tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Charter Communications (CHTR)
NASDAQ:CHTR
Advertisement

Charter Communications (CHTR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,099 Followers

Top Page

CH

Charter Communications

(NASDAQ:CHTR)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$434.00
▲(13.22%Upside)
Charter Communications has a strong overall stock score due to its solid financial performance and strategic corporate events. The company's attractive valuation and positive earnings outlook further support the score, despite some technical analysis concerns and customer base challenges. The merger and acquisition initiatives are particularly significant in enhancing Charter's market position and future growth potential.
Positive Factors
Merger Impact
The announced merger with Cox will accelerate revenue growth, elevate margins, be accretive to free cash flow and reduce net leverage.
Operational Expansion
The transaction makes Charter Communications the largest domestic cable/broadband operator, which should lead to further negotiating and operational advantages.
Product Offering
Charter will benefit from continued momentum from its attractive Spectrum Life Unlimited offering.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure
Charter's Capex is expected to peak in '25, with cash flow projected to rise starting in '26, supporting its levered buyback program.
Competitive Environment
The backdrop for broadband remains fiercely competitive.
Subscriber Losses
Charter has lost BB subs for nine consecutive quarters, and it's unclear when it will return to positive net adds given fiber and FWA growth.

Charter Communications (CHTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Charter Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCharter Communications, Inc. operates as a broadband connectivity and cable operator company serving residential and commercial customers in the United States. The company offers subscription-based video services, including video on demand, high-definition television, digital video recorder, pay-per-view services. It provides Internet services, such as security suite that protects computers from viruses and spyware, and threats from malicious actors; in-home WiFi, which provides customers with high performance wireless routers to enhance their in-home wireless Internet experience; out-of-home WiFi; and Spectrum WiFi services, as well as video services. The company also offers voice communications services using voice over Internet protocol technology; and broadband communications solutions, such as Internet access, data networking, fiber connectivity, video entertainment, and business telephone services to cellular towers and office buildings for business and carrier organizations. In addition, it provides mobile services; offers video programming, static IP and business WiFi, email and security, and multi-line telephone services, as well as Web-based service management; sells local advertising across various platforms for networks, such as TBS, CNN, and ESPN; sells advertising inventory to local sports and news channels; and offers Audience App for optimizes linear inventory. Further, the company offers communications products and managed service solutions; data connectivity services to mobile and wireline carriers on a wholesale basis; and owns and operates regional sports and news networks. It serves approximately 32 million customers in 41 states. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyCharter Communications generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its cable television, broadband internet, and phone services. The company charges customers monthly fees for access to its high-speed internet services, which is a significant revenue driver given the increasing demand for reliable home internet. Cable television services also contribute to revenue through both subscription fees and advertising sales. Additionally, Charter has expanded into mobile services, offering phone plans that bundle with their other services. Charter's revenue streams are further supported by business services that cater to small, medium, and enterprise-level companies, providing internet, networking, and business phone solutions. Partnerships with content providers and technology companies also play a role in Charter's revenue model by enabling the company to offer a wider array of services and content to its subscribers.

Charter Communications Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Relationships
Customer Relationships
Measures the strength and depth of customer connections, indicating potential for customer loyalty, retention, and future revenue growth.
Chart InsightsCharter Communications is experiencing a decline in residential customer relationships, reflecting broader challenges in retaining internet and video subscribers. Despite robust growth in Spectrum Mobile lines and improved EBITDA, the loss of 60,000 internet customers in Q1 2025 highlights competitive pressures and shifting consumer preferences. The company is focusing on mobile growth and cost reductions to offset these declines, but the ongoing decrease in traditional service subscribers could impact long-term revenue stability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Charter Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there was significant mobile growth and EBITDA improvement, there were also declines in customer numbers for Internet, video, and voice services. Additionally, advertising revenue saw a notable decrease. The financial metrics such as net income and free cash flow showed positive trends, but the customer base challenges tempered the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobile Growth
Added over 500,000 Spectrum Mobile lines in Q1 and over 2.1 million lines over the last year, resulting in line growth of over 25%.
EBITDA Growth
EBITDA growth accelerated to 4.8%, driven by strong contributions from mobile growth and improved service quality.
Reduced Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses declined by 2.6% year over year, with specific declines in programming costs by 10.4% and cost to service customers by 2.2%.
Free Cash Flow Increase
First quarter free cash flow totaled $1.6 billion, an increase of approximately $1.2 billion compared to last year's first quarter.
Capital Expenditure Reduction
Capital expenditures totaled $2.4 billion in Q1, down about $400 million from last year's first quarter.
Positive Net Income
Generated $1.2 billion of net income attributable to shareholders in Q1, compared to $1.1 billion last year.
Negative Updates
Internet Customer Decline
Lost 60,000 Internet customers in the first quarter, including residential and SMB.
Video and Voice Customer Declines
Video customers declined by 181,000 and wireline voice customers declined by 278,000.
Advertising Revenue Decline
First quarter advertising revenue declined by 12.9% primarily due to less political revenue.
Los Angeles Wildfire Impact
First quarter customer results include approximately 9,000 disconnects related to the wildfire.
Company Guidance
During Charter Communications' first quarter 2025 investor call, several key metrics were highlighted in their guidance. The company added over 500,000 Spectrum Mobile lines in the first quarter, contributing to a year-over-year line growth of over 25%, and boasted the fastest growth among U.S. mobile providers. While revenue remained relatively flat, EBITDA growth accelerated to 4.8%, largely driven by mobile growth and enhanced service quality through technology investments. Internet customer results improved, with monthly data usage among non-video Internet customers reaching approximately 825 gigabytes, and over 30% using more than one terabyte per month. The company also reported a 15% year-over-year decrease in cable billing and repair calls, and a 6% reduction in service truck rolls. First-quarter free cash flow was $1.6 billion, a significant increase from the previous year, attributed to lower capital expenditures and lower cash interest. Charter remains on track with its 2025 capital expenditure guidance of approximately $12 billion and expects to reduce this to less than $8 billion by 2028, enhancing free cash flow significantly.

Charter Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Charter Communications presents a robust financial profile with consistent profitability and effective cash flow management. Despite high leverage, the company demonstrates efficient equity utilization and operational efficiency. Future growth may be moderated by slowing revenue increases, but the firm remains well-positioned in the telecommunications sector.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Charter Communications shows a stable income performance with a slight revenue growth of 1.02% in TTM, backed by a solid gross profit margin of 70.12% and a net profit margin of 9.42%. The company maintains strong EBIT and EBITDA margins at 24.12% and 32.73%, respectively, indicating healthy operating efficiency. However, the slowing revenue growth could be a potential concern for future expansion.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.77, which suggests considerable leverage and potential financial risk. However, the company maintains a decent equity ratio of 10.76%, showing a stable equity base, and a return on equity of 31.96%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Charter Communications demonstrates robust cash flow management with a free cash flow growth of 44.81% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.98, highlighting strong operational cash generation, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating efficient cash usage. Continued investment and financing activities warrant monitoring.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.09B54.61B54.02B51.68B48.10B
Gross Profit30.78B21.20B21.15B23.70B21.55B
EBITDA21.40B20.74B20.92B19.77B18.10B
Net Income5.08B4.56B5.05B4.65B3.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets150.02B147.19B144.52B142.49B144.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments459.00M709.00M645.00M601.00M998.00M
Total Debt95.76B97.78B97.60B91.56B82.75B
Total Liabilities130.31B132.47B131.97B124.33B113.92B
Stockholders Equity15.59B11.09B9.12B14.05B23.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.16B3.49B6.10B8.68B6.61B
Operating Cash Flow14.43B14.43B14.93B16.24B14.56B
Investing Cash Flow-10.65B-11.13B-9.11B-7.75B-8.16B
Financing Cash Flow-3.98B-3.24B-5.77B-8.88B-8.95B

Charter Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price383.33
Price Trends
50DMA
401.16
Negative
100DMA
379.95
Positive
200DMA
368.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
41.61
Neutral
STOCH
9.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 383.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 397.95, below the 50-day MA of 401.16, and above the 200-day MA of 368.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHTR.

Charter Communications Risk Analysis

Charter Communications disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Charter Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Charter Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VZVZ
78
Outperform
$175.31B9.8818.23%6.52%0.93%56.97%
76
Outperform
$61.17B10.6336.94%0.93%16.06%
76
Outperform
$133.07B8.7518.57%3.70%1.33%7.69%
76
Outperform
$259.05B22.2419.35%1.54%5.31%38.46%
TT
70
Outperform
$194.07B16.5611.38%4.09%0.50%-12.66%
58
Neutral
C$3.42B8.19-17.94%4.80%-2.58%-15.59%
48
Neutral
$9.20B-7.64%3.69%-1514.85%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHTR
Charter Communications
383.33
53.03
16.06%
T
AT&T
27.02
8.72
47.65%
CMCSA
Comcast
34.72
-4.51
-11.50%
VZ
Verizon
41.26
1.88
4.77%
TMUS
T Mobile US
226.02
44.99
24.85%
FYBR
Frontier Communications Parent
36.75
9.16
33.20%

Charter Communications Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Charter Communications Acquires Cox’s Fiber and IT Services
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Charter Communications entered into a transaction agreement with Cox Enterprises to acquire Cox’s commercial fiber and managed IT and cloud services businesses for $3.5 billion in cash. The transaction will also involve Cox contributing its residential cable business assets to Charter Holdings, with Cox Parent receiving convertible preferred units and common units of Charter Holdings. This strategic move is expected to significantly enhance Charter’s market position by expanding its service offerings and increasing its market share in the telecommunications sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHTR) stock is a Buy with a $386.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Communications stock, see the CHTR Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Charter and Cox Announce $34.5 Billion Merger
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Charter Communications and Cox Enterprises announced a definitive agreement to merge Cox Communications with Charter, creating a leading entity in mobile and broadband communications. The transaction, valued at approximately $34.5 billion, is expected to enhance service quality and innovation, benefiting employees, customers, and communities. The merger will see the combined company adopt the Cox Communications name, with Spectrum as the consumer-facing brand. The deal is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, and upon completion, it will result in significant operational and strategic synergies, positioning the new entity to compete aggressively in the expanding communications market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHTR) stock is a Buy with a $386.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Communications stock, see the CHTR Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Charter Communications Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Charter Communications held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where all nominated directors were elected, the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan was approved, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. However, the stockholder proposal regarding a political expenditures report was not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025