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Cautious Outlook on Black Hills Corporation: Regulatory and Financial Challenges Amidst Moderate Growth Prospects

Cautious Outlook on Black Hills Corporation: Regulatory and Financial Challenges Amidst Moderate Growth Prospects

Ross Fowler, an analyst from Bank of America Securities, maintained the Sell rating on Black Hills (BKHResearch Report). The associated price target was raised to $59.00.

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Ross Fowler’s rating is based on a combination of factors affecting Black Hills Corporation’s financial prospects. The company’s expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for the coming years is projected to be between 4-6%, which is below average compared to its industry peers. This growth rate seems contingent on successful regulatory actions across multiple jurisdictions, where the affordability of customer bills remains a critical challenge.
Another concern is the financial burden from anticipated equity issuances and debt refinancing. The forecast includes significant equity issuance from 2025 onwards, which could dilute EPS by 2.5-3% annually. Additionally, around $1.0 billion of debt refinancing at a rate of 4.2% could further impact earnings. Despite these challenges, the company’s data center growth narrative remains solid, but the realization of any upside to its rate base growth appears to be a long-term prospect within the five-year plan.

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