctuations in the overall stock market from time to time; - fluctuations in stock market prices and trading volumes of similar companies; - actual or anticipated changes in New Ayala's net loss or fluctuations in its operating results or in the expectations of securities analysts; - the issuance of new equity securities pursuant to a future offering, including issuances of preferred stock; - general economic conditions and trends; - positive and negative events relating to healthcare and the overall pharmaceutical and biotech sector; - major catastrophic events; - sales of large blocks of New Ayala stock; - significant dilution caused by the anti-dilutive clauses in New Ayala's financial agreements; - departures of key personnel; - changes in the regulatory status of New Ayala's immunotherapies, including results of its clinical trials; - events affecting Penn or any current or future collaborators; - announcements of new products or technologies, commercial relationships or other events by New Ayala or its competitors; - regulatory developments in the United States and other countries; - failure of New Ayala's Common Stock or warrants to be listed or quoted on the OTCQX Best Market or on a national market system;- changes in accounting principles; and - discussion of New Ayala or its stock price by the financial and scientific press and in online investor communities.
In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been brought against that company. Due to the potential volatility of New Ayala's stock price, it may therefore be the target of securities litigation in the future. Securities litigation could result in substantial costs and divert management's attention and resources from its business.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Sales of additional equity securities may adversely affect the market price of New Ayala's Common Stock and your rights may be reduced.
New Ayala expects to continue to incur drug development and selling, general and administrative costs, and to satisfy its funding requirements, it will need to sell additional equity securities, which may be subject to registration rights and warrants with anti-dilutive protective provisions. The sale or the proposed sale of substantial amounts of New Ayala's Common Stock or other equity securities in the public markets may adversely affect the market price of its Common Stock and stock price may decline substantially. New Ayala shareholders may experience substantial dilution and a reduction in the price that they are able to obtain upon sale of their shares. Also, new equity securities issued may have greater rights, preferences or privileges than New Ayala's existing Common Stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
New Ayala could issue additional "blank check" preferred stock without stockholder approval with the effect of diluting then current stockholder interests and impairing their voting rights, and provisions in its charter documents and under Delaware law could discourage a takeover that stockholders may consider favorable.
New Ayala's certificate of incorporation, as amended, provides that it may authorize and issue up to 5,000,000 shares of "blank check" preferred stock with designations, rights, and preferences as may be determined from time to time by New Ayala's Board. New Ayala's Board is empowered, without stockholder approval, to issue one or more series of preferred stock with dividend, liquidation, conversion, voting, or other rights, which could dilute the interest of or impair the voting power of its holders of Common Stock. The issuance of a series of preferred stock could be used as a method of discouraging, delaying, or preventing a change in control. For example, it would be possible for New Ayala's Board to issue preferred stock with voting or other rights or preferences that could impede the success of any attempt to change control of New Ayala.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
New Ayala's stock is quoted on the OTCQX, if it fails to remain current on its reporting requirements, New Ayala could be removed from the OTCQX which would limit the ability of broker-dealers to sell its securities in the secondary market.
Companies trading on the OTCQX, must be reporting issuers under Section 12 of the Exchange Act, and must be current in their reports under Section 13, in order to maintain price quotation privileges on the OTCQX. As a result, the market liquidity for New Ayala's securities could be severely adversely affected by limiting the ability of broker-dealers to sell its securities and the ability of stockholders to sell their securities in the secondary market. In addition, it may be unable to get requoted on the OTCQX, which may have an adverse material effect on New Ayala.
On January 10, 2023, New Ayala, was notified by the OTC Markets Group Inc., that its market capitalization has stayed below $5 million for the past 30 consecutive calendar days and no longer meets the Standards for Continued Qualification for the OTCQX U.S. tier as per the OTCQX Rules for U.S. Companies section 3.2.b.2. If the Company's market capitalization has not stayed at or above $5 million for ten consecutive trading days by July 10, 2023, then its common stock will be moved from OTCQX to the OTCQB market.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
Because New Ayala is quoted on the OTCQX instead of an exchange or national quotation system, its investors find it more difficult to trade in its stock or might experience volatility in the market price of New Ayala's Common Stock.
New Ayala's Common Stock is quoted on the OTCQX. The OTCQX is often highly illiquid, in part because it does not have a national quotation system by which potential investors can follow the market price of shares except through information received and generated by a limited number of broker-dealers that make markets in particular stocks. There is a greater chance of volatility for securities that are quoted on the OTCQX as compared to a national exchange or quotation system. This volatility may be caused by a variety of factors, including the lack of readily available price quotations, the absence of consistent administrative supervision of bid and ask quotations, lower trading volume, and market conditions. Investors in New Ayala's Common Stock may experience high fluctuations in the market price and volume of the trading market for its securities. These fluctuations, when they occur, have a negative effect on the market price for New Ayala's securities. Accordingly, New Ayala stockholders may not be able to realize a fair price from their shares when they determine to sell them or may have to hold them for a substantial period of time until the market for its Common Stock improves.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
New Ayala's certificate of incorporation, bylaws and Delaware law have anti-takeover provisions that could discourage, delay or prevent a change in control, which may cause New Ayala's stock price to decline.
New Ayala's certificate of incorporation, Bylaws and Delaware law contain provisions which could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire New Ayala, even if closing such a transaction would be beneficial to its shareholders. New Ayala is authorized to issue up to 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock. This preferred stock may be issued in one or more series, the terms of which may be determined at the time of issuance by New Ayala's Board of Directors without further action by shareholders. The terms of any series of preferred stock may include voting rights (including the right to vote as a series on particular matters), preferences as to dividend, liquidation, conversion and redemption rights and sinking fund provisions. The issuance of any preferred stock could materially adversely affect the rights of the holders of New Ayala's Common Stock, and therefore, reduce the value of its Common Stock. In particular, specific rights granted to future holders of preferred stock could be used to restrict New Ayala's ability to merge with, or sell its assets to, a third party and thereby preserve control by the present management.
Provisions of New Ayala's certificate of incorporation, Bylaws and Delaware law also could have the effect of discouraging potential Acquisition Proposals or making a tender offer or delaying or preventing a change in control, including changes a shareholder might consider favorable. Such provisions may also prevent or frustrate attempts by New Ayala shareholders to replace or remove its management. In particular, the certificate of incorporation, Bylaws and Delaware law, as applicable, among other things; provide the Board of Directors with the ability to alter the By-laws without shareholder approval and provide that vacancies on the Board of Directors may be filled by a majority of directors in office, and less than a quorum.
These provisions are expected to discourage certain types of coercive takeover practices and inadequate takeover bids and to encourage persons seeking to acquire control of New Ayala to first negotiate with its board. These provisions may delay or prevent someone from acquiring or merging with New Ayala, which may cause the market price of its Common Stock to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
Sales of shares of New Ayala Common Stock after the completion of the Merger may cause the market price of New Ayala Common Stock to fall.
Old Ayala stockholders may decide not to hold the shares of New Ayala Common Stock they received in the Merger and other Old Ayala stockholders, such as funds with limitations on the amount of stock they are permitted hold in individual issuers, may be required to sell shares of New Ayala Common Stock that they received in the Merger. Such sales, or market perception of such sales, of New Ayala Common Stock could result in higher than average trading volume and may cause the market price for New Ayala Common Stock to decline. Such sales may take place at anytime as there is no lock-up in place that would prevent institutional or larger stockholders from selling some or all of their New Ayala Common Stock now that the Merger has closed.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 5.2%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Both Old Ayala and New Ayala have operated with a loss and negative cash flows for the entirety of their existence and it is expected the Company will have to raise significant capital in the future that could be dilutive to stockholders.
Both Old Ayala and New Ayala have operated with a loss and negative cash flows for the entirety of their existence. Old Ayala and New Ayala have incurred significant net operating losses in every year since inception and expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses for the foreseeable future. New Ayala's net losses were approximately $14.4 million for the year ended October 31, 2022. Ayala's net losses were approximately $40.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021 and $28.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Based on the combined company's anticipated cash balances and recurring losses, there is substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern as a standalone company.
The Company may not be able to raise capital to continue operations in the future which could result in bankruptcy or liquidation. As a result, adequate funding may not be available to the Company on acceptable terms, or at all.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
New Ayala has incurred significant losses since its inception and anticipate that it will continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future.
New Ayala is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. Investment in biotechnology product development is highly speculative because it entails substantial upfront capital expenditures and significant risk that a product candidate will fail to gain regulatory approval or become commercially viable. New Ayala has not generated any revenue from product sales to date, and it continues to incur significant development and other expenses related to its ongoing operations. As a result, New Ayala is not profitable and have incurred losses in each period since its inception.
New Ayala expects to continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future, and it expects these losses to increase as it continues its development of, and seek regulatory approvals for, New Ayala's product candidates, and begin to commercialize any approved products. New Ayala may encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications, delays and other unknown factors that may adversely affect its business. The size of New Ayala's future net losses will depend, in part, on the rate of future growth of its expenses and its ability to generate revenues. If any of New Ayala's product candidates fail in clinical studies or do not gain regulatory approval, or if approved, fails to achieve market acceptance, New Ayala may never become profitable. Even if New Ayala achieves profitability in the future, it may not be able to sustain profitability in subsequent periods. New Ayala's prior losses and expected future losses have had and will continue to have an adverse effect on its stockholders' (deficit) equity and working capital.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
New Ayala does not intend to pay cash dividends.
New Ayala has not declared or paid any cash dividends on its Common Stock, and it does not anticipate declaring or paying cash dividends for the foreseeable future. Any future determination as to the payment of cash dividends on New Ayala's Common Stock will be at its Board of Directors' discretion and will depend on its financial condition, operating results, capital requirements and other factors that its Board of Directors considers to be relevant.
Debt & Financing2 | 3.4%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Added
Despite recent cost-saving measures, our cash and cash equivalents are not sufficient to fund, assuming we can manage the time of payment of our current obligations and are able to secure additional funding and our Board currently is evaluating several options, including bankruptcy and liquidation of the Company and an assignment for the benefit of creditors.
As of September 30, 2023, we had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $2.1 million, and had approximately $1.6 million as of the date of filing of this Form 10-Q, following the completion of certain financing transactions on November 17, 2023 (the "November 17 Financing"), as described in Part II, Item 5 of this Form 10-Q. We believe based on our current operating plan, our existing cash and cash equivalents on hand as of the filing date of this Form 10-Q will enable us to fund our operations, assuming we can manage the time of payment of our current obligations and are able to secure additional funding. As of the filing date of this Form 10-Q, the Board is evaluating several options, including additional financing as well as strategic alternatives that may be available. Should financing not be obtained, or another strategic alternative consummated, management and the Board may consider other alternatives, including without limitation bankruptcy and liquidation of the Company or an assignment for the benefit of creditors.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
New Ayala will require additional capital to fund its operations and if it fails to obtain necessary financing, it will not be able to complete the development and commercialization of its product candidates.
The research and development of New Ayala's products have consumed substantial amounts of cash since inception. New Ayala expects to continue to invest in advancing the clinical development of its product candidates and to commercialize any product candidates for which it receives regulatory approval. As of October 31, 2022, New Ayala had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $25.2 million. New Ayala will require additional capital for the further development of its product candidates. New Ayala is pursuing various ways to support its development efforts including debt and/or equity financing as well as targeting potential collaborators of its products.
New Ayala cannot be certain that additional funding will be available on acceptable terms, or at all. If New Ayala is unable to raise additional capital in sufficient amounts or on terms acceptable to it, New Ayala may have to significantly delay, scale back or discontinue the development or commercialization of one or more of its products or product candidates or one or more of its other research and development initiatives. New Ayala's forecast of the period of time through which its financial resources will be adequate to support its operations is a forward-looking statement and involves risks and uncertainties, and actual results could vary as a result of a number of factors, including the factors discussed elsewhere in this "Risk Factors" section. New Ayala has based this estimate on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and it could utilize its available capital resources sooner than it currently expects. New Ayala's future funding requirements, both near and long-term, will depend on many factors, including, but not limited to:
- The progress, timing, costs and results of the clinical studies underway; - future clinical development plans it establishes for New Ayala's product candidates; - the number and characteristics of product candidates that New Ayala develops or may in-license; - the outcome, timing and cost of meeting regulatory requirements established by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, including the potential for the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to require that New Ayala performs more studies than those that it currently expects; - the cost of filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing New Ayala's patent claims and other intellectual property rights; - the cost of defending intellectual property disputes, including patent infringement actions brought by third parties against New Ayala or its product candidates; - the effect of competing technological and market developments; - the cost and timing of completion of commercial-scale outsourced manufacturing activities; and - the cost of establishing sales, marketing and distribution capabilities for any product candidates for which New Ayala may receive regulatory approval in regions where it chooses to commercialize its products on its own.
Corporate Activity and Growth2 | 3.4%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
The failure to successfully integrate the businesses and operations of Old Ayala and New Ayala in the expected time frame may adversely affect the combined company's future results.
New Ayala and Old Ayala operated independently and there can be no assurances that the businesses can be integrated successfully. It is possible that the integration process could result in the loss of key employees, independent contractors, principal investigators, Clinical Research Organizations ("CROs"), consultants, vendors, and any other third parties, the disruption of our ongoing businesses, inconsistencies in standards, controls, procedures and policies, unexpected integration issues, higher than expected integration costs and an overall integration process that takes longer than originally anticipated. Specifically, the following issues, among others, must be addressed in integrating the operations of Old Ayala and New Ayala in order to realize the anticipated benefits of the Merger so the combined company performs as expected:
- combining the companies' operations and corporate functions; - combining the businesses of Old Ayala and New Ayala and meeting the capital requirements of the combined company, in a manner that permits the combined company to achieve any cost savings or other synergies anticipated to result from the Merger, the failure of which would result in the anticipated benefits of the Merger not being realized in the time frame currently anticipated or at all; - integrating personnel from the two companies, especially in the COVID-19 environment which has required many people to work remotely in many locations; - integrating and unifying Old Ayala's and New Ayala's pipeline of product candidates in development; - identifying and eliminating redundant and underperforming functions and assets; - harmonizing the companies' operating practices, employee development and compensation programs, internal controls and other policies, procedures and processes; - maintaining existing agreements with employees, independent contractors, principal investigators, CROs, consultants, vendors, and any other third parties, avoiding delays in entering into new agreements with prospective employees, independent contractors, principal investigators, CROs, consultants, vendors, and any other third parties, and leveraging relationships with such third parties for the benefit of the combined company; - addressing possible differences in business backgrounds, corporate cultures and management philosophies; - consolidating the companies' administrative and information technology infrastructure; - coordinating research, commercialization, and marketing efforts; - coordinating geographically dispersed organizations; and - effecting actions that may be required in connection with obtaining regulatory or other governmental approvals.
In addition, at times the attention our management may be focused on the integration of the businesses of the two companies and diverted from day-to-day business operations or other opportunities that may have been beneficial to us, which may disrupt our ongoing business.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
If New Ayala is unable to establish, manage or maintain strategic collaborations in the future, its revenue and drug development may be limited.
New Ayala's strategy includes eventual substantial reliance upon strategic collaborations for marketing and commercialization of its clinical product candidates, and it may rely even more on strategic collaborations for research, development, marketing and commercialization for some of New Ayala's immunotherapies. To date, New Ayala has been heavily reliant upon third party outsourcing for its clinical trials execution and production of drug supplies for use in clinical trials. Establishing strategic collaborations is difficult and time-consuming. New Ayala's discussions with potential collaborators may not lead to the establishment of collaborations on favorable terms, if at all. For example, potential collaborators may reject collaborations based upon their assessment of New Ayala's financial, clinical, regulatory or intellectual property position. New Ayala's current collaborations, as well as any future new collaborations, may never result in the successful development or commercialization of its immunotherapies or the generation of sales revenue. To the extent that New Ayala has entered or will enter into co-promotion or other collaborative arrangements, its product revenues are likely to be lower than if it directly marketed and sold any products that New Ayala may develop.
Management of New Ayala's relationships with its collaborators will require:
- significant time and effort from New Ayala's management team; - financial funding to support said collaboration; - coordination of New Ayala's research and development programs with the research and development priorities of its collaborators; and - effective allocation of New Ayala's resources to multiple projects.
If New Ayala continues to enter into research and development collaborations at the early phases of drug development, its success will in part depend on the performance of its corporate collaborators. New Ayala will not directly control the amount or timing of resources devoted by its corporate collaborators to activities related to its immunotherapies and its collaborations may terminate at any time. New Ayala's corporate collaborators may not commit sufficient resources to its research and development programs or the commercialization, marketing or distribution of its immunotherapies. If any corporate collaborator fails to commit sufficient resources or terminate their collaborations with New Ayala, its preclinical or clinical development programs related to this collaboration could be delayed or terminated.
Further, New Ayala's collaborators may pursue existing or other development-stage products or alternative technologies in preference to those being developed in collaboration with New Ayala. Collaborators may also fail to comply with the applicable regulatory requirements, which may subject them or New Ayala to regulatory enforcement actions. Finally, if New Ayala fails to make required milestone or royalty payments to its collaborators or to observe other obligations in its agreements with them, New Ayala's collaborators may have the right to terminate those agreements.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 15/58 (26%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D10 | 17.2%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
The successful development of immunotherapies is highly uncertain.
Successful development of immunotherapies is highly uncertain and is dependent on numerous factors, many of which are beyond New Ayala's control. Immunotherapies that appear promising in the early phases of development may fail to reach, or be delayed in reaching, the market for several reasons including:
- preclinical study results that may show the immunotherapy to be less effective than desired (e.g., the study failed to meet its primary objectives) or to have harmful or problematic side effects; - clinical study results that may show the immunotherapy to be less effective than expected (e.g., the study failed to meet its primary endpoint) or to have unacceptable side effects; - failure to receive the necessary regulatory approvals or a delay in receiving such approvals. Among other things, such delays may be caused by slow enrollment in clinical studies, length of time to achieve study endpoints, delays in receiving the necessary products or supplies for the conduct of clinical or pre-clinical trials, additional time requirements for data analysis, or Biologics License Application ("BLA") preparation, discussions with the FDA, an FDA request for additional preclinical or clinical data, FDA delays in inspecting manufacturing establishments, failure to receive FDA approval for manufacturing processes or facilities, or unexpected safety or manufacturing issues;- manufacturing costs, formulation issues, pricing or reimbursement issues, or other factors that make the immunotherapy uneconomical; and - the proprietary rights of others and their competing products and technologies that may prevent the immunotherapy from being commercialized.
Success in preclinical and early clinical studies does not ensure that large-scale clinical studies will be successful. Clinical results are frequently susceptible to varying interpretations that may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approvals. The length of time necessary to complete clinical studies and to submit an application for marketing approval for a final decision by a regulatory authority varies significantly from one immunotherapy to the next and may be difficult to predict.
Even if New Ayala's product candidates are approved, they may be subject to limitations on the indicated uses and populations for which they may be marketed. They may also be subject to other conditions of approval, may contain significant safety warnings, including boxed warnings, contraindications, and precautions, may not be approved with label statements necessary or desirable for successful commercialization, or may contain requirements for costly post-market testing and surveillance, or other requirements, including the submission of risk evaluation and mitigation strategies, or REMS, to monitor the safety or efficacy of the products. If New Ayala does not receive FDA approval for, and successfully commercialize its product candidates, it will not be able to generate revenue from these product candidates in the United States in the foreseeable future, or at all. Any significant delays in obtaining approval for and commercializing New Ayala's product candidates will have a material adverse impact on its business and financial condition.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
New Ayala is a clinical stage company.
New Ayala is a clinical stage biotechnology company with a history of losses and can provide no assurance as to future operating results. As a result of losses that will continue throughout New Ayala's clinical stage, it may exhaust its financial resources and be unable to complete the development of its products. New Ayala anticipates that it will continue to incur significant operational costs as New Ayala executes its clinical development strategy. New Ayala's deficit will continue to grow during its drug development period.
New Ayala has sustained losses from operations in each fiscal year since its inception, and it expects losses to continue for the foreseeable future due to its substantial investment in research and development. As of October 31, 2022, New Ayala had an accumulated deficit of approximately $443 million and stockholders' equity of approximately $23.6 million. New Ayala expects to spend substantial additional sums on the continued administration and research and development of proprietary products and technologies with no certainty that its immunotherapies will become commercially viable or profitable as a result of these expenditures. If New Ayala fails to raise a significant amount of capital, it may need to significantly curtail operations or cease operations in the near future. If any of New Ayala's product candidates fail in clinical trials or does not gain regulatory approval, New Ayala may never become profitable. Even if New Ayala achieves profitability in the future, it may not be able to sustain profitability in subsequent periods.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
Approval of New Ayala's product candidates does not ensure successful commercialization and reimbursement.
New Ayala is not currently marketing its product candidates, nor can it until they are approved; however, New Ayala is seeking partnering and commercial opportunities for its products. New Ayala cannot assure you that it will be able to commercialize any of its product candidates itself or find a commercialization partner or that it will be able to agree to acceptable terms with any partner to launch and commercialize its products.
The commercial success of New Ayala's product candidates is subject to risks in both the United States and European countries. In addition, in European countries, pricing and payment of prescription pharmaceuticals is subject to more extensive governmental control than in the United States. Pricing negotiations with European governmental authorities can take six to 12 months or longer after the receipt of regulatory approval and product launch. If reimbursement is unavailable in any country in which reimbursement is sought, limited in scope or amount, or if pricing is set at or reduced to unsatisfactory levels, New Ayala's ability or any potential partner's ability to successfully commercialize in such a country would be impacted negatively. Furthermore, if these measures prevent New Ayala or any potential partner from selling on a profitable basis in a particular country, they could prevent the commercial launch or continued sale in that country and could adversely impact the commercialization market opportunity in other countries.
Moreover, as a condition of approval, the regulatory authorities may require that New Ayala conduct post-approval studies. Those studies may reveal new safety or efficacy findings regarding New Ayala's drug that could adversely impact the continued commercialization or future market opportunity in other countries.
In addition, New Ayala predominantly relies on a network of suppliers and vendors to manufacture its products. Should a regulatory authority make any significant findings on an inspection of New Ayala's own operations or the operations of those companies, the ability for it to continue producing its products could be adversely impacted and further production could cease. Regulatory GMP requirements are extensive and can present a risk of injury or recall, among other risks, if not manufactured or labeled properly under GMPs.
New Ayala's potential revenues from the commercialization of its product candidates are subject to these and other factors, and therefore it may never reach or maintain profitability.
Even if New Ayala is successful in obtaining market approval, commercial success of any of its product candidates will also depend in large part on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from third-party payers, including government payers such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs and managed care organizations, which may be affected by existing and future health care reform measures designed to reduce the cost of health care. Third-party payers could require New Ayala to conduct additional studies, including post-marketing studies related to the cost effectiveness of a product, to qualify for reimbursement, which could be costly and divert its resources. If government and other health care payers were not to provide adequate coverage and reimbursement levels for one any of New Ayala's products once approved, market acceptance and commercial success would be reduced.
In addition, if one of New Ayala's products is approved for marketing, it will be subject to significant regulatory obligations regarding product promotion, the submission of safety and other post-marketing information and reports and registration, and will need to continue to comply (or ensure that New Ayala's third-party providers comply) with cGMPs, and GCPs for any clinical trials that it conducts post-approval. In addition, there is always the risk that New Ayala or a regulatory authority might identify previously unknown problems with a product post-approval, such as adverse events of unanticipated severity or frequency. Compliance with these requirements is costly, and any failure to comply or other issues with New Ayala product candidates' post-market approval could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results of operations.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 4
New Ayala may not receive Fast Track designation, Breakthrough Therapy Designation or any other designation that it may apply for from the FDA and, if granted, such designations may not actually lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process.
The FDA has granted a designation to facilitate development and expedite the review of therapies with the potential to treat a serious condition where there is an unmet medical need (the "Fast Track" designation) for AXAL for adjuvant therapy for high-risk locally advanced cervical cancer patients, and has granted Fast Track designation for ADXS-HER2 for patients with newly-diagnosed, non-metastatic, surgically-resectable osteosarcoma. New Ayala may seek Breakthrough Therapy Designation for its product candidates or Fast Track designation for certain of its other product candidates. There is no guarantee, however, that New Ayala will be able to obtain or maintain such designations.
The FDA has broad discretion whether or not to grant any special designation, so even if New Ayala believes one of its product candidates is eligible for this designation, it cannot assure you that the FDA would decide to grant it. Additionally, even if New Ayala receives a special designation, it may not experience a faster development process, review or approval compared to conventional FDA procedures. The FDA may also withdraw the designation if it believes that the designation is no longer supported by data from New Ayala's clinical development program.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 5
New Ayala is subject to numerous risks inherent in conducting clinical trials.
New Ayala outsources the management of its clinical trials to third parties. Agreements with CROs, clinical investigators and medical institutions for clinical testing and data management services, place substantial responsibilities on these parties that, if unmet, could result in delays in, or termination of, New Ayala's clinical trials. For example, if any of New Ayala's clinical trial sites or CROs fail to comply with FDA-approved good clinical practices, New Ayala may be unable to use the data gathered at those sites. If these clinical investigators, medical institutions or other third parties do not carry out their contractual duties or regulatory obligations or fail to meet expected deadlines, or if the quality or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to their failure to adhere to New Ayala's clinical protocols or for other reasons, its clinical trials may be extended, delayed or terminated, and New Ayala may be unable to obtain regulatory approval for, or successfully commercialize, its agents. New Ayala is not certain that it will successfully recruit enough patients to complete its clinical trials nor that it will reach its primary endpoints. Delays in recruitment, lack of clinical benefit or unacceptable side effects would delay or prevent the initiation of future development of New Ayala's agents.
While New Ayala has agreements governing the activities of such third parties and are responsible for its third-party service provider's activities and regulatory compliance, it has limited influence and control over their actual performance and activities and cannot control whether or not they devote sufficient time and resources to New Ayala's ongoing clinical, non-clinical, and preclinical programs and cannot control whether they maintain regulatory compliance. New Ayala's third-party service providers may also have relationships with other entities, some of which may be its competitors, for whom they may also be conducting trials or other therapeutic development activities that could harm New Ayala's competitive position.
Agreements with third parties conducting or otherwise assisting with New Ayala's clinical or preclinical studies might terminate for a variety of reasons, including a failure to perform by the third parties. If any of New Ayala's relationships with these third parties terminate, it may not be able to enter into arrangements with alternative providers or to do so on commercially reasonable terms. Switching or adding additional third parties involve additional cost and requires management time and focus. In addition, there is a natural transition period when a new third party commences work. As a result, if New Ayala needs to enter into alternative arrangements, it could delay its product development activities and adversely affect its business. Though New Ayala carefully manages its relationships with third parties, there can be no assurance that it will not encounter challenges or delays in the future or that these delays or challenges will not have a material adverse impact on New Ayala's business, financial condition and prospects, and results of operations.
New Ayala or its regulators may suspend or terminate its clinical trials for a number of reasons. New Ayala may voluntarily suspend or terminate its clinical trials if at any time it believes they present an unacceptable risk to the patients enrolled in its clinical trials or do not demonstrate clinical benefit. In addition, regulatory agencies may order the temporary or permanent discontinuation of New Ayala's clinical trials, or place its products on temporary or permanent hold, at any time if they believe that the clinical trials are not being conducted in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements or that they present an unacceptable safety risk to the patients enrolled in New Ayala's clinical trials.
New Ayala's clinical trial operations are subject to regulatory inspections at any time. If regulatory inspectors conclude that New Ayala or its clinical trial sites are not in compliance with applicable regulatory requirements for conducting clinical trials, it may receive reports of observations or warning letters detailing deficiencies, and it will be required to implement corrective actions. If regulatory agencies deem New Ayala's responses to be inadequate or are dissatisfied with the corrective actions it or its clinical trial sites have implemented, New Ayala's clinical trials may be temporarily or permanently discontinued, may be fined, New Ayala or its investigators may be precluded from conducting any ongoing or any future clinical trials, the government may refuse to approve its marketing applications or allow it to manufacture or market its products, and New Ayala may be criminally prosecuted.
The lengthy approval process as well as the unpredictability of future clinical trial results may result in New Ayala failing to obtain regulatory approval for its product candidates, which would materially harm its business, results of operations and prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 6
Preliminary or interim results of a clinical trial are not necessarily predictive of future or final results.
Interim or preliminary data from clinical trials that New Ayala may conduct may not be indicative of the final results of the trial and are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available. Interim or preliminary data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the interim or preliminary data. As a result, interim or preliminary data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. Even if New Ayala's clinical trials are completed as planned, it cannot be certain that their results will support its proposed indications.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 7
New Ayala may be required to suspend or discontinue clinical trials for a number of reasons, which could preclude approval of any of its product candidates.
New Ayala clinical trials may be suspended at any time for a number of reasons. A clinical trial may be suspended or terminated by New Ayala, an Institutional Review Board ("IRB"), the FDA or other regulatory authorities due to a failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or its clinical protocols, presentation or identification of unforeseen safety signals or issues, failure to demonstrate a benefit from using the investigational drug, changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions, lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial, or for other business-related reasons. For example, in June 2019, New Ayala announced that it was closing its AIM2CERV Phase 3 clinical trial with AXAL in cervical cancer due to the delays New Ayala incurred as a result of the recent FDA partial clinical hold on the trial, as well as the estimated cost and time to completion of the trial. Furthermore, New Ayala has completed the clinical study report from Part A of the ADXS-NEO study and plans to close its ADXS-NEO program IND as next step. In addition, clinical trials for New Ayala's product candidates could be suspended due to adverse side effects. Drug-related side effects could affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the trial or result in potential product liability claims. New Ayala may also voluntarily suspend or terminate its clinical trials if at any time it believes that they present an unacceptable risk to patients or do not demonstrate clinical benefit. If New Ayala elects or is forced to suspend or terminate any clinical trial of any product candidates that it develops, the commercial prospects of such product candidates will be harmed and its ability to generate product revenues from any of these product candidates will be delayed or eliminated. Any of these occurrences may significantly harm New Ayala's business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 8
New Ayala research and development expenses are subject to uncertainty.
Factors affecting New Ayala research and development expenses include, but are not limited to:
- competition from companies that have substantially greater assets and financial resources than New Ayala has; - need for market acceptance of New Ayala's immunotherapies if it receives regulatory approval; - ability to anticipate and adapt to a competitive market and rapid technological developments; - ability to raise sufficient capital to fund New Ayala research and development activities; - amount and timing of operating costs and capital expenditures relating to expansion of New Ayala business, operations and infrastructure; - need to rely on multiple levels of outside funding due to the length of drug development cycles and governmental approved protocols associated with the pharmaceutical industry; and - dependence upon key personnel including key independent consultants and advisors.
There can be no guarantee that New Ayala research and development expenses will be consistent from period to period. New Ayala may be required to accelerate or delay incurring certain expenses depending on the results of its studies and the availability of adequate funding.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 9
New Ayala can provide no assurance of the successful and timely development of new products.
New Ayala immunotherapies are at various stages of development. Further development and extensive testing will be required to determine their technical feasibility and commercial viability. New Ayala will need to complete significant additional clinical trials demonstrating that its product candidates are safe and effective to the satisfaction of the FDA and other non-U.S. regulatory authorities. The drug approval process is time-consuming, involves substantial expenditures of resources, and depends upon a number of factors, including the severity of the illness in question, the availability of alternative treatments, and the risks and benefits demonstrated in the clinical trials. New Ayala's success will depend on its ability to achieve scientific and technological advances and to translate such advances into licensable, FDA-approvable, commercially competitive products on a timely basis. Failure can occur at any stage of the process. If such programs are not successful, New Ayala may invest substantial amounts of time and money without developing revenue-producing products. As New Ayala enters a more extensive clinical program for its product candidates, the data generated in these studies may not be as compelling as the earlier results.
The proposed development schedules for New Ayala immunotherapies may be affected by a variety of factors, including technological difficulties, clinical trial failures, regulatory hurdles, clinical holds, competitive products, intellectual property challenges and/or changes in governmental regulation, many of which will not be within its control. Any delay in the development, introduction or marketing of New Ayala products could result either in such products being marketed at a time when their cost and performance characteristics would not be competitive in the marketplace or in the shortening of their commercial lives. In light of the long-term nature of New Ayala's projects, the unproven technology involved, and the other factors described elsewhere in this section, there can be no assurance that New Ayala will be able to successfully complete the development or marketing of any new products which could materially harm its business, results of operations and prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 10
New Ayala may not obtain or maintain the benefits associated with Orphan Drug Designation, including market exclusivity.
Although New Ayala has been granted a designation from the FDA under the Orphan Drug Act, or ODA, intended to treat a rare disease or condition (Orphan Drug Designation, or "ODD") for AXAL for use in the treatment of anal cancer, HPV-associated head and neck cancer, Stage II-IV invasive cervical cancer and for ADXS-HER2 for the treatment of osteosarcoma in the United States, as well as the European Medicines Agency, or EMA, ODD for AXAL for the treatment of anal cancer and for ADXS-HER2 for the treatment of osteosarcoma in the EU, New Ayala may not receive the benefits associated with ODD. This may result from a failure to maintain orphan drug status or result from a competing product reaching the market that has an orphan designation for the same disease indication. Moreover, while ODD does provide New Ayala with certain advantages, it neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a product candidate nor gives the product candidate any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process.
Under U.S. rules for orphan drugs, if such a competing product reaches the market before New Ayala does, if such product is considered by FDA to be the same as New Ayala's, and if such product is intended for the same orphan indication, the competing product could potentially obtain a scope of market exclusivity that limits or precludes its product from being sold in the United States for seven years unless New Ayala can demonstrate that its product is clinically superior. Even if New Ayala obtains exclusivity, the FDA could subsequently approve the same drug for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the later drug is clinically superior to New Ayala in that it is shown to be safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. A competitor also may receive approval of different products for the same indication for which New Ayala's orphan product has exclusivity or obtain approval for the same product but for a different indication for which the orphan product has exclusivity. Moreover, New Ayala may not be able to maintain its ODD or exclusivity and its product candidates would not be eligible for exclusivity if the approved indication is broader than the ODD.
In addition, if and when New Ayala requests ODD in Europe, the European exclusivity period is ten years but can be reduced to six years if the drug no longer meets the criteria for ODD or if the drug is sufficiently profitable so that market exclusivity is no longer justified. Orphan drug exclusivity may be lost if the FDA or EMA determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantity of the drug to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition.
Trade Secrets4 | 6.9%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
New Ayala may be unable to adequately prevent disclosure of trade secrets and other proprietary information.
New Ayala also relies on trade secrets to protect its proprietary technologies, especially where it does not believe patent protection is appropriate or obtainable. However, trade secrets are difficult to protect. New Ayala relies in part on confidentiality agreements with its employees, consultants, outside scientific collaborators, sponsored researchers, and other advisors to protect its trade secrets and other proprietary information. These agreements may not effectively prevent disclosure of confidential information and may not provide an adequate remedy in the event of unauthorized disclosure of confidential information. In addition, others may independently discover New Ayala's trade secrets and proprietary information. Costly and time-consuming litigation could be necessary to enforce and determine the scope of New Ayala's proprietary rights, and failure to obtain or maintain trade secret protection could adversely affect its competitive business position.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
Litigation regarding patents, patent applications and other proprietary rights may be expensive and time consuming. If New Ayala is involved in such litigation, it could cause delays in bringing product candidates to market and harm its ability to operate.
New Ayala's success will depend in part on its ability to operate without infringing the proprietary rights of third parties. The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by extensive litigation regarding patents and other intellectual property rights. Other parties may obtain patents in the future and allege that the products or use of New Ayala's technologies infringe these patent claims or that it is employing their proprietary technology without authorization.
In addition, third parties may challenge or infringe upon New Ayala's existing or future patents. Proceedings involving New Ayala's patents or patent applications or those of others could result in adverse decisions regarding:
- the patentability of New Ayala's inventions relating to its product candidates; and/or - the enforceability, validity or scope of protection offered by New Ayala's patents relating to its product candidates.
Even if New Ayala is successful in these proceedings, it may incur substantial costs and divert management time and attention in pursuing these proceedings, which could have a material adverse effect on New Ayala. If New Ayala is unable to avoid infringing the patent rights of others, it may be required to seek a license, defend an infringement action or challenge the validity of the patents in court. Patent litigation is costly and time consuming. New Ayala may not have sufficient resources to bring these actions to a successful conclusion. In addition, if New Ayala does not obtain a license, develop or obtain non-infringing technology, fail to defend an infringement action successfully or have infringed patents declared valid, New Ayala may:
- incur substantial monetary damages; - encounter significant delays in bringing New Ayala product candidates to market; and/or - be precluded from participating in the manufacture, use or sale of New Ayala product candidates or methods of treatment requiring licenses.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
New Ayala relies on patents to protect its technology. New Ayala may be unable to protect its intellectual property rights and it may be liable for infringing the intellectual property rights of others.
New Ayala's ability to compete effectively will depend on its ability to maintain the proprietary nature of its technologies, including the Lm-LLO based immunotherapy platform technology, and the proprietary technology of others with whom New Ayala has entered into collaboration and licensing agreements.
Currently, New Ayala owns or have rights to several hundred patents and applications, which are owned, licensed from, or co-owned with Penn and Merck. New Ayala has obtained the rights to all future patent applications in this field originating in the laboratories of Dr. Yvonne Paterson and Dr. Fred Frankel, at the University of Pennsylvania.
New Ayala owns or hold licenses to a number of issued patents and U.S. pending patent applications, as well as foreign patents and foreign counterparts. New Ayala's success depends in part on its ability to obtain patent protection both in the United States and in other countries for its product candidates, as well as the methods for treating patients in the product indications using these product candidates. Such patent protection is costly to obtain and maintain, and New Ayala cannot guarantee that sufficient funds will be available. New Ayala's ability to protect its product candidates from unauthorized or infringing use by third parties depends in substantial part on its ability to obtain and maintain valid and enforceable patents. Due to evolving legal standards relating to the patentability, validity and enforceability of patents covering pharmaceutical inventions and the scope of claims made under these patents, New Ayala's ability to obtain, maintain and enforce patents is uncertain and involves complex legal and factual questions. Even if New Ayala's product candidates, as well as methods for treating patients for prescribed indications using these product candidates are covered by valid and enforceable patents and have claims with sufficient scope, disclosure and support in the specification, the patents will provide protection only for a limited amount of time. Accordingly, rights under any issued patents may not provide New Ayala with sufficient protection for its product candidates or provide sufficient protection to afford it a commercial advantage against competitive products or processes.
In addition, New Ayala cannot guarantee that any patents will issue from any pending or future patent applications owned by or licensed to New Ayala. Even if patents have issued or will issue, New Ayala cannot guarantee that the claims of these patents are or will be valid or enforceable or will provide it with any significant protection against competitive products or otherwise be commercially valuable to New Ayala. The laws of some foreign jurisdictions do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as in the United States and many companies have encountered significant difficulties in protecting and defending such rights in foreign jurisdictions. Furthermore, different countries have different procedures for obtaining patents, and patents issued in different countries offer different degrees of protection against use of the patented invention by others. If New Ayala encounters such difficulties in protecting or are otherwise precluded from effectively protecting its intellectual property rights in foreign jurisdictions, its business prospects could be substantially harmed.
The patent positions of biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies, including New Ayala's patent position, involve complex legal and factual questions, and, therefore, validity and enforceability cannot be predicted with certainty. Patents may be challenged, deemed unenforceable, invalidated, or circumvented as a result of laws, rules and guidelines that are changed due to legislative, judicial or administrative actions, or review, which render New Ayala's patents unenforceable or invalid. New Ayala's patents can be challenged by its competitors who can argue that its patents are invalid, unenforceable, lack utility, sufficient written description or enablement, or that the claims of the issued patents should be limited or narrowly construed. Patents also will not protect New Ayala's product candidates if competitors devise ways of making or using these product candidates without infringing its patents.
New Ayala will be able to protect its proprietary rights from unauthorized use by third parties only to the extent that its technologies, methods of treatment, product candidates, and any future products are covered by valid and enforceable patents or are effectively maintained as trade secrets and New Ayala has the funds to enforce its rights, if necessary.
The expiration of New Ayala's owned or licensed patents before completing the research and development of its product candidates and receiving all required approvals in order to sell and distribute the products on a commercial scale can adversely affect New Ayala's business and results of operations.
Trade Secrets - Risk 4
If New Ayala is unable to obtain licenses needed for the development of its product candidates, or if it breaches any of the agreements under which New Ayala licenses rights to patents or other intellectual property from third parties, it could lose license rights that are important to its business.
If New Ayala is unable to maintain and/or obtain licenses needed for the development of its product candidates in the future, it may have to develop alternatives to avoid infringing on the patents of others, potentially causing increased costs and delays in drug development and introduction or precluding the development, manufacture, or sale of planned products. Some of New Ayala's licenses provide for limited periods of exclusivity that require minimum license fees and payments and/or may be extended only with the consent of the licensor. New Ayala can provide no assurance that it will be able to meet these minimum license fees in the future or that these third parties will grant extensions on any or all such licenses. This same restriction may be contained in licenses obtained in the future.
Additionally, New Ayala can provide no assurance that the patents underlying any licenses will be valid and enforceable. To the extent any products developed by New Ayala are based on licensed technology, royalty payments on the licenses will reduce its gross profit from such product sales and may render the sales of such products uneconomical. In addition, the loss of any current or future licenses or the exclusivity rights provided therein could materially harm New Ayala's business, financial condition and its operations.
Technology1 | 1.7%
Technology - Risk 1
New Ayala is significantly dependent on the success of its Lm Technology platform and its product candidates based on this platform.
New Ayala is invested, and it expects to continue to invest, significant efforts and financial resources in the development of product candidates based on its Lm Technology. New Ayala's ability to generate meaningful revenue, which may not occur for the foreseeable future, if ever, will depend heavily on the successful development, regulatory approval and commercialization of one or more of these product candidates, and such regulatory approval and commercialization may never occur.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 15/58 (26%)Above Sector Average
Regulation9 | 15.5%
Regulation - Risk 1
New Ayala is subject to certain U.S. and foreign anti-corruption, anti-money laundering, export control, sanctions and other trade laws and regulations. New Ayala can face serious consequences for violations.
Among other matters, U.S. and foreign anti-corruption, anti-money laundering, export control, sanctions and other trade laws and regulations, which are collectively referred to as Trade Laws, prohibit companies and their employees, agents, clinical research organizations, legal counsel, accountants, consultants, contractors and other partners from authorizing, promising, offering, providing, soliciting or receiving, directly or indirectly, corrupt or improper payments or anything else of value to or from recipients in the public or private sector. Violations of Trade Laws can result in substantial criminal fines and civil penalties, imprisonment, the loss of trade privileges, debarment, tax reassessments, breach of contract and fraud litigation, exclusion from public tenders, reputational harm and other consequences. New Ayala has direct or indirect interactions with officials and employees of government agencies or government-affiliated hospitals, universities and other organizations. New Ayala plans to engage third parties for clinical trials and/or to obtain necessary permits, licenses, patent registrations and other regulatory approvals and it can be held liable for the corrupt or other illegal activities of its personnel, agents or partners, even if New Ayala does not explicitly authorize or have prior knowledge of such activities.
If New Ayala uses biological materials in a manner that causes injury, it may be liable for damages.
New Ayala's research and development activities involve the use of biological and hazardous materials. Although New Ayala believes its safety procedures for handling and disposing of these materials complies with federal, state and local laws and regulations, it cannot entirely eliminate the risk of accidental injury or contamination from the use, storage, handling or disposal of these materials. New Ayala does not carry specific biological waste or pollution liability or remediation insurance coverage, nor do its workers' compensation, general liability, and property and casualty insurance policies provide coverage for damages and fines/penalties arising from biological exposure or contamination. Accordingly, in the event of contamination or injury, New Ayala could be held liable for damages or penalized with fines in an amount exceeding its resources, and its clinical trials or regulatory approvals could be suspended or terminated.
Regulation - Risk 2
Additional laws and regulations governing international operations could negatively impact or restrict New Ayala's operations.
If New Ayala further expands its operations outside of the United States, it must dedicate additional resources to comply with numerous laws and regulations in each jurisdiction in which it plans to operate. The U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, or FCPA, prohibits any U.S. individual or business from paying, offering, authorizing payment or offering anything of value, directly or indirectly, to any foreign official, political party or candidate for the purpose of influencing any act or decision of the foreign entity in order to assist the individual or business in obtaining or retaining business. The FCPA also obligates companies whose securities are listed in the United States to comply with certain accounting provisions requiring New Ayala to maintain books and records that accurately and fairly reflect all transactions of the corporation, including international subsidiaries, and to devise and maintain an adequate system of internal accounting controls for international operations.
Compliance with the FCPA is expensive and difficult, particularly in countries in which corruption is a recognized problem. In addition, the FCPA presents particular challenges in the pharmaceutical industry, because, in many countries, hospitals are operated by the government, and doctors and other hospital employees are considered foreign officials. Certain payments to hospitals in connection with clinical trials and other work have been deemed to be improper payments to government officials and have led to FCPA enforcement actions.
Various laws, regulations and executive orders also restrict the use and dissemination outside of the United States, or the sharing with certain non-U.S. nationals, of information classified for national security purposes, as well as certain products and technical data relating to those products. If New Ayala expands its presence outside of the United States, it will require New Ayala to dedicate additional resources to comply with these laws, and these laws may preclude it from developing, manufacturing or selling certain products and product candidates outside of the United States, which could limit its growth potential and increase New Ayala's development costs.
The failure to comply with laws governing international business practices may result in substantial civil and criminal penalties and suspension or debarment from government contracting. The SEC also may suspend or bar issuers from trading securities on U.S. exchanges for violations of the FCPA's accounting provisions.
Regulation - Risk 3
New Ayala must comply with significant government regulations.
The research and development, manufacturing and marketing of human therapeutic and diagnostic products are subject to regulation, primarily by the FDA in the United States and by comparable authorities in other countries. These national agencies and other federal, state, local and foreign entities regulate, among other things, research and development activities (including testing in animals and in humans) and the testing, manufacturing, handling, labeling, storage, record keeping, approval, distribution, advertising and promotion of the products that New Ayala is developing. If New Ayala obtains approval for any of its product candidates, its operations will be directly or indirectly through its customers, subject to various federal and state fraud and abuse laws, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-Kickback Statue and the FCA, and privacy laws. New Ayala, its product candidates, and its products, if it receives marketing approval are and will continue to be subject to extensive governmental regulation and regulatory authorities do and will continue to closely monitor New Ayala and its contractor's compliance through, among other methods, inspections. Noncompliance with applicable laws and requirements can result in various adverse consequences and regulatory enforcement actions, including delay in approving or refusal to approve product licenses or other applications, suspension or termination of clinical investigations, revocation of approvals previously granted, fines, criminal prosecution, civil and criminal penalties, restitution or disgorgement of profits, recall or seizure of products, exclusion from having its products reimbursed by federal health care programs, the curtailment or restructuring of New Ayala's operations, corporate integrity agreements or consent decrees, refusal to permit product import or export, modifications to labeling or promotional materials, issuance of corrective information, regulatory authority public statements, warning, untitled, or cyber letters, requirements for post-market studies or REMS, injunctions against shipping products and total or partial suspension of production and/or refusal to allow a company to enter into governmental supply contracts. Any of these events could prevent New Ayala from achieving or maintaining product approval and market acceptance of the particular product candidate, if approved, or could substantially increase the costs and expenses of developing and commercializing such product, which in turn could delay or prevent New Ayala from generating significant revenues from its sale. Any of these events could further have other material and adverse effects on New Ayala's operations and business and could adversely impact its stock price and could significantly harm New Ayala's business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
The process of obtaining requisite FDA approval has historically been costly and time-consuming. Current FDA requirements for a new human biological product to be marketed in the United States include: (1) the successful conclusion of preclinical laboratory and animal tests, if appropriate, to gain preliminary information on the product's safety; (2) filing with the FDA of an IND to conduct human clinical trials for drugs or biologics; (3) the successful completion of adequate and well-controlled human clinical trials to establish the safety and efficacy of the investigational new drug for its recommended use; and (4) filing by a company and acceptance and approval by the FDA of a BLA for marketing approval of a biologic, to allow commercial distribution of a biologic product. The FDA also requires that any drug or formulation to be tested in humans be manufactured in accordance with its cGMP regulations. This has been extended to include any drug that will be tested for safety in animals in support of human testing. The cGMPs set certain minimum requirements for procedures, record-keeping and the physical characteristics of the laboratories used in the production of these drugs. A delay in one or more of the procedural steps outlined above could be harmful to New Ayala in terms of getting its immunotherapies through clinical testing and to market.
Regulation - Risk 4
New Ayala can provide no assurance that its clinical product candidates will obtain regulatory approval or that the results of clinical studies will be favorable.
New Ayala is currently evaluating the safety and efficacy of its product candidates in clinical trials. However, even though the initiation and conduct of the clinical trials is in accordance with the governing regulatory authorities in each country, as with any investigational new drug (under an Investigational New Drug Application, or IND, in the United States, or the equivalent in countries outside of the United States), New Ayala is at risk of a clinical hold at any time based on the evaluation of the data and information submitted to the governing regulatory authorities.
There can be delays in obtaining FDA and/or other necessary regulatory approvals in the United States and in countries outside the United States for any investigational new drug and failure to receive such approvals would have an adverse effect on the investigational new drug's potential commercial success and on New Ayala's business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. The time required to obtain approval by the FDA and non-U.S. regulatory authorities is unpredictable but typically takes many years following the commencement of clinical trials and depends upon numerous factors, including the substantial discretion of the regulatory authorities. For example, the FDA or non-U.S. regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of New Ayala's clinical trials or study endpoints; or it may be unable to demonstrate that a product candidate's clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks. In addition, the FDA or non-U.S. regulatory authorities may disagree with New Ayala's interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials or the data collected from clinical trials of its product candidates may not be sufficient to support the submission of a BLA or New Drug Application ("NDA") or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere. The FDA or non-U.S. regulatory authorities may fail to approve the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers with which New Ayala contracts for clinical and commercial supplies; and the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or non-U.S. regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering New Ayala's clinical data insufficient for approval.
In addition to the foregoing, approval policies, regulations, or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain approval may change during the course of a product candidate's clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions. New Ayala has not submitted for nor obtained regulatory approval for any product candidate in-humans (US & EU) and it is possible that none of its existing product candidates or any product candidates New Ayala may seek to develop in the future will ever obtain regulatory approval.
Drug discovery and development is a complex, time-consuming and expensive process that is fraught with risk and a high rate of failure.
Product candidates are subject to extensive pre-clinical testing and clinical trials to demonstrate their safety and efficacy in humans. Conducting pre-clinical testing and clinical trials is a lengthy, time-consuming and expensive process that takes many years. New Ayala cannot be sure that pre-clinical testing or clinical trials of any of its product candidates will demonstrate the safety, efficacy and benefit-to-risk profile necessary to obtain marketing approvals. In addition, product candidates that experience success in pre-clinical testing and early-stage clinical trials will not necessarily experience the same success in larger or late-stage clinical trials, which are required for marketing approval.
Even if New Ayala is successful in advancing a product candidate into the clinical development stage, before obtaining regulatory and marketing approvals, it must demonstrate through extensive human clinical trials that the product candidate is safe and effective for its intended use. Human clinical trials must be carried out under protocols that are acceptable to regulatory authorities and to the independent committees responsible for the ethical review of clinical studies. There may be delays in preparing protocols or receiving approval for them that may delay the start or completion of the clinical trials. In addition, clinical practices vary globally, and there is a lack of harmonization among the guidance provided by various regulatory bodies of different regions and countries with respect to the data that is required to receive marketing approval, which makes designing global trials increasingly complex. There are a number of additional factors that may cause New Ayala's clinical trials to be delayed, prematurely terminated or deemed inadequate to support regulatory approval, such as:
- safety issues up to and including patient death (whether arising with respect to trials by third parties for compounds in a similar class as tour product or product candidate), inadequate efficacy, or an unacceptable risk-benefit profile observed at any point during or after completion of the trials; - slower than expected rates of patient enrollment, which could be due to any number of factors, including failure of New Ayala's third-party vendors, including its CROs, to effectively perform their obligations to New Ayala, a lack of patients who meet the enrollment criteria or competition from clinical trials in similar product classes or patient populations, or onerous treatment administration requirements; - subjects may drop out of New Ayala's clinical trials, be lost to follow-up at a higher rate than it anticipates, or not comply with the required clinical trial procedures; - New Ayala may experience delays in reaching, or fail to reach, agreement on acceptable clinical trial contracts or clinical trial protocols with prospective trial sites and its CROs; - the cost of clinical trials may be greater than New Ayala anticipates or it may have insufficient funds for a clinical trial or to pay the substantial FDA user fees;- the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with New Ayala's study design, including endpoints, its intended indications, or its interpretation of data; - the risk of failure of New Ayala's clinical investigational sites and related facilities, including its suppliers and CROs, to maintain compliance with the FDA's cGMP and Good Clinical Practices, or GCP, regulations or similar regulations in countries outside of the U.S., including the risk that these sites fail to pass inspections by the appropriate governmental authority, which could invalidate the data collected at that site or place the entire clinical trial at risk; - any inability to reach agreement or lengthy discussions with the FDA, equivalent regulatory authorities, or ethical review committees on trial design that New Ayala is able to execute or it may be required to modify its trial design such that studies are impracticable; - regulators may require New Ayala to perform additional or unanticipated clinical trials to obtain approval or it may be subject to additional post-marketing testing, surveillance, or REMS requirements to maintain regulatory approval; - FDA refusal to accept the data from foreign clinical trial sites to the extent New Ayala uses such sites; - changes in laws, regulations, regulatory policy or clinical practices, especially if they occur during ongoing clinical trials or shortly after completion of such trials; and - clinical trial record keeping or data quality and accuracy issues.
Any deficiency in the design, implementation or oversight of New Ayala's development programs could cause it to incur significant additional costs, conduct additional trials, experience significant delays, prevent it from obtaining marketing approval for any product candidate or abandon development of certain product candidates, any of which could harm its business and cause its stock price to decline.
Regulation - Risk 5
Ongoing healthcare legislative and regulatory reform measures may have a material adverse effect on New Ayala's business and results of operations.
Changes in regulations, statutes or the interpretation of existing regulations could impact New Ayala's business in the future by requiring, for example: (i) changes to its manufacturing arrangements; (ii) additions or modifications to product labeling; (iii) the recall or discontinuation of its products; or (iv) additional record-keeping requirements. If any such changes were to be imposed, they could adversely affect the operation of New Ayala's business.
In the United States, there have been and continue to be a number of legislative initiatives to contain healthcare costs. For example, in March 2010, the ACA was passed, which substantially changed the way healthcare is financed by both governmental and private insurers, and significantly impacted the U.S. biopharmaceutical industry. The ACA, among other things, addressed a new methodology by which rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program are calculated for drugs that are inhaled, infused, instilled, implanted or injected, increased the minimum Medicaid rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program and extended the rebate program to individuals enrolled in Medicaid managed care organizations, established annual fees and taxes on manufacturers of certain branded prescription drugs and created a new Medicare Part D coverage gap discount program, in which manufacturers must agree to offer 70% point-of-sale discounts off negotiated prices of applicable brand drugs to eligible beneficiaries during their coverage gap period, as a condition for the manufacturer's outpatient drugs to be covered under Medicare Part D.
Some of the provisions of the ACA have yet to be fully implemented, while certain provisions have been subject to judicial and Congressional challenges to repeal or replace certain aspects of the ACA. For example, Congress has considered legislation that would repeal or repeal and replace all or part of the ACA. While Congress has not passed repeal legislation, the Tax Reform Act includes a provision that repealed, effective January 1, 2019, the tax-based shared responsibility payment imposed by the ACA on certain individuals who fail to maintain qualifying health coverage for all or part of a year that is commonly referred to as the "individual mandate." As a result of the individual mandate repeal, subsequent litigation challenged the validity of the ACA. On December 14, 2018, a U.S. District Court judge in the Northern District of Texas ruled that the individual mandate portion of the ACA is an essential and inseverable feature of the ACA, and therefore because the mandate was repealed as part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, or TCJA, the remaining provisions of the ACA are invalid as well. The Trump administration and CMS have both stated that the ruling will have no immediate effect, and on December 30, 2018 the same judge issued an order staying the judgment pending appeal. A Fifth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals hearing to determine whether certain states and the House of Representatives have standing to appeal the lower court decision was held on July 9, 2019, but it is unclear when the court will render its decision on this hearing, and what effect it will have on the status of the ACA. Litigation and legislation over the ACA are likely to continue, with unpredictable and uncertain results. New Ayala will continue to evaluate the effect that the ACA and its possible repeal and replacement has on its business.
Since January 2017, President Trump has signed two Executive Orders designed to delay the implementation of certain provisions of the ACA or otherwise circumvent some of the requirements for health insurance mandated by the ACA. Further, the Trump administration has concluded that cost-sharing reduction, or CSR, payments to insurance companies required under the ACA have not received necessary appropriations from Congress and announced that it will discontinue these payments immediately until those appropriations are made. The loss of the CSR payments is expected to increase premiums on certain policies issued by qualified health plans under the ACA. Bipartisan bills to appropriate funds for CSR payments were proposed in 2017 and 2018, but the proposals have not been enacted into law. Multiple state Attorneys General filed suit to stop the administration from terminating the subsidies, but their case was dismissed by a federal judge in California on July 18, 2018. Furthermore, on June 14, 2018, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit ruled that the federal government was not required to pay more than $12 billion in ACA risk corridor payments to third-party payors who argued were owed to them. The effects of this gap in reimbursement on third-party payors, the viability of the ACA marketplace and providers, and the potential effect on New Ayala's business, are not yet known.
Regulation - Risk 6
Even if New Ayala receives regulatory approval of any product candidates, it will be subject to ongoing regulatory obligations and continued regulatory review, which may result in significant additional expense and it may be subject to penalties if it fails to comply with regulatory requirements or experience unanticipated problems with its product candidates.
If any of New Ayala's product candidates are approved, they will be subject to ongoing regulatory requirements for manufacturing, labeling, packaging, storage, advertising, promotion, distribution, sampling, record-keeping, conduct of post-marketing studies and submission of safety, efficacy and other post-market information, including both federal and state requirements in the United States and requirements of comparable foreign regulatory authorities. In addition, New Ayala will be subject to continued compliance with cGMP and GCP requirements for any clinical trials that it conducts post-approval.
Manufacturers and manufacturers' facilities are required to comply with extensive FDA, EMA and comparable foreign regulatory authority requirements, including ensuring that quality control and manufacturing procedures conform to cGMP regulations. As such, New Ayala and its contract manufacturers will be subject to continual review and inspections to assess compliance with cGMP and adherence to commitments made in any BLA, other marketing application and previous responses to inspection observations. Accordingly, New Ayala and others with whom it works must continue to expend time, money and effort in all areas of regulatory compliance, including manufacturing, production and quality control.
Any regulatory approvals that New Ayala receives for its product candidates may be subject to limitations on the approved indicated uses for which the product may be marketed or to the conditions of approval, or contain requirements for potentially costly post-marketing testing, including Phase 4 clinical trials and surveillance to monitor the safety and efficacy of the product candidate. Certain endpoint data New Ayala hopes to include in any approved product labeling also may not make it into such labeling, including exploratory or secondary endpoint data such as patient-reported outcome measures. The FDA may also require a REMS program as a condition of approval of New Ayala's product candidates, which could entail requirements for long-term patient follow-up, a medication guide, physician communication plans or additional elements to ensure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools. In addition, if the FDA, EMA or a comparable foreign regulatory authority approves New Ayala's product candidates, it will have to comply with requirements including submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports and registration.
The FDA may impose consent decrees or withdraw approval if compliance with regulatory requirements and standards is not maintained or if problems occur after the product reaches the market. Later discovery of previously unknown problems with New Ayala's product candidates, including adverse events of unanticipated severity or frequency, or with its third-party manufacturers or manufacturing processes, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may result in revisions to the approved labeling to add new safety information, imposition of post-market studies or clinical trials to assess new safety risks or imposition of distribution restrictions or other restrictions under a REMS program. Other potential consequences include, among other things:
- restrictions on the marketing or manufacturing of New Ayala's products, withdrawal of the product from the market or voluntary or mandatory product recalls; - fines, warning letters or holds on clinical trials; - refusal by the FDA to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications filed by New Ayala or suspension or revocation of license approvals; - product seizure or detention or refusal to permit the import or export of New Ayala's product candidates; and - injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
The FDA strictly regulates marketing, labeling, advertising and promotion of products that are placed on the market. Products may be promoted only for the approved indications and in accordance with the provisions of the approved label. The policies of the FDA, EMA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities may change and additional government regulations may be enacted that could prevent, limit or delay regulatory approval of New Ayala's product candidates. New Ayala cannot predict the likelihood, nature or extent of government regulation that may arise from future legislation or administrative action, either in the United States or abroad. If New Ayala is slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if New Ayala is not able to maintain regulatory compliance, it may lose any marketing approval that it may have obtained and it may not achieve or sustain profitability.
Regulation - Risk 7
Obtaining and maintaining regulatory approval of New Ayala's product candidates in one jurisdiction does not mean that it will be successful in obtaining regulatory approval of its product candidates in other jurisdictions.
Obtaining and maintaining regulatory approval of New Ayala's product candidates in one jurisdiction does not guarantee that it will be able to obtain or maintain regulatory approval in any other jurisdiction, while a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one jurisdiction may have a negative effect on the regulatory approval process in others. For example, even if the FDA grants marketing approval of a product candidate, the EMA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities must also approve the manufacturing, marketing and promotion of the product candidate in those countries. Approval procedures vary among jurisdictions and can involve requirements and administrative review periods different from, and greater than, those in the United States, including additional preclinical studies or clinical trials, as clinical trials conducted in one jurisdiction may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions. In many jurisdictions outside the United States, a product candidate must be approved for reimbursement before it can be approved for sale in that jurisdiction. In some cases, the price that New Ayala intends to charge for its products are also subject to approval.
New Ayala may also submit marketing applications in other countries. Regulatory authorities in jurisdictions outside of the United States have requirements for approval of product candidates with which it must comply prior to marketing in those jurisdictions. Obtaining foreign regulatory approvals and compliance with foreign regulatory requirements could result in significant delays, difficulties and costs for New Ayala and could delay or prevent the introduction of its products in certain countries. If New Ayala fails to comply with the regulatory requirements in international markets and/or receive applicable marketing approvals, its target market will be reduced and its ability to realize the full market potential of its product candidates will be harmed.
Regulation - Risk 8
New Ayala's relationships with healthcare providers and physicians and third-party payors will be subject to applicable anti-kickback, fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations, which could expose it to criminal sanctions, civil penalties, contractual damages, reputational harm and diminished profits and future earnings.
Healthcare providers, physicians and third-party payors in the United States and elsewhere play a primary role in the recommendation and prescription of pharmaceutical products. Arrangements with third-party payors and customers can expose pharmaceutical manufacturers to broadly applicable fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-Kickback Statute (the "AKS") and the FCA which may constrain the business or financial arrangements and relationships through which such companies sell, market and distribute pharmaceutical products. In particular, the research of New Ayala's product candidates, as well as the promotion, sales and marketing of healthcare items and services, as well as certain business arrangements in the healthcare industry, are subject to extensive laws designed to prevent fraud, kickbacks, self-dealing and other abusive practices. These laws and regulations may restrict or prohibit a wide range of pricing, discounting, marketing and promotion, structuring and commission(s), certain customer incentive programs and other business arrangements generally. Activities subject to these laws also involve the improper use of information obtained in the course of patient recruitment for clinical trials. The applicable federal, state and foreign healthcare laws and regulations that may affect New Ayala's ability to operate include, but are not limited to:
- the AKS, which prohibits, among other things, knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying any remuneration (including any kickback, bribe or rebate), directly or indirectly, overtly or covertly, in cash or in kind, to induce, or in return for, either the referral of an individual, or the purchase, lease, order or recommendation of any good, facility, item or service for which payment may be made, in whole or in part, under a federal healthcare program, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs. A person or entity can be found guilty of violating the statute without actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it. In addition, a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the AKS constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the FCA. The AKS has been interpreted to apply to arrangements between pharmaceutical manufacturers on the one hand and prescribers, purchasers, and formulary managers on the other. There are a number of statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting some common activities from prosecution;- the federal civil and criminal false claims laws and civil monetary penalty laws, including the FCA, which prohibit, among other things, individuals or entities from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, false or fraudulent claims for payment to, or approval by Medicare, Medicaid or other federal healthcare programs, knowingly making, using or causing to be made or used a false record or statement material to a false or fraudulent claim or an obligation to pay or transmit money to the federal government, or knowingly concealing or knowingly and improperly avoiding or decreasing or concealing an obligation to pay money to the federal government. Manufacturers can be held liable under the FCA even when they do not submit claims directly to government payors if they are deemed to "cause" the submission of false or fraudulent claims. The government may deem manufacturers to have "caused" the submission of false or fraudulent claims by, for example, providing inaccurate billing or coding information to customers or promoting a product off-label. The FCA also permits a private individual acting as a "whistleblower" to bring actions on behalf of the federal government alleging violations of the FCA and to share in any monetary recovery; - the federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, or HIPAA, which created additional federal criminal statutes that prohibit knowingly and willfully executing, or attempting to execute, a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or obtain, by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations or promises, any of the money or property owned by, or under the custody or control of, any healthcare benefit program, regardless of the payor (e.g., public or private) and knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing or covering up by any trick or device a material fact or making any materially false statements in connection with the delivery of, or payment for, healthcare benefits, items or services relating to healthcare matters. Similar to the AKS, a person or entity can be found guilty of violating HIPAA without actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it; - HIPAA, as amended by HITECH, and their respective implementing regulations, which impose, among other things, requirements on certain healthcare providers, health plans and healthcare clearinghouses, known as covered entities, as well as their respective business associates, independent contractors that perform services for covered entities that involve the use, or disclosure of, individually identifiable health information, relating to the privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information. HITECH also created new tiers of civil monetary penalties, amended HIPAA to make civil and criminal penalties directly applicable to business associates, and gave state attorneys general new authority to file civil actions for damages or injunctions in federal courts to enforce the federal HIPAA laws and seek attorneys' fees and costs associated with pursuing federal civil actions;- the federal Physician Payments Sunshine Act, created under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended, or ACA, and its implementing regulations, which require some manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologicals and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children's Health Insurance Program (with certain exceptions) to report annually to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, or HHS, information related to payments or other transfers of value made to physicians (defined to include doctors, dentists, optometrists, podiatrists and chiropractors) and teaching hospitals, as well as ownership and investment interests held by physicians and their immediate family members; and - analogous state and foreign laws and regulations, such as state anti-kickback and false claims laws, which may apply to sales or marketing arrangements and claims involving healthcare items or services reimbursed by non-governmental third-party payors, including private insurers, and may be broader in scope than their federal equivalents; state and foreign laws that require pharmaceutical companies to comply with the pharmaceutical industry's voluntary compliance guidelines and the relevant compliance guidance promulgated by the federal government or otherwise restrict payments that may be made to healthcare providers; state and foreign laws that require drug manufacturers to report information related to payments and other transfers of value to physicians and other healthcare providers, marketing expenditures or drug pricing; state and local laws that require the registration of pharmaceutical sales representatives; and state and foreign laws governing the privacy and security of health information in certain circumstances, many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not preempted by HIPAA, thus complicating compliance efforts.
The distribution of pharmaceutical products is subject to additional requirements and regulations, including extensive record-keeping, licensing, storage and security requirements intended to prevent the unauthorized sale of pharmaceutical products. Pharmaceutical companies may also be subject to federal consumer protection and unfair competition laws, which broadly regulate marketplace activities and activities that potentially harm consumers.
The scope and enforcement of each of these laws is uncertain and subject to rapid change in the current environment of healthcare reform, especially in light of the lack of applicable precedent and regulations. Federal and state enforcement bodies continue to closely scrutinize interactions between healthcare companies and healthcare providers, which has led to a number of investigations, prosecutions, convictions and settlements in the healthcare industry. Ensuring business arrangements comply with applicable healthcare laws, as well as responding to possible investigations by government authorities, can be time and resource-consuming and can divert a company's attention from the business.
It is possible that governmental and enforcement authorities will conclude that New Ayala's business practices may not comply with current or future statutes, regulations or case law interpreting applicable fraud and abuse or other healthcare laws and regulations. If any such actions are instituted against New Ayala, and it is not successful in defending itself or asserting its rights, those actions could have a significant impact on its business, including the imposition of civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, imprisonment, exclusion from participation in federal and state funded healthcare programs, contractual damages and the curtailment or restricting of New Ayala's operations, as well as additional reporting obligations and oversight if it becomes subject to a corporate integrity agreement or other agreement to resolve allegations of non-compliance with these laws. Further, if any of the physicians or other healthcare providers or entities with whom New Ayala expects to do business is found to be not in compliance with applicable laws, they may be subject to significant criminal, civil or administrative sanctions, including exclusions from government funded healthcare programs. Any action for violation of these laws, even if successfully defended, could cause a biopharmaceutical manufacturer to incur significant legal expenses and divert management's attention from the operation of the business. Prohibitions or restrictions on sales or withdrawal of future marketed products could materially affect business in an adverse way.
Regulation - Risk 9
The results of clinical trials conducted at clinical trial sites outside the United States might not be accepted by the FDA, and data developed outside of a foreign jurisdiction similarly might not be accepted by such foreign regulatory authority.
Some of the clinical trials for New Ayala product candidates that are being or will be conducted through its partnerships and collaborations may be conducted outside the United States, and it intends in the future to conduct additional clinical trials outside the United States. Although the FDA, EMA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may accept data from clinical trials conducted outside the relevant jurisdiction, acceptance of these data is subject to certain conditions. For example, the FDA requires that the clinical trial must be well designed and conducted and performed by qualified investigators in accordance with ethical principles such as IRB or ethics committee approval and informed consent, the trial population must adequately represent the U.S. population, and the data must be applicable to the U.S. population and U.S. medical practice in ways that the FDA deems clinically meaningful. In addition, while these clinical trials are subject to the applicable local laws, acceptance of the data by the FDA will be dependent upon its determination that the trials were conducted consistent with all applicable U.S. laws and regulations. There can be no assurance that the FDA will accept data from trials conducted outside of the United States as adequate support of a marketing application. Similarly, New Ayala must also ensure that any data submitted to foreign regulatory authorities adheres to their standards and requirements for clinical trials and there can be no assurance a comparable foreign regulatory authority would accept data from trials conducted outside of its jurisdiction.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities4 | 6.9%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
New Ayala may incur substantial liabilities from any product liability claims if its insurance coverage for those claims is inadequate.
New Ayala faces an inherent risk of product liability exposure related to the testing of its immunotherapies in human clinical trials and will face an even greater risk if the approved products are sold commercially. An individual may bring a liability claim against New Ayala if one of the immunotherapies causes, or merely appears to have caused, an injury. If New Ayala cannot successfully defend itself against the product liability claim, it will incur substantial liabilities. Regardless of merit or eventual outcome, liability claims may result in:
- decreased demand for New Ayala's immunotherapies; - damage to New Ayala's reputation; - withdrawal of clinical trial participants; - costs of related litigation; - substantial monetary awards to patients or other claimants; - loss of revenues; - the inability to commercialize immunotherapies; and - increased difficulty in raising required additional funds in the private and public capital markets.
New Ayala has product liability and clinical trial liability insurance coverage for each clinical trial. New Ayala does not have product liability insurance for sold commercial products because it does not have products on the market. New Ayala plans to expand such coverage to include the sale of commercial products if marketing approval is obtained for any of its immunotherapies. However, insurance coverage is increasingly expensive and New Ayala may not be able to maintain insurance coverage at a reasonable cost. Further, New Ayala may not be able to obtain insurance coverage that will be adequate to satisfy any liability that may arise.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
New Ayala may face legal claims; legal disputes are expensive and it may not be able to afford the costs.
New Ayala may face legal claims involving stockholders, consumers, clinical trial subjects, competitors, regulators and other parties. New Ayala is engaged in legal proceedings. Litigation and other legal proceedings are inherently uncertain, and adverse rulings could occur, including monetary damages, or an injunction stopping New Ayala from engaging in business practices, or requiring other remedies, including, but not limited to, compulsory licensing of patents.
The costs of litigation or any proceeding, including, but not limited to, those relating to New Ayala's intellectual property or contractual rights, could be substantial, even if resolved in its favor. Some of New Ayala's competitors or financial funding sources have far greater resources than it does and may be better able to afford the costs of complex litigation. Also, a lawsuit, even if frivolous, will require considerable time commitments on the part of management, New Ayala's attorneys and consultants. Defending these types of proceedings or legal actions involve considerable expense and could negatively affect New Ayala's financial results. Legal claims may also adversely impact New Ayala in other ways, such as the withdrawal or slower enrollment in or from its clinical trials, regulatory enforcement actions, and negative media attention, any of which could materially and negatively harm New Ayala and its operations.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 3
New Ayala may be at an increased risk of securities litigation, which is expensive and could divert management attention.
The market price of New Ayala's Common Stock may be volatile, and in the past companies that have experienced volatility in the market price of their stock have been subject to securities class action litigation. New Ayala may be the target of this type of litigation in the future. Securities litigation against New Ayala could result in substantial costs and divert its management's attention from other business concerns, which could seriously harm its business.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 4
Our auditor's report includes a going concern paragraph.
Our auditor's report on our financial statements for the year ended October 31, 2022 includes a going concern paragraph. The Company's products that are being developed have not generated significant revenue. As a result, the Company has suffered recurring losses and requires significant cash resources to execute its business plans. These losses are expected to continue for an extended period of time. The aforementioned factors raise substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern within one year from the date of filing. The accompanying financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis, which contemplates the realization of assets and the satisfaction of liabilities in the normal course of business. The financial statements do not include any adjustments relating to the recoverability and classification of asset amounts or the classification of liabilities that might be necessary should the Company be unable to continue as a going concern within one year after the date the financial statements are issued.
Historically, the major source of our cash has been from proceeds from various public and private offerings of our common stock. Management's plans to mitigate an expected shortfall of capital, to support future operations, include raising additional funds. The actual amount of cash that it will need to operate is subject to many factors.
The Company also recognizes it will need to raise additional capital in order to continue to execute its business plan in the future. There is no assurance that additional financing will be available when needed or that management will be able to obtain financing on terms acceptable to the Company or whether the Company will become profitable and generate positive operating cash flow. If the Company is unable to raise sufficient additional funds, it will have to scale back its operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 1.7%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Inadequate funding for the FDA and other government agencies could hinder their ability to hire and retain key leadership and other personnel, prevent new products and services from being developed or commercialized in a timely manner or otherwise prevent those agencies from performing normal business functions on which the operation of New Ayala's business may rely, which could negatively impact its business.
The ability of the FDA to review and approve new products can be affected by a variety of factors, including government budget and funding levels, ability to hire and retain key personnel and accept the payment of user fees, and statutory, regulatory, and policy changes. Average review times at the agency have fluctuated in recent years as a result.
Disruptions at the FDA and other agencies may also slow the time necessary for new drugs to be reviewed and/or approved by necessary government agencies, which would adversely affect New Ayala's business. For example, over the last several years, the U.S. government has shut down several times and certain regulatory agencies, such as the FDA, have had to furlough critical employees and stop critical activities. If a prolonged government shutdown occurs, it could significantly impact the ability of the FDA to timely review and process New Ayala's regulatory submissions, which could have a material adverse effect on its business. Further, upon completion of this offering and in New Ayala's operations as a public company, future government shutdowns could impact its ability to access the public markets and obtain necessary capital in order to properly capitalize and continue its operations.
Environmental / Social1 | 1.7%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
New Ayala may incur significant costs complying with environmental laws and regulations.
New Ayala and its contracted third parties use hazardous materials, including chemicals and biological agents and compounds that could be dangerous to human health and safety or the environment. As appropriate, New Ayala stores these materials and wastes resulting from their use at New Ayala or its outsourced laboratory facility pending their ultimate use or disposal. New Ayala contract with a third party to properly dispose of these materials and wastes. New Ayala is subject to a variety of federal, state and local laws and regulations governing the use, generation, manufacture, storage, handling and disposal of these materials and wastes. Compliance with such laws and regulations may be costly.
Production
Total Risks: 8/58 (14%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 1.7%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Changes in product candidate manufacturing or formulation may result in additional costs or delay.
In an effort to optimize processes and results, it is common that various aspects of the development program, such as manufacturing methods, manufacturing sites, and formulation, are altered as product candidates are developed from preclinical studies to late-stage clinical trials toward approval and commercialization. Any of these changes could cause New Ayala's product candidates to perform differently and affect the results of planned clinical trials or other future clinical trials conducted with the altered materials. Such changes may also require additional testing, regulatory disclosure, or prior approval from the FDA. For instance, the FDA may require that New Ayala conducts a comparability study that evaluates the potential differences in the product candidate resulting from the change. Delays in designing and completing such a study to the satisfaction of the FDA could delay or preclude New Ayala's development and commercialization plans, and the regulatory approval of its product candidates. It may also require the repetition of one or more clinical trials, increase clinical trial costs, delay approval of New Ayala's product candidates and jeopardize its ability to commence product sales and generate revenue. Any of the foregoing could limit New Ayala's future revenues and growth. Any changes would also require that New Ayala devotes time and resources to manufacturing development, including with third-party manufacturers, and would also likely require additional testing and regulatory actions on its part, which may delay the development of its product candidates.
Employment / Personnel3 | 5.2%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
New Ayala depends upon its senior management and key consultants and their loss or unavailability could put it at a competitive disadvantage.
New Ayala depends upon the efforts and abilities of its senior executives, as well as the services of several key consultants. The loss or unavailability of the services of any of these individuals for any significant period of time could have a material adverse effect on New Ayala's business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. New Ayala has not obtained, does not own, nor is it the beneficiary of, key-person life insurance.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
New Ayala needs to attract and retain highly skilled personnel; it may be unable to effectively manage growth with its limited resources.
As of October 31, 2022 New Ayala had 15 employees, 14 of which were full time employees. New Ayala's ability to attract and retain highly skilled personnel is critical to its operations and expansion. New Ayala faces competition for these types of personnel from other technology companies and more established organizations, many of which have significantly larger operations and greater financial, technical, human and other resources than it has. New Ayala may not be successful in attracting and retaining qualified personnel on a timely basis, on competitive terms, or at all. If New Ayala is not successful in attracting and retaining these personnel, or integrating them into its operations, business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations will be materially adversely affected. In such circumstances New Ayala may be unable to conduct certain research and development programs, unable to adequately manage its clinical trials and other products, unable to commercialize any products, and unable to adequately address its management needs.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
New Ayala employees, independent contractors, consultants, commercial partners, principal investigators, or CROs may engage in misconduct or other improper activities, including noncompliance with regulatory standards and requirements, which could have a material adverse effect on its business.
New Ayala is exposed to the risk of employee and third-party fraud or other misconduct. Misconduct by employees, independent contractors, consultants, commercial partners, manufacturers, investigators, or CROs could include intentional, reckless, negligent, or unintentional failures to comply with FDA regulations, comply with applicable fraud and abuse laws, provide accurate information to the FDA, properly calculate pricing information required by federal programs, comply with federal procurement rules or contract terms, report financial information or data accurately or disclose unauthorized activities to New Ayala. This misconduct could also involve the improper use or misrepresentation of information obtained in the course of clinical trials, which could result in regulatory sanctions and serious harm to New Ayala's reputation. It is not always possible to identify and deter this type of misconduct, and the precautions New Ayala takes to detect and prevent this activity may not be effective in controlling unknown or unmanaged risks or losses or in protecting it from governmental investigations or other actions or lawsuits stemming from a failure to be in compliance with such laws or regulations. Moreover, it is possible for a whistleblower to pursue a federal False Claims Act, or FCA, case against New Ayala even if the government considers the claim unmeritorious and declines to intervene, which could require New Ayala to incur costs defending against such a claim. Further, due to the risk that a judgment in an FCA case could result in exclusion from federal health programs or debarment from government contracts, whistleblower cases often result in large settlements. If any such actions are instituted against New Ayala, and it is not successful in defending itself or asserting its rights, those actions could have a significant impact on its business, financial condition, and results of operations, including the imposition of significant fines or other sanctions.
Supply Chain3 | 5.2%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Some of New Ayala's products are dependent upon its license agreement with Penn; if New Ayala breaches the license agreement and/or fail to make payments due and owing to Penn under its license agreement, its business may be materially and adversely affected.
Pursuant to the terms of New Ayala's license agreement with Penn, which has been amended from time to time, it has acquired exclusive worldwide licenses for patents and patent applications related to its proprietary Listeria vaccine technology. The license provides New Ayala with the exclusive commercial rights to the patent portfolio developed at Penn as of the effective date of the license, in connection with Dr. Paterson and requires New Ayala to pay various milestone, legal, filing and licensing payments to commercialize the technology. As of October 31, 2022, New Ayala did not have outstanding payables to Penn. New Ayala can provide no assurance that it will be able to make all future payments due and owing thereunder, that such licenses will not be terminated or expire during critical periods, that it will be able to obtain licenses from Penn for other rights that may be important to New Ayala, or, if obtained, that such licenses will be obtained on commercially reasonable terms. The loss of any current or future licenses from Penn or the exclusivity rights provided therein could materially harm New Ayala's business, financial condition and operating results.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
New Ayala must rely upon third parties for manufacturing.
New Ayala currently has agreements with third party manufacturing facilities for production of many of its immunotherapies for research and development and testing purposes. New Ayala depends on third-party manufacturers to supply all of its clinical materials, but it does not have direct control over their personnel or operations. Third-party manufacturers must be able to meet New Ayala's deadlines as well as adhere to quality standards and specifications. New Ayala's reliance on third parties for the manufacturing of its drug substance, investigational new drugs and, in the future, any approved products, creates a dependency that could severely disrupt New Ayala's research and development, its clinical testing, and ultimately its sales and marketing efforts if the source of such supply proves to be unreliable or unavailable. For instance, manufacturers may experience unforeseen problems, such as material or personnel shortages, temporary or permanent facility closures, or scale up challenges. If any contracted manufacturing operation is unreliable or unavailable, New Ayala may not be able to manufacture clinical drug supplies of its immunotherapies, and its preclinical and clinical testing programs may not be able to move forward and its entire business plan could fail. If New Ayala is able to commercialize its products in the future, there is no assurance that any third-party manufacturers will be able to meet commercialized scale production requirements in a timely manner.
There is also no guarantee that New Ayala's third-party manufacturers will be able to manufacture its product candidates in accordance with current Good Manufacturing Practices, or cGMPs. Poor control of production processes can lead to the introduction of adventitious agents or other contaminants, or to inadvertent changes in the properties or stability of a product candidate that may not be detectable in final product testing. If these third-party manufacturers are not able to comply with cGMPs, New Ayala may not be able to conduct clinical trials, may need to conduct additional studies, and may not, eventually, receive and maintain FDA approval for those products. Deviations from manufacturing requirements may also require remedial measures that may be costly and/or time-consuming for a third party to implement and that may include the temporary or permanent suspension of a clinical trial or commercial sales or the temporary or permanent closure of a facility. Any such remedial measures imposed upon or by third parties with whom New Ayala contracts could materially harm its business. A failure to comply with the applicable regulatory requirements may also result in regulatory enforcement actions against New Ayala's manufacturers.
While New Ayala is ultimately responsible for the manufacturing of its product candidates, other than through its contractual arrangements, New Ayala has little control over its manufacturers' compliance with these regulations and standards. If New Ayala's manufacturers encounter manufacturing difficulties, including cGMP compliance, it may need to find alternative manufacturing facilities, which it may not be able to on favorable terms or at all, and which would significantly impact New Ayala's ability to develop, obtain and maintain regulatory approval for or market its product candidates, if approved. Any new manufacturers would need to either obtain or develop the necessary manufacturing know-how, and obtain the necessary equipment and materials, which may take substantial time and investment. New Ayala must also receive FDA approval for the use of any new manufacturers for commercial supply.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
If third parties threaten to terminate, terminate or alter existing contracts or relationships with New Ayala or Old Ayala, New Ayala's and Old Ayala's respective businesses may be materially harmed.
Old Ayala had contracts with customers, suppliers, vendors, landlords, licensors and other business partners which may require Ayala to obtain consents from these other parties in connection with the Merger. If these consents cannot be obtained, the combined company may suffer a loss of potential future revenues and may lose rights that are material to the business of the combined company. In addition, third parties with whom Old Ayala or New Ayala had or have relationships may terminate or otherwise reduce the scope of their relationship with either. Any such disruptions could limit the Company's ability to achieve the anticipated benefits of the Merger.
Costs1 | 1.7%
Costs - Risk 1
New Ayala and Old Ayala incurred substantial direct and indirect costs as a result of the Merger and New Ayala will incur substantial direct and indirect costs in connection with combining the businesses of New Ayala and Old Ayala following the Merger.
New Ayala and Old Ayala will incur substantial expenses in connection with and as a result of consummating the Merger, and over a period of time following the consummation of the Merger, the combined company also expects to incur substantial expenses in connection with coordinating and, in certain cases, combining the businesses, operations, policies and procedures of New Ayala and Old Ayala. These expenses could adversely affect the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the combined company following the consummation of the Merger.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 2/58 (3%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.7%
Competition - Risk 1
The biotechnology and immunotherapy industries are characterized by rapid technological developments and a high degree of competition. New Ayala may be unable to compete with more substantial enterprises.
The biotechnology and biopharmaceutical industries are characterized by rapid technological developments and a high degree of competition. As a result, New Ayala's actual or proposed immunotherapies could become obsolete before it recoups any portion of its related research and development and commercialization expenses. Competition in the biopharmaceutical industry is based significantly on scientific and technological factors. These factors include the availability of patent and other protection for technology and products, the ability to commercialize technological developments and the ability to obtain governmental approval for testing, manufacturing and marketing. New Ayala competes with specialized biopharmaceutical firms in the United States, Europe and elsewhere, as well as a growing number of large pharmaceutical companies that are applying biotechnology to their operations. Many biopharmaceutical companies have focused their development efforts in the human therapeutics area, including cancer. Many major pharmaceutical companies have developed or acquired internal biotechnology capabilities or made commercial arrangements with other biopharmaceutical companies. These companies, as well as academic institutions and governmental agencies and private research organizations, also compete with New Ayala in recruiting and retaining highly qualified scientific personnel and consultants. New Ayala's ability to compete successfully with other companies in the pharmaceutical field will also depend to a considerable degree on the continuing availability of capital to New Ayala.
New Ayala is aware of certain investigational new products under development or approved products by competitors that are used for the prevention, diagnosis, or treatment of certain diseases it has targeted for product development. Various companies are developing biopharmaceutical products that have the potential to directly compete with New Ayala's immunotherapies even though their approach may be different. The biotechnology and biopharmaceutical industries are highly competitive, and this competition comes from both biotechnology firms and major pharmaceutical companies, including companies like: Gritstone, Moderna, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company ("BMS"), Merck and Neon Therapeutics, among others, each of which is pursuing cancer vaccines and/or immunotherapies. Many of these companies have substantially greater financial, marketing, and human resources than New Ayala does (including, in some cases, substantially greater experience in clinical testing, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceutical products). New Ayala also experiences competition in the development of its immunotherapies from universities and other research institutions and compete with others in acquiring technology from such universities and institutions.
In addition, certain of New Ayala's immunotherapies may be subject to competition from investigational new drugs and/or products developed using other technologies, some of which have completed numerous clinical trials.
Demand1 | 1.7%
Demand - Risk 1
Coverage and reimbursement may be limited or unavailable in certain market segments for New Ayala's product candidates, if approved, which could make it difficult for New Ayala to sell any product candidates profitably.
The success of New Ayala's product candidates, if approved, depends on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from third-party payors. New Ayala cannot be sure that coverage and reimbursement will be available for, or accurately estimate the potential revenue from, its product candidates or assure that coverage and reimbursement will be available for any product that it may develop.
Patients who are provided medical treatment for their conditions generally rely on third-party payors to reimburse all or part of the costs associated with their treatment. Coverage and adequate reimbursement from governmental healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, and commercial payors is critical to new product acceptance.
Government authorities and other third-party payors, such as private health insurers and health maintenance organizations, decide which drugs and treatments they will cover and the amount of reimbursement. Coverage and reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend upon a number of factors, including the third-party payor's determination that use of a product is:
- a covered benefit under its health plan; - safe, effective and medically necessary; - appropriate for the specific patient; - cost-effective; and - neither experimental nor investigational.
In the United States, no uniform policy of coverage and reimbursement for products exists among third-party payors. As a result, obtaining coverage and reimbursement approval of a product from a government or other third-party payor is a time-consuming and costly process that could require New Ayala to provide to each payor supporting scientific, clinical and cost-effectiveness data for the use of its products on a payor-by-payor basis, with no assurance that coverage and adequate reimbursement will be obtained. Even if New Ayala obtains coverage for a given product, the resulting reimbursement payment rates might not be adequate for it to achieve or sustain profitability or may require co-payments that patients find unacceptably high. Additionally, third-party payors may not cover, or provide adequate reimbursement for, long-term follow-up evaluations required following the use of product candidates, once approved. Patients are unlikely to use New Ayala's product candidates, once approved, unless coverage is provided and reimbursement is adequate
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 2/58 (3%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment2 | 3.4%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Added
Situation in Israel
In October 2023, Hamas terrorists infiltrated Israel's southern border from the Gaza Strip and conducted a series of attacks on civilian and military targets. Hamas also launched extensive rocket attacks on the Israeli population and industrial centers located along Israel's border with the Gaza Strip and in other areas within the State of Israel. These attacks resulted in thousands of deaths and injuries, and Hamas additionally kidnapped many Israeli civilians and soldiers. Following the attack, Israel's security cabinet declared war against Hamas and commenced a military campaign against Hamas. The Company cannot currently predict the intensity or duration of Israel's war against Hamas, nor can predict how this war will ultimately affect the Company's business and operations or Israel's economy in general.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
New Ayala is currently operating in a period of economic uncertainty and capital markets disruption, which has been significantly impacted by geopolitical instability, an ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and record inflation. New Ayala's business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected by any negative impact on the global economy and capital markets resulting from the conflict in Ukraine, geopolitical tensions, or record inflation.
U.S. and global markets are experiencing volatility and disruption following the escalation of geopolitical tensions and the start of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine. On February 24, 2022, a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops was reported. Although the length and impact of the ongoing military conflict is highly unpredictable, the conflict in Ukraine has led to market disruptions, including significant volatility in commodity prices, credit and capital markets, as well as supply chain interruptions, which has caused record inflation globally. New Ayala is continuing to monitor the situation in Ukraine and globally and assessing its potential impact on New Ayala's business.
Although, to date, New Ayala's business has not been materially impacted by the ongoing military conflict between Russian and Ukraine, geopolitical tensions, or record inflation, it is impossible to predict the extent to which its operations will be impacted in the short and long term, or the ways in which the conflict in Ukraine, geopolitical tensions, or record inflation may impact New Ayala's business. The extent and duration of the conflict in Ukraine, geopolitical tensions, record inflation and resulting market disruptions are impossible to predict, but could be substantial.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.