NexPoint Residential (NXRT) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $779.55M
• Dividend Yield: 6.68%
• Average Volume (3M): 174.75K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: -4.46%
• EPS Growth: -206.19%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: REIT - Residential
• EPS (TTM): -0.31
• Shares Outstanding: 25,364,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 160,322
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 174,746
• PEG Ratio: -9.84
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.10
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.87
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 8.85
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.44
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.90
• 1Y Price Target: $35.00
• Price Target Upside: 14.34% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: $31.00 ▲(1.27% Upside)

NexPoint Residential's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage, which are partially offset by strong cash flow generation and a high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while the earnings call provides cautious optimism with operational improvements and strategic growth plans.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow growth indicates efficient operations and provides a buffer against operational losses, supporting long-term stability.

Dividend Growth

Consistent dividend growth reflects robust cash generation and management's commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.

Successful Unit Upgrades

Unit upgrades with a 26% ROI enhance property value and rental income, indicating effective asset management and potential for revenue growth.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Declining Revenue

Declining revenue suggests challenges in maintaining market position and could pressure margins, affecting long-term profitability.

Negative Profit Margins

Negative profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies and financial challenges, potentially hindering the company's ability to sustain growth.

NexPoint Residential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NexPoint Residential Trust is a publicly traded REIT, with its shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol NXRT, primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. NXRT is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of NexPoint Advisors, L.P., an SEC-registered investment advisor, which has extensive real estate experience.

How the Company Makes Money

NexPoint Residential generates revenue primarily through rental income from its multifamily properties. The company acquires residential real estate assets, often implementing strategic renovations and management improvements to increase occupancy rates and rental prices. Additionally, NXRT may realize gains through property sales or refinancing, enhancing its capital structure. Significant partnerships with property management firms and local market experts further contribute to optimizing operations and maximizing rental yields. The company also benefits from favorable market conditions, such as rising demand for rental housing, which can lead to increased revenues from higher rental rates and reduced vacancy levels.

NexPoint Residential Financial Statement Overview

Summary

NexPoint Residential faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and shrinking margins. High leverage poses financial risk, although strong cash flow generation provides some buffer against operational losses.

Income Statement

NexPoint Residential's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a significant drop in revenue growth rate of -42.6% TTM. The gross profit margin has decreased from 84.39% to 62.49% TTM, indicating reduced efficiency in generating profit from revenue. The net profit margin is negative at -19.55% TTM, reflecting a loss-making position. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting reduced operational profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.22 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -12.54% TTM, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 18.73% TTM, showing a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets, which could be a concern for stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 26.9% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 6.27 TTM, suggesting efficient cash conversion from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that all free cash flow is being used to cover net income losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	252.99M	259.70M	277.53M	263.95M	219.24M	204.80M
Gross Profit	195.89M	219.16M	81.21M	159.07M	124.38M	119.65M
EBITDA	188.22M	127.67M	250.01M	132.66M	105.09M	95.97M
Net Income	-48.65M	1.11M	44.26M	-9.26M	23.04M	44.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.84B	1.91B	2.11B	2.23B	2.06B	1.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	10.83M	23.15M	12.37M	127.84M	53.24M	24.46M
Total Debt	0.00	1.46B	1.48B	1.60B	1.55B	1.35B
Total Liabilities	1.51B	1.49B	1.61B	1.70B	1.59B	1.42B
Stockholders Equity	322.94M	410.37M	494.62M	519.67M	469.85M	407.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	54.63M	73.57M	96.58M	79.10M	73.27M	57.23M
Operating Cash Flow	54.63M	73.57M	96.58M	79.10M	73.27M	57.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.74M	130.62M	51.92M	-162.30M	-235.91M	11.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-64.61M	-195.55M	-155.02M	46.31M	194.32M	-82.90M

NexPoint Residential Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 30.61
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.17, below the 50-day MA of 32.13, and below the 200-day MA of 34.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXRT.

NexPoint Residential Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	―	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
UMH	―	$1.21B	106.73	3.64%	6.19%	8.39%	―
VRE	―	$1.34B	24.15	5.94%	2.20%	3.37%	―
CSR	―	$1.05B	-33.03	-3.35%	5.22%	-0.63%	-123.59%
NXRT	―	$779.55M	-15.98	-12.63%	6.68%	-4.46%	-206.19%
AIV	―	$761.47M	-11.02	-38.53%	8.00%	7.07%	69.54%
BRT	―	$277.49M	-29.24	-4.52%	6.93%	2.16%	11.18%

NexPoint Residential Corporate Events

NexPoint Residential Trust Reports Q3 2025 Results

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring, owning, and operating middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. The company is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P.

NexPoint Residential Trust Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

NexPoint Residential Trust’s recent earnings call painted a picture of cautious optimism amidst operational improvements and a positive market outlook. While the company reported gains in net operating income (NOI) and dividend growth, it also faced challenges with a net loss, declining revenues, and trading at a discount to its net asset value (NAV). Despite these hurdles, the management expressed confidence in future performance and growth strategies.

NexPoint Residential Trust Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring, owning, and operating middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States.

NexPoint Residential Trust’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Moves

NexPoint Residential Trust’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, reflecting both positive achievements and ongoing challenges. The company reported strong returns from property upgrades and efficient expense management, yet faced a net loss and supply pressures in key markets. Declines in occupancy in Phoenix and Vegas, along with modest revenue growth expectations, further underscore the balanced outlook.