TD Cowen ‘cautious’ on seeing 45V final rule as ‘final’

The final rule for 45V Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit was released, with the Treasury Department providing a $3.00/kg tax credit for the production of hydrogen factored by the lifecycle carbon intensity of the delivered molecule, TD Cowen tells investors in a research note. The firm says the updates pursue “flexibility” while maintaining the constrictive “Three Pillar” framework and believes the legacy nuclear and hydro companies are Green/Pink second half winners. TD Cowen is “cautious” on seeing the rule as “final,” and expects “root-and-branch” level changes to 45V guidance in 2025, as Republicans have multiple tools to get this done. Companies in the sector include Constellation Energy (CEG), PSEG (PEG), Vistra (VST), Plug Power (PLUG), Air Liquide (AIQUY), Linde (LIN), and CNX Resources (CNX).