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Nabors Industries Ltd. Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Growth and Challenges

Nabors Industries Ltd. Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Growth and Challenges

Nabors Industries Ltd. ((NBR)) has held its Q4 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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Nabors Industries Ltd. recently conducted an earnings call that revealed a mixed outlook for the company. While there are optimistic developments such as growth in international markets and technological advancements, challenges remain, particularly concerning cash flow and the US market. Positive strides were noted with the SANAD new build program and the acquisition of Parker Wellbore, yet cash flow issues and difficulties in the lower 48 market present significant concerns.

International Market Growth

Nabors Industries Ltd. has been making significant strides in its international market operations. In 2024, the company activated ten international rigs and announced plans for nine additional startups in 2025. These efforts are part of a larger strategy to expand in key geographies, signaling robust international growth potential.

SANAD New Build Program

The SANAD new build program is a highlight for Nabors, with the deployment of its ninth new build in the fourth quarter. The program is set to continue expanding, with five more rigs planned for 2025, and is expected to generate approximately $200 million in EBITDA by 2026, showcasing substantial future earnings potential.

Technology and Innovation Success

NDS, Nabors’ technological arm, achieved a significant milestone with a gross margin exceeding 54% in the fourth quarter. This record performance underscores the successful implementation and benefits of the NDS portfolio, highlighting the company’s strength in technology and innovation.

Parker Wellbore Acquisition

The strategic acquisition of Parker Wellbore by Nabors Industries Ltd. is projected to yield significant cost synergies. Management anticipates annualized cost savings of at least $35 million by 2025, strengthening Nabors’ operational efficiencies and competitive positioning.

Free Cash Flow Shortfall

Nabors faced a shortfall in free cash flow during the fourth quarter, attributed to delays in payments from Mexico and accelerated milestone payments in Saudi Arabia. These financial challenges underscore areas needing attention to stabilize cash flow.

Challenges in the Lower 48 Market

The US lower 48 market continues to present difficulties for Nabors, with a reduction in rig count and lower-than-expected daily margins. This market’s underperformance remains a concern for the company’s domestic operations.

Mexico Payment Delays

Payment delays from a customer in Mexico significantly impacted Nabors’ cash flow, with outstanding amounts totaling approximately $50 million. This issue underscores the financial risks associated with international operations.

Pemex Activity Reduction

Pemex’s announcement of reduced activity for 2025 due to budgetary constraints presents another challenge for Nabors, as it impacts revenue projections and necessitates strategic adjustments.

Forward-Looking Guidance

Looking ahead, Nabors Industries Ltd. has outlined its expectations for 2025. The company anticipates achieving a total adjusted EBITDA of $221 million for the fourth quarter, with stable daily rig margins in the lower 48 market and growth in international operations. The SANAD joint venture is expected to contribute significantly, with over $140 million in EBITDA from new builds. Capital expenditures are projected to be between $710 and $720 million, with a focus on SANAD developments. Nabors aims for breakeven free cash flow, excluding SANAD’s negative cash flow, and plans to reduce gross debt by generating $150 million in free cash flow outside SANAD.

In summary, Nabors Industries Ltd.’s earnings call paints a picture of mixed sentiment, with notable achievements in technology and international growth countered by domestic market challenges and cash flow issues. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the SANAD new builds and Parker Wellbore acquisition, reflect a forward-looking approach, yet financial and operational challenges remain to be addressed to ensure sustainable growth.

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