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Roblox on pace to miss Q4 bookings guidance, says TD Cowen
The Fly

Roblox on pace to miss Q4 bookings guidance, says TD Cowen

TD Cowen analyst Doug Creutz continues to believe Roblox (RBLX) is pacing to miss Q4 bookings guidance following the firm’s mobile gaming monthly analysis, which is focused on app-store based channel checks. Electronic Arts’ (EA) mobile bookings are pacing up quarter-over-quarter while Playtika (PLTK) is pacing flat and Take-Two (TTWO) is running slightly down, the analyst tells investors in a research note. TD’s Q4 Roblox bookings projection of $1.29B, up 14% quarter-over-quarter, is below the consensus estimate of $1.36B and the company’s guidance of $1.34B-$1.36B. Following a seasonal Thanksgiving bump, Roblox’s top grossing rankings have returned to a downward trajectory, and are now hitting many-year lows, contends TD. It continues to view Roblox’s Q4 performance, as well as the run-rate entering 2025, as a “significant source of risk” for the shares at “currently elevated levels.” TD has a Sell rating on the shares with a $35 price target.

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