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Farmland (FPI)
NYSE:FPI

Farmland (FPI) AI Stock Analysis

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Farmland

(NYSE:FPI)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
â–²(12.17%Upside)
Farmland Partners Inc. shows strong technical momentum and attractive valuation, which are significant positives. While the financial performance is solid, revenue volatility and governance challenges present risks. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call reflects both strategic progress and external challenges.

Farmland (FPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Farmland Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFarmland Partners Inc. is an internally managed real estate company that owns and seeks to acquire high-quality North American farmland and makes loans to farmers secured by farm real estate. As of the date of this release, the Company owns approximately 155,000 acres in 16 states, including Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Carolina, South Dakota and Virginia. We have approximately 26 crop types and over 100 tenants. The Company elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust, or REIT, for U.S. federal income tax purposes, commencing with the taxable year ended December 31, 2014.
How the Company Makes MoneyFarmland Partners Inc. generates revenue primarily through leasing its farmland properties to farmers and agricultural operators. The company enters into long-term lease agreements, collecting rent payments from tenants who utilize the land for crop production. This rental income is the main revenue stream for FPI. Additionally, FPI may engage in strategic acquisitions and sales of farmland properties, aiming to capitalize on appreciation in land value. The company also benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies due to its extensive and diverse farmland portfolio. Partnerships with agricultural operators and other stakeholders in the sector further bolster its revenue-generating capacity.

Farmland Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are significant financial achievements such as increased net income, decreased interest expenses, and raised 2025 guidance, there are also notable challenges including geopolitical risks impacting tariffs, concerns over stagflation, and difficulties with land values in California. The company is dealing with governance issues as well, as seen in the failed compensation advisory vote. The highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q1 2025
Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $2.1 million, or $0.03 per share, which was higher than the same period in 2024 due to higher interest income on loans and gains on property dispositions.
Decrease in Interest Expense
Interest expense decreased by $2.4 million for Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 due to reductions in debt of $189.4 million in Q4 2024.
Increase in Solar, Wind, and Recreation Revenue
Revenue from solar, wind, and recreation increased due to proceeds from a solar lease arrangement with a tenant.
Guidance Raised for 2025
The forecasted range of AFFO is $13.3 million to $15.9 million, or $0.28 to $0.34 per share, which is an increase of $0.03 and $0.04 on the low and high end of the range, respectively, from the last quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Tariffs and Stagflation Concerns
Tariffs, particularly concerns about China, are causing uncertainty. Mediocre pricing for key commodities is exerting financial pressure on farmers.
California Land Value Issues
Land values in California are not recovering, with some sellers starting to capitulate, indicating a possible bottom of the market.
ISS Recommendation Against Compensation Advisory Vote
ISS recommended against the compensation advisory vote, which failed despite arguments that the CFO's compensation is materially lower than peers.
Decrease in Fixed Farm Rent Revenue
Fixed farm rent decreased due to property dispositions in 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Farmland Partners First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several financial metrics and guidance updates. Net income for the quarter was reported at $2.1 million, or $0.03 per share, an increase from the previous year, driven by higher interest income from loans, solar lease proceeds, and lower interest expenses. Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) was $2.3 million, or $0.05 per share, slightly lower than the previous year. The company noted decreases in operating expenses due to reduced debt and property expenses. They raised their full-year guidance for 2025 by several cents, with AFFO now projected between $13.3 million and $15.9 million, or $0.28 to $0.34 per share. The company highlighted their strategic focus on maintaining liquidity, selective capital deployment, and stock buybacks, while also addressing tariff impacts and land values in California.

Farmland Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Farmland's financials reflect strong operational profitability and reasonable leverage. The company has challenges in maintaining consistent revenue growth but manages cash flows efficiently. The income statement shows improved net income and profitability metrics, though revenue is volatile. The balance sheet is solid with reasonable debt levels, and cash flow analysis indicates stable cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While there is a significant improvement in net income and profitability metrics like the net profit margin and gross profit margin have improved, the revenue has shown volatility with a recent decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable but shows a reliance on debt financing. However, the equity ratio is solid, suggesting that the company is well-capitalized. Return on Equity is robust, indicating effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates stable cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth is positive, although operating cash flow fluctuated. The company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.49M58.23M57.47M61.21M51.74M50.69M
Gross Profit41.27M46.92M44.05M47.05M42.88M39.95M
EBITDA83.91M85.88M60.90M32.10M33.82M30.31M
Net Income60.55M59.91M30.91M11.67M-6.05M-10.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B868.56M1.02B1.16B1.12B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.10M78.44M5.49M7.65M30.17M27.22M
Total Debt570.27M203.88M361.26M437.20M511.43M506.72M
Total Liabilities487.49M272.00M391.19M455.94M528.94M645.31M
Stockholders Equity495.79M494.59M515.88M580.79M458.31M429.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.83M16.14M12.89M12.80M5.14M17.07M
Operating Cash Flow10.62M16.14M12.89M17.05M7.86M19.73M
Investing Cash Flow283.35M268.75M158.46M-60.40M-18.77M18.67M
Financing Cash Flow-278.54M-211.94M-173.51M20.83M13.87M-23.74M

Farmland Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.59
Price Trends
50DMA
10.85
Positive
100DMA
10.90
Positive
200DMA
10.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
62.85
Neutral
STOCH
82.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.43, above the 50-day MA of 10.85, and above the 200-day MA of 10.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FPI.

Farmland Risk Analysis

Farmland disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Farmland reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Farmland Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FPFPI
73
Outperform
$533.02M11.3312.09%2.07%-0.52%112.78%
WYWY
64
Neutral
$19.36B53.273.71%3.15%-6.56%-54.29%
PCPCH
64
Neutral
$3.20B67.222.31%4.42%10.86%6.72%
63
Neutral
$6.99B18.83-1.16%6.86%4.65%-25.28%
RYRYN
63
Neutral
$3.61B9.9618.78%12.58%12.61%111.99%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FPI
Farmland
11.59
1.66
16.72%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
39.91
3.84
10.65%
RYN
Rayonier
23.10
-2.09
-8.30%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
26.43
-0.27
-1.01%

Farmland Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Farmland Faces Shareholder Rejection on Executive Pay
Negative
May 7, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 6, 2025, Farmland Partners Inc. presented four proposals for consideration. The proposals included the election of six director nominees, ratification of Crowe LLP as the accounting firm, an advisory vote on executive compensation, and an amendment to the equity incentive plan. Notably, the proposal on executive compensation did not pass, prompting the company to engage further with stockholders to align management incentives with shareholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2025