CompetitionFMX launched as CME’s first competitor in interest rate futures, but is still in its initial stages and plans to launch treasury futures in 1Q25.
Earnings PerformanceCME shares trading at a 10% discount to peers, versus a historical 20% premium, and the shares up just 4% YTD, underperforming peers by 17 percentage points, given competitive concerns with the recent FMX launch and market concerns around the outlook for volume growth.
Market Share ThreatsCME lacks the secular growth characteristics of other areas of the exchange universe and is facing market share threats on three fronts.